Believe I read the British nationals in Switzerland were 2nd gen removed.
Watched a vid of British epidemiologist stating the we are 1-2 weeks away from seeing how bad the spread will be outside of China.
And up to 3 weeks post infection to relize the mortality of it.
What is your take on the supposed HIV strands located in the virus’s RNA? Three I believe
One of the posters was hinting this makes the virus able to infect and replicate in a variety of host cells and might mean it can cause more than just acute respiratory failure.
Not to mention the assertion the virus might have been modified with Crisper insertions.
Pretty serious claim and implications if proven true.
Absolutely, and unfortunately, I can't really answer too well with regards to the supposed similarities with the genetic sequences in the novel coronavirus and HIV. I'm just not an expert in virology. However, in terms of epidemiology, we are definitely at the critical point right now to see where this takes off. Will this be mostly confined to China with sporadic cases showing up over the next couple of months? Or are we a few days away from seeing sustained human-to-human transmission take off? Unfortunately, that's something where we have to wait a few days to see what happens.
However, some encouraging signs, especially when you look at how SARS played out, appear to show that we still have a chance at containing this epidemic, but only if we continue to act aggressively. People across the region, especially in the hot zone in China, have pretty much distanced themselves and are taking greater precautions in terms of hygiene. If you look at this and compare it to, say, H1N1 influenza, some people wore masks and social distancing at first, especially in the Mexico City area. However, once it was determined not to be particularly lethal, people tended to let their guard down somewhat.
The crucial thing to watch out for is when we start seeing sustained human-to-human transmission occurring from people who acquired the infection outside of Mainland China. At that point, we will move from outright containment to simply attempting to slow the spread of the disease, at least until we get a vaccine. As for the mortality rate, at this point, I would actually be surprised if the rate started to increase. Usually at the beginning of an epidemic, the numbers tend to skew towards the severe, as the first cases to come to light are those who are ill enough to require hospitalization. This occurred with the H1N1 pandemic as well- the initial death rate was estimated to be as high as 5 percent at first, but that was only because it was being tracked by those who were ill enough to require hospitalization.
I honestly wouldn't pay attention to the numbers coming out of Hubei Province anyway. They are completely overwhelmed, are only able to run tests on those who are sick enough to make it into the hospital, and are more likely running a higher death rate due to shortages of medical staff and supplies. The numbers outside of Hubei Province are showing a more accurate picture, especially the international cases. While it's still too early to predict how this outbreak will turn out, if we don't start seeing major increases in cases outside of Hubei Province by next week, our window of opportunity will have increased quite a bit. I've definitely been working overtime trying to get a handle on this situation, believe me!