Poll: Is an invasion of Taiwan imminent?

Will China invade Taiwan in the next few weeks?

  • Yes

    Votes: 7 33.3%
  • No

    Votes: 12 57.1%
  • I don't know

    Votes: 2 9.5%

  • Total voters
    21

Train

Active member
Very hard to say.

Part of me believes that China will see this as their chance, ride off the back of the world’s complete lack of faith in America right now - as well as their distraction.

Yet at the same time, China is not stupid. They know that Biden has to prove himself. Afghanistan has been a complete disaster, and the US will be looking for a way to redeem itself somehow. The world’s biggest (and only) superpower fucking up that bad is not a good look. And regardless of their ability to pull out of a location properly, the US can still put up one hell of a fight.

Would the US really want to go to war with China over Taiwan, though?

I (touchwood) feel like this may be more of a slow-burn.

maybe I’m wrong, I’m not exactly an expert, but that’s my two cents
 
L

Law

Guest
Well, it can't be next few weeks most probably it will be next few months, the fact that China senses that US is weak can also be the reason for not taking any aggresive measures from Chinese side, afterall Chinese are also aware that after what happened in Afg, US will look to recover its position and it will never allow Taiwan to slip that easily, and the most of all, US is still SUPERPOWER, China is the emerging one.
 

ralfy

Active member
Taiwan has no natural resources that can be used by China, whose major trading partner is the U.S., which arms but does not recognize Taiwan as a sovereign state. Meanwhile, Afghanistan has something like a billion barrels of technically recoverable oil and a trillion dollars' worth of minerals, which the U.S. couldn't exploit because the majority of the population is Sunni. Finally, the major trading partner of Taiwan is China.

Given that, it would be more logical for China is to engage in economic and trade deals with Afghanistan and maintain relations with Taiwan. Even with that, the U.S. may continue to weaken.
 

DarkNoon

Power Poster
Taiwan is no third worldly country in the middle east most people could care less about saddly like most middle east countries.

Sure Afghanistan has a lot of buried treasure but the land and its people make it impossible to recover or prosper.

Tawain may have no natural resources, BUT supplies us with many other very critical supplies for the modern world. There is way more at stake the US will fight for over Tawain vs Afghanistan if people want to make comparisons.
 

Obreid

Power Poster
Taiwan has no natural resources that can be used by China, whose major trading partner is the U.S., which arms but does not recognize Taiwan as a sovereign state. Meanwhile, Afghanistan has something like a billion barrels of technically recoverable oil and a trillion dollars' worth of minerals, which the U.S. couldn't exploit because the majority of the population is Sunni. Finally, the major trading partner of Taiwan is China.

Given that, it would be more logical for China is to engage in economic and trade deals with Afghanistan and maintain relations with Taiwan. Even with that, the U.S. may continue to weaken.
It’s a pride thing with China. They’ve asserted themselves as a global power yet they have a counter Chinese population and government right in there face just off their coast
 
J

Johnny J

Guest
Yes. If not now then when? A weak American president and preoccupied international community.
 

DarkNoon

Power Poster
If not now then when?
Never. Taiwan is a lost cause for China, they are just buying themselves time to save face somehow.

Yea sure sure China has a lot of people to throw at them. But in relvent terms taking Taiwan is not going to be won by who has the most troops. Haha thinking so is nuts.

But its a much bigger problem than just troop count for China to actually achieve and enforce full control over Taiwan.

Not to mention China needs US bonds and economy to buy/sell to make money. US has many options for prosperity, China really only has US as a main source of legit/reliable revenue.

U.S stops selling bonds and hault trade with China will = the fall of the CCP. Than we would just find the dozens of other slave labour countries to make our cheap goods and sell bonds at a lower rate to other nations to make up gap.
 
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Obreid

Power Poster
Even if China invaded Taiwan under this admin we wouldn’t halt imports with China. Too many corporations make everything their.

And we couldn’t stop much of Europe from trading with them. Would couldn't even convince Germany preventing the sale of centrifuges to Iran.
After the virus, faulty swab test, toxic drywall and dog food, lost jobs, trade imbalances. No we’ll never stop trade with China short of full scale war.

Time man of the year 1936.
0A6D5CF1-DEF2-48AA-B86B-16FBF8B3A2E4.jpeg
Never give up on a good thing till you have to.
 

DarkNoon

Power Poster
Even if China invaded Taiwan under this admin we wouldn’t halt imports with China. Too many corporations make everything their.

And we couldn’t stop much of Europe from trading with them. Would couldn't even convince Germany preventing the sale of centrifuges to Iran.
After the virus, faulty swab test, toxic drywall and dog food, lost jobs, trade imbalances. No we’ll never stop trade with China short of full scale war.

Time man of the year 1936.
View attachment 1210
Never give up on a good thing till you have to.
Neglected a lot of other things.
Yea sure sure China has a lot of people to throw at them. But in relvent terms taking Taiwan is not going to be won by who has the most troops. Haha thinking so is nuts.

But its a much bigger problem than just troop count for China to actually achieve and enforce full control over Taiwan.
Much more to taking Taiwan than just foot solider count or economic war by US.

The hault of selling bonds and trade are just extra things they would have to worry about in their peripheral vision that would be low on the lists of problems in a immediate sense anyway.
 
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DEFCON Warning System

Director
Staff member
Not to mention China needs US bonds and economy to buy/sell to make money.
The US is not going to boycott China over Taiwan.

China invades, the US protests, makes some futile military effort to repel, imposes some sanctions.

But in the end, the US will not break economic relations with China.
 

DarkNoon

Power Poster
The US is not going to boycott China over Taiwan.

China invades, the US protests, makes some futile military effort to repel, imposes some sanctions.

But in the end, the US will not break economic relations with China.
The hault of selling bonds and trade are just extra things they would have to worry about in their peripheral vision that would be low on the lists of problems in a immediate sense anyway.
Again for a second time, that would not be Chinas biggest problem if they did invade. That is just on the lower level of the very immediate problems they will face taking Taiwan.
 

Obreid

Power Poster
The US is not going to boycott China over Taiwan.

China invades, the US protests, makes some futile military effort to repel, imposes some sanctions.

But in the end, the US will not break economic relations with China.
Sadly probably not. The mistake is in believing differences in culture and national aim is just not understanding each other well enough. In some cases it is just nothing but aggression and will to subjugate.
comparatively Americans And many European nations have everything. This leads us to think if we’re just patient enough and provide enough aid other nations will like us and play fair according to our understanding of fair.
That’s not the way of the world.
 

Obreid

Power Poster
Blunt their Air Force and missile defense, take out their power grid, drop their bridges and rail lines, launch sustained missile attacks on their airports and sea ports. While throwing up a sufficient block aid that to break it the US would have to engage the PLN and actually start sink ships.
The Tiawaneebegin starving in no time and have to sue for peace eventually.
I don’t believe our country has the will to do it right now. I don’t like it but strongly worded admonishments won’t bother the CCP in the least.
now will China invade right now, no I don’t believe so but they will push in other ways to be sure
 
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