Chances of Civil War in January of 2021. United States.

entropolis

Member
I'm sorry folks. I've not been back this way for a while. I've been quite busy with efforts of my own to devalue/distract/diffuse/dismay/derail the organizational mustering of extremist right wing militia movements up here in the Pacnorwest. My priority one has been to limit collateral spatter, thus sparing innocent american civilian lives. Not on secondary elint check-ins. And might I add a complete bitch-kitten for someone who's reduced to solitary vigilantism to do so. If the Feds don't take a more aggressively visible involvement soon these assholes are already primed and prepped for mass casualty violence that could quickly eclipse our losses in the oklahoma city bombing by orders of magnitude. I've done everything I can do, and will continue to do so until the sectarian probability of violence settles. But it's just a lot for one fifty year old war dog well past his prime to keep up with, AND make the OSINT posting rounds. So apologize for my long interim absence , with those caveats-by-means-of-explanation in mind.

As you may have ascertained from the previous paragraph the probability of sectarian violence is as high as i've ever seen it in this country. We're closing in on conditions i've only ever seen in places like a dissolving Yugoslavia, and five way lebanese civil strife. Reminiscent of when Taylor was being ousted in Liberia. Not to put too fine a line on it..It's bad. Wherever you are, pick up a shovel and help fill those sandbags against this rising tide of hysteria before it can snap off into full violence, in what ways you have available, and where you can make the most difference. For everyone else, now's the time to be double checking your stockpile for temporary local anarchy. Readiness one all the ordinance in your weapons locker. Make a habit of listening to your local PD's comms. Keep that situational awareness sharp. The militias up here at least with present numbers & dispositions lack the backing or support network logistics to go full insurgency, but certainly DO have it within their reach to quickly exceed most local PD's simultaneous event carry capacity. We need natguard on standby, up here at any rate. This weekend looks to be a possible trigger point, i've seen some DC PD twitter chatter of out-of-typical-stompgrounds traffic numbering as highly as two thousand. Not enough to make much more headway than creation of a civilian body count leading up to the greasestain of their remains, considering our localized national assets already present & ready to respond. Other than that, I don't know much of what's going on elsewhere nationally. Pretty overtaxed just dealing with what's in my own backyard. I have precious little remaining bandwidth to look much farther afield.

Heard from a little bird that USSS has taken under a fuzzed 704FISA ex-judicial custody domestic nationals they'd been FUSION CENTER DNI tipped to have active lethal intentions to the president-elect. Numbers seem all over the place, but maybe as few as a couple of perps to as high as a hundred. Serious grain of salt with that report however. That little bird has a low confidence value, but occasionally has the advance dime to drop.

In summation I really don't have time or attention to spare to give an exhaustive analysis of the situation. So you'll have to make do with this vast oversimplification. We have in excess of fifty million citizens who've been agitation propaganda red pilled into believing their survival is at stake. Despite every confidence & evidence to the contrary. The rest of the country regards the majority of that partisan camp as having gone full rabid, incapable/unwilling of being reconciled with the national normative. Nor any other situational narrative in which they do not occupy an elevated status of carte blanche discretional supremacy. The rest of the nation makes preparations accordingly, to defend/counterattack visibly, or avoids by pollyanna dismissal.

What it appears to be from my partisan position on the fifty yard line is a political cult that's hinged it's collective self identity on a man primarily obsessed with grafting whatever he can grab from all fiscal sources in his reach. A failed cultural supremacy bid animal undergoing it's first sense it's cause may be on the rocks. Only time will tell what desperate measures people pushed to that edge will do, how long they''ll be that way. or how long the poisoned rhetorical apples effects will linger in the national dialogue. I expect the probability of incidental localized/specific violence to be very high at about 60-80% over the next nine days, then diminish to about even 50/50 with smaller spikes attributable to normal seasonal holiday depression being homicidally expressed. Then again a rise from 60% in the three day run up to the office transition by about 10% a day. I do not reasonably expect to avoid spontaneously motivated internecine violence the eve of, or day of the office transfer. I expect for ten to fifteen days after the transfer for the risk of violent outbreak to remain between elevated and acute. Akin to our good friend orange on the domestic terror index color. I do not expect any return to a normative social climate occuring any sooner than spring. March, April somewhere. If we're lucky.

That's all i've got to offer you fine gentlemen and ladies, at this time. Keep those heads on a swivel, watch out for pre-attack prepping behavior by individuals personally known to you as being potentially vulnerable to it. It is better to intercede and be proven wrong, than do nothing and be proven right. By far. Share or excerpt my missive as you see fit, attribution means far less to me than our collective capacity to spare lives in this most delicate moment in our national living memory. DxBNA3vWsAAkc2P.jpg
 
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joaqweri

Well-known member
DC has potential to get hot tomorrow. "million maga march" which the proud boys are gonna be at is tomorrow, and folks on the left are already preparing counter demonstrations.
 

entropolis

Member
DC has potential to get hot tomorrow. "million maga march" which the proud boys are gonna be at is tomorrow, and folks on the left are already preparing counter demonstrations.
Yeah, I know that's the billing. Doubt they'll get anything anywhere near those numbers. The proximity of the counterprotesters in a new jurisdictional purview, and the defacto abandonment of the executives role to liason between LEA's signals to me that DCPD may not be properly briefed in ground conditions seen elsewhere in the nation. But maybe enough ranking brass have at least half-paid attention to the national news at all. The riot squad is going to have a precariously thin line to walk. Too heavy or lighthanded, or failure to create a officer cordion between the two factions could easily have the opposite effect on calming things down.I hope to god they've been reciently trained in advance descelation tactics. BUt I know their budget for those kind of optionals for metro DCPD is usually pretty sparingly thin, so i'm skeptical.
 
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