Germany Main-Election

O

Orius

Guest
The Date of our Election comes near. So far, so unspectacular

Our Green-Party are one of the top-runnings for the next Chancellor-Party.

Now there happened something, that could ruin this.

Our federal State Saarland has refused the admission of the Election for this Party on this State.

Short version: They had a female Candidate without Majority, so they voted for a Male instead. But this Party dont allow Males to be on a first Place. they voted again (now for female) but excluded many voters. Our Election Supervisor saw a fatal Error of our democratic principes and withdrawn the admission.

They are on a Head-to-Head Race with our current Chancellor-Party and even with less Voters on Saarland: This could be the losing condition with around 50.000 less votes.

It could also cause in a demoralizing and/or a fatal image damage.
 
D

DucknCover

Guest
Coalitions for the German Parliament Election 2021

most likely - Conservative Social Liberal
⬛🟥🟨 Christian Democratic Union + Social Democratic Party + Free Democratic Party

probably - Conservative Social Liberal Green
⬛🟥 Christian Democratic Union + Social Democratic Party [actual government since 2002]
⬛🟥🟩 Christian Democratic Union + Social Democratic Party + The Greens
⬛🟥🟩🟨 Christian Democratic Union + Social Democratic Party + The Greens + Free Democratic Party
⬛🟩🟨 Christian Democratic Union + The Greens + Free Democratic Party
⬛🟩 Christian Democratic Union + The Greens

unlikely - Coservatism, Nationalism or Liberal Green Socialism
⬛🟨 Christian Democratic Union + Free Democratic Party [former popular government 1990-1998]

⬛🟦🟨 Christian party + Alternative for Germany + Free Democratic Party
🟦⬛ Alternative for Germany + Christian party
🟥🟩 Social Democratic Party + The Greens [former government 1998-2002]
🟥🟩🟨 Social Democratic Party + The Greens + Free Democratic Party
🟥🟩🟪 Social Democratic Party + The Greens + The Left
⬛🟥🟩🟨🟪 Christian Democratic Union + Social Democratic Party + The Greens + Free Democratic Party + The Left

very unlikely - Liberal Nationalism, Socialism
🟦🟨 Alternative for Germany + Free Democratic Party

🟪🟥 The Left + Social Democratic Party

All other coalitions are very unrealistic.
 
O

Orius

Guest
You have a major political party that excludes males from their top post?
Yes.

But its more indirectly.

Their rules are: Positions with odd Numbers must be placed with females so the first place count on this rule.
 
O

Orius

Guest
Are positions with even numbers placed with males? Or does discrimination only work one way?
Nope. For Males there can be a Place with even Number , but there can also be no Males on any place.

They want at least 50% Percentage of Females, but it can be also up to 100%.

Dont ask me how this is allowed.
 
O

Orius

Guest
Some interesting Thing:

Right-wing extremism Party, called "Der dritte Weg" is (currently) allowed to use election posters, where they call to "Hang the Greens"

New dimensions of some stupid shit here
 
O

Orange

Guest
Some interesting Thing:

Left-wing extremism Party, called "The Party" is (currently) allowed to use election posters, where they call to "Kill Nazis"

New dimensions of some stupid shit here
 
O

Orius

Guest
There are some problems within our Election. I dont want to suggest Fraud. Its just about a few Problems

Left-Party becomes under 5% but our special-Rule about direct-Mandates allows them to hold their Place in our Parliament

115 % voter turnout 😏

Postal votes missing 😏

Nope😏

Still Nope😏

Happens😏


Nothing to see😏


?..😏

Yep😏

😏

We dont like your Vote😏

Short explain:

They knew it since at least 24. September because of a Citizens-hint on their Sample,but they still say since early morning of 26 September.


Wrong documents in Berlin😏


Wrong dokuments Hamburg😏 some small other problems


Nope😏

😏

😏

And some many others.

Most times its about a small amount up to few hundreds.

Berlin had the biggest and most serious problems.

in the End of our Election:

Some Changes need to be accepted.

