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Corona virus outbreak Febuary 2020

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There is exactly one thing that will let the coronavirus spread over the world

The quarantine-time

There are many reports about a "low" chance of higher incubation durations.

But the whole world still keep holding their quarantine-time on 2 weeks. And then we all let them travel without any watching , so they can infect others on the easiest way a virus could have.

i guess the point were we see how this epidemic ( or actually pre-pandemic) will going on isnt reached yet. There are some unserious reports from China, changing their count-system on all its cost to lower the numbers and keep the fear-level low as possible, other countries started the past 48/96 hours with higher infection-reports, test results on Corona still be absolutely random ( correct result rate is laying on 20-50% ) , advices from many countries to keep test results long as possible away from media sources and combined with a possible incubation time up to 40-50 days! ( someone got a positive result 40 Days after travelled out of Wuhan ) there is a real high chance of undetected hotspots of Infections.

Actually i believe there is a real threat on a pandemic status of this Virus and i will start prepping asap ( next week) for at least 1 Month. my personal estimate: we will not see the way how this virus will go until first week of April. there is no exactly known fact about its spreading-level or about its mutation-level.

As a reference-value i would take the 13th of february where China announced a peak of nearly 15.000 new infections.

wait 1 1/2 Months and we will see. On Defcon Level Value for a possible Deadly global pandemic i would say its Defcon 3.

Defcon 4 started on 20th of January where the first other countries report cases.

Defcon 3 started on 4th or 19th of february where the diamond princess got an infection spike / South Korea gets daily a high increasing level of confirmed cases.

If you think about Defcon 3 on a nuclear threat its like " there is any chance to deescalate the situation but the dangerous level is high and there is an advice to prepare at least a little" the same thing is actually going on with Corona. There is any chance to handle the outbreak , but the chance will significant drop down while the danger is rising. Big cities are on quarantine , that sounds a little similar to the readiness to get evacuated or be ready to seek a safe place on a possible missile attack (so Defcon 3 )
 
-Kuwait to repatriate 700 citizens from Iran amid coronavirus outbreak.

-Israel expands restrictions on foreign nationals as fears mount.

-US State Department raises travel advisory for South Korea.

-Coronavirus fears have pushed the US dollar to a three-year high.

-WHO-led team working on the virus arrives in Wuhan finally.

-Samsung Electronics shuts South Korean smartphone plant after confirmed virus case

-Italy sees spike in coronavirus cases, as 10 villages shut down.

Here's the full breakdown for Italy:

  • 46 from Lombardy (including 1 dead)
  • 12 from Veneto (including 1 dead)
  • 3 from Rome
  • 1 from Piedmont

- State Department raises travel advisory for South Korea.

-Japanese health minister admits 23 passengers were released from cruise ship without being retested for coronavirus.



Cases outside China:
  • Japan: 738 cases, 3 deaths
  • South Korea: 433 cases, 2 deaths
  • Singapore: 86 cases
  • Hong Kong: 68 cases, 2 deaths
  • Thailand and United States: 35 cases each
  • Iran: 28 cases, 5 deaths
  • Taiwan: 26 cases, 1 death
  • Malaysia: 22 cases
  • Australia: 21 cases
  • Italy: 17 cases, 2 deaths
  • Vietnam and Germany: 16 cases each
  • France: 12 cases, 1 death
  • Macao: 10 cases
  • Canada, UAE and UK: 9 cases each
  • Philippines: 3 cases, 1 death
  • India: 3 cases
  • Russia and Spain: 2 cases each
  • Belgium, Cambodia, Finland, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Sweden, Egypt, Lebanon and Israel: 1 case each

 
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South Korea on Sunday reported its sixth death from the new coronavirus with the number of the total confirmed cases spiking to 602, forcing the country to raise the virus alert to highest level.

Calling for citizens' concerted efforts, Health Minister Park Neung-hoo said that the next seven or 10 days will be the most crucial juncture in fighting the virus.

"The COVID-19 is spreading quickly, but it is limited within a specific region and group," Park told a briefing.

Most COVID-19 infections are centered on a religious organization in the country's fourth-largest city of Daegu and the neighboring Daenam Hospital.

Of the 169 new cases, 95 are related to worship services of the Shincheonji church in Daegu, according to the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC).
The KCDC earlier said it has placed more than 9,334 Shincheonji members in self-quarantine. Of them, 1,248 have shown COVID-19-related symptoms.

From North Gyeongsang Province, 18 out of 39 Catholic pilgrims who recently travelled as a group to Israel have been confirmed to be infected with the new coronavirus.
The number of people being checked for the virus and under quarantine came to 8,057, it added. The country has tested a total of 26,179 suspected cases, with 17,520 testing negative.
 
-South Korea reports sixth death of coronavirus patient

-Third death in Italy from coronavirus

-EU economic affairs commissioner: "No need to panic" over coronavirus outbreak in Italy

-Migrant rescue ship put in quarantine in Sicily

-Pakistan closes border with Iran to halt spread of virus

-Afghanistan tests three in first suspected coronavirus outbreak in the country

-Kuwait bars ships from Iran due to coronavirus

-Northern Italy announces sweeping closures over coronavirus

-Self-quarantine numbers jump to 231 in Israel as fears grow over the virus


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These numbers may differ from those reported by national health authorities, who report updated totals at different times than the WHO:

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  • Middle East spread: Iran's health ministry has confirmed 43 cases of the virus, including eight deaths. Lebanon and Israel have reported their first cases.

 
On Sunday evening Austria refused entry to a train coming from Italy after the Italian State Railways informed Austrian train operator OBB that there were two people with fever symptoms on board.

The operator later confirmed to Sky News that all train traffic to and from Italy had been suspended.

 
-G20 prepared to act on coronavirus if needed

-Second person in Israel tests positive for coronavirus, as self-quarantine numbers rise again

-US military in Italy takes precautionary steps amid virus outbreak

-
White House expected to ask Congress for coronavirus money this week

 
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At this time, I have been telling everyone that it would be prudent to begin stocking up on supplies, in case the worst case scenario with this virus begins to play out. Plan on getting a two-week supply *minimum* of canned food and powdered milk, and stock up on over the counter medicines. The models that I'm working with are all over the place, and show anything from sporadic "pockets" of infection (similar to SARS), to a generalized, world-wide onslaught of infection (like 1918 Spanish Flu).
 
-Taiwan confirms two more cases of coronavirus

-Canadian officials believe there's another confirmed case of coronavirus in Ontario

-Turkey, Afghanistan to shut borders with Iran over coronavirus outbreak


-CNN
 
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