But seriously though. How dumb will he look if he uses a nuclear weapon because he is losing a war HE started. Not only on the public stage but at home too. Hard to spin that one.
All very agreeable.
I do not put any nuclear weapon use off the table if he feels like he is dead anyways. You think he cares about wife and kids truly?Putin won't start world war three over a war HE started.Imagine how dumb he'll look using a nuclear weapon in a war HE started because he entirely misjudged the situation by surrounding himself by yes men as every autocratic bag of dicks does. He's not going to waste his lavish life style over this, Putin has a wife & kids, hes to invested in this world to toss it over nonsense, nonsense HE started no less to.
And to put further salt on the fear of fire the US said they are not changing their nuclear posture as they see no indication WHATSOEVER that the Russian are. So nowhere not even remotely close to WWIII unlike how Twitter wants you to believe it's going to happen any second. Lol. Ukraine has hit way further into Russia an has caused way more damage with their own homegrown drones. These ATACMS changes nothing they only reach 300km, their homegrown drones can go much much further. It's a none issue.
I was slightly worried for a few days initially when Biden okayed the ATACMS but it's been a week now and nothing. US isn't changing its nuclear posture and US has ZERO indication showing that the Russians are changing their nuclear posture either. So this is all a big nothing burger like usual with Putins crybaby empty threats.
This we do agree upon
Geostationary military satellites can even differentiate what type of ballistic rocket has been launched fairly quickly after launch determined by the characteristics of the exhaust gas. This is tracked and determined by infrared tracking systems on the satellites. They can track and plot their course fairly quickly and then track it.
missilethreat.csis.org
www.forbes.com
That isn't how Putin sees it.
You can't hide that your going to use nuclear weapons. You don't use a nuclear weapon without posturing and expecting a response, that's all very extremely noticeable. Not to mention I'm sure since the start of the war our satellites been monitoring Russian nuclear facilities, warehouses, or launch areas watching for any extra or abnormal activities.
Not wrong, it's the way the intell game is, you play to see if the other side bites... No one in intel leaks to the press without the ok, you'd be out of a job, and worse, if you did.
I tend to agree for two overlapping reasons. He’s not going to do it because it would ruin him in the end.
And that wouldn't happen because a sub launch doesn't happen as an isolated incident. If Russia wanted to pop one off from a sub, you bet we'd see some sort of preparation by Russia for a response.
Also…the launch of a SLBM would be a no return point towards an uncontrollable escalation.
But I don't understand the point.
The point is maybe Putin would be wise to quit hinting or threatening the use of nuke. Especially in response to a flagging conventional war he started.
Russia is still a nuclear power with a combined force of brics, that's my concern.
BRICS is an economic not a military alliance. India is not going to conduct any war games on Russias behalf against the west, that's stupid, India loves both sidesing.
Correct. Though I was just theorizing the only way any nation could pull off a supirse nuclear strike anymore would be via sub launch. Even then, that means you don't mobilize or posture expecting a response which leaves you open so in reality would never happen. As you said they would posture for a response. That's extremely noticeable.
Not that I think this is all that likely, but what if Russia decides to a similar missile combat test but with an SLbM?