Majority-Party CDU became heavy loss (and their worst Result since 1949) and had to give their Status to SPD. But they still have the Chance to became another Chancellor-Period.

Left-Party got 4,9% and is under our 5%-Rule. But they got also 3 Direct-Mandates and will keep their Place in our Parliament. Under 3, they wont.

We got also a new Party in our Parliament, called SSW with 1 Mandate.

Our Greens became way less Votes, than expected at the Beginning of the year, but still the highest Result, as they ever got. They will have much impact on our Chancellor-Result and probably become a part of our new Government.

FDP didnt get any unexpected Thing here, but will also have much impact on our coming Government.

Far-Right-Party AfD have lost a little. But they won 2 Federals as Majority-Party (Because of weak CDU) and also 2 Federals as the 2nd-Placed. So the partially as right-extremism confirmed Party could become a Government-Party in 2 (little realistic) or 4 Federals (very unrealistic). Because of their second confirmed period in our Parliament, they will probably gain around 80 Million Euro funding. Many are feared, about a Vote-Gain like NSDAP.

All in All : Our Futue Chancellor will be decided between Olaf Scholz and Armin Laschet.

Most likely Government will be 🔴🟢🟡 but also high likely will be ⚫🟢🟡

possible, but unlikely: 🔴⚫

possible, but very very unlikely:⚫🟡🔵 or 🔴🟢🟣, while the second can only exist as a minority-Government and will probably cause in Re-Election.

Another interesting Thing: Our Green-Party, where Women have to been on the first place, will probably use a Man as Vice-Chancellor, instead of their Chancellor-Candidate.
 
O

Orius

Guest
In multiple Constituency of Berlin, there are exactly the same identical Results and Amount of Votes.

This could be confirmed with own Research.


But also

 

Obreid

Power Poster
ok I’m mostly ignorant of German politics and their parties. Can you possibly break that down between mostly the same, shift to left or right, or too soon to know.
its appreciated if you could
 
D

DucknCover

Guest
I post how they realy are today, and what they are used to be. And what will they most likely become when they rule.

🟦 = NOW: Strong Authoritarian Right - AFD = the republican party in the USA - USED TO BE: Authoritarian Right
⬛ = NOW: Authoritarian Right - CDU/CSU = the democratic party in USA - USED TO BE: Authoritarian Middle
🟩 = NOW: Authoritarian Middle - The Greens = Green Party in the USA - USED TO BE: Liberal Green Left
🟥 = NOW: Authoritarian Middle - SPD = Working Class Party - USED TO BE: Middle Left
🟪 = NOW: Left Middle - The Left = Party for Socialism and Liberation in the USA -
USED TO BE: COMMUNISM

🟨 = NOW: Right - FDP = Libertarian Party - USED TO BE: Libertarian Right

My prediction of the most likely government of Germany after the election > 🟥🟨 🟩= The traffic light coalition

Outcome:
Used to be: Middle Left Green Libertarian

In reality today: Authoritarian Middle
What they could become: Left Authoritarian -> Socialism:mad:

------------------

My prediction of the second most likely government of Germany after the election >⬛🟩🟨 = the black traffic light coalition

Outcome:
Used to be: Authoritarian Middle Liberal
In reality today: Authoritarian Right

What they could become: Authoritarian Liberalism o_O (explained below)

Abstract​

Authoritarian liberalism captures the combination of politically authoritarian forms of governing in defence and pursuit of economically liberal ends. It is a phenomenon often associated with periods of economic crisis, such as the recent Euro-crisis. This paper suggests, however, that authoritarian liberalism is less exceptional than normal. This is more generally missed if the constitutional focus is on the relation between democracy and political liberalism rather than between democracy and capitalism. Whilst authoritarian forms of governing are more manifest in the exceptional response to economic crisis, authoritarian liberalism characterises the deep structure of the post-war constitutional settlement in Europe. This was based on a fear of democracy and popular sovereignty, in significant part due to the threat they were perceived to pose to a liberal economic order.

 
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