I'm starting a specific thread for discussion and analysis of a potential invasion of Taiwan by China, largely based on this article:
Everything China has been saying and doing for the past several months points to an invasion of Taiwan, something that would require one of the most massive military mobilizations in history to be successful. Think Operation Overlord squared.
We know why.
We know where.
We know how.
What we don't know is when.
I try very hard to stick with facts in evidence, but something has been nagging at me for a long time telling me that a Russian incursion into SE Ukraine and a Chinese invasion of Taiwan will occur simultaneously to maximize confusion and chaos and minimize any potential military response from the US. If correct, that points possibly to this autumn, just before winter hits. A move into Ukraine by Russia just before winter would make any Ukrainian moves to push back much more difficult than they already would be due to the harsh weather conditions, and Russia can then use the entire winter to firmly entrench their positions, giving them a land bridge to Crimea come spring 2022. If I am right, that means the Chinese invasion of Taiwan would also occur this autumn.
I freely admit I have no facts to prove this theory; it's just a feeling and I could very easily be 100% wrong.
Open discussion on my theory and any facts supporting it or disproving it are welcome, as well as general discussion regarding an eventual invasion of Taiwan.
Thousands Of Ships, Millions Of Troops: China Is Assembling a Huge Fleet For War With Taiwan
To have any chance of conquering Taiwan, China might need to transport as many as two million troops across the rough 100 miles of the Taiwan Strait and land them under fire at the island’s 14 potential invasion beaches or 10 major ports.
www.forbes.com
Everything China has been saying and doing for the past several months points to an invasion of Taiwan, something that would require one of the most massive military mobilizations in history to be successful. Think Operation Overlord squared.
We know why.
We know where.
We know how.
What we don't know is when.
I try very hard to stick with facts in evidence, but something has been nagging at me for a long time telling me that a Russian incursion into SE Ukraine and a Chinese invasion of Taiwan will occur simultaneously to maximize confusion and chaos and minimize any potential military response from the US. If correct, that points possibly to this autumn, just before winter hits. A move into Ukraine by Russia just before winter would make any Ukrainian moves to push back much more difficult than they already would be due to the harsh weather conditions, and Russia can then use the entire winter to firmly entrench their positions, giving them a land bridge to Crimea come spring 2022. If I am right, that means the Chinese invasion of Taiwan would also occur this autumn.
I freely admit I have no facts to prove this theory; it's just a feeling and I could very easily be 100% wrong.
Open discussion on my theory and any facts supporting it or disproving it are welcome, as well as general discussion regarding an eventual invasion of Taiwan.