Trump has not shown the cognitive decline that Biden did.
Trump can be emotional, but he isn't suffering from dementia.
I’m listening to a podcast and a statement was made that for the last 25 years Iran has had the upper hand in the Middle East. Nothing that any nation has done or tried has moderated or redirected Irans imperial aspirations over the Middle East.
I think this is true. In no diplomatic or kinetic interaction has Iran lost the upper hand in 40 years. And yes they’re actions in the Middle East the last 40 years has been imperial. Iran has been seeking to impose its will over other nations in the region since the Beirut barracks bombing. In Syria, Yemen, and into parts of Africa.
Few I think would argue the west approach and success with Iran has been positive these last 40 years.
With that said IF Trumps approach to Iran has been to take the position of flipping the tables and changing the rules with how we will deal with Iran. Even to the point of not defining what the new the new rules are.
You know kinda like how Reagan changed the rules of the Cold War. Instead of dancing with the Soviets indirectly, mostly. Reagan faced the Cold War head on and very publicly confronted the Soviets. While at the same time launching a concerted military build up. Also very publicly directed at the Soviets. The we didn’t defeat the Soviets we simply out spent them has truth in it.
It might not even be necessary or even beneficial for the US to have stated goals, or at best ambiguous goals. It’s the very direct military attempt to neuter Iran. To make the Ayatollah’s irrelevant. To define the rules as. Be a turd and harass your neighbors and treat you citizens unjustly. We’re not going to invade and get bogged down trying to fix you.
We’re just going to break more of your stuff again.
Now this is just a theory which tries to make sense of the military actions and public statements from US officials.
This is assuming there actually is a goal or definitive intension regarding Iran. A what will Iran look like when we’re done policy statement.
Maybe it’s just to cripple them. Call it corporal punishment, what ever.
It is altogether reasonable to rationally assume there is a goal with Iran.
Intelligent people have had to set down and debate these actions to a conclusion before the first plane ever took off. Our government, laws, and constitution provide too many off ramps to prevent a single person (the president) from blindly starting a massive bombing campaign of another country.
This successfully nullifies the questions of a single individual with restricted mental abilities driving the nation off a cliff.
There are too many anti or reluctant interventionist in Trumps administration. His DNI VP being the most outspoken.
Both of them have shown no fear about speaking out against US use of the military.
So it’s also reasonable to assume a convincing argument was made to start all this to those two individuals at a minimum. Remember there is a tenuous fracture line in supporters for Trump regarding US military intervention. Fully a 1/3 of his supporters are rabidly opposed to starting a new wars. I’m one of them.
Again it is just a theory trying to put a face on the pig you might say.
And before anybody responded with why don’t they just say this?
Defining the rules has been part of the problem. It’s doing the exact same thing we’ve done for 40yrs.
When clear rules are made your adversary knows exactly where and how far they can push and antagonize you.
In not stating what the rules or behavior are expected of you.
Iran will not have those boundaries or redlines to test. They will just have the memory and results of what happened the last time they pissed people off.
It’s street justice.
When governmental order and voluntary compliance with that order are gone. Either in a small town or internationally.
Street justice is all your left with