China isn't Russia. They are fully aware that the US/EU response to a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be much more reactive than it was for Ukraine, so if they're going to do it, they need to do it quickly before anyone can intervene.
China isn't Russia. They are fully aware that the US/EU response to a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be much more reactive than it was for Ukraine, so if they're going to do it, they need to do it quickly before anyone can intervene.
Biden defense advisor @ColinKahl on Taiwan: "The crisis across the strait is essentially a manufactured one by Beijing. Speaker Pelosi's visit is not the first time that a speaker [...] has traveled to Taiwan. [...] China's reaction was completely unnecessary."
Yes but it is the same exact mentality where Russia epically failed. Dictatorships, autocracies, authoritarian regimes usually get extremely bad analysis and information when it comes to military operations. Simply because they are always surrounded by "yes" men.China isn't Russia. They are fully aware that the US/EU response to a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be much more reactive than it was for Ukraine, so if they're going to do it, they need to do it quickly before anyone can intervene.
China has something Taiwan does not, and that is a practically unlimited supply of cannon fodder. They could throw a million soldiers at Taiwain, and even if they lose 3 Chinese for every 1 Taiwanese, it wouldn't make a dent in China's manpower, but it would be a big blow to Taiwan.Yes but it is the same exact mentality where Russia epically failed. Dictatorships, autocracies, authoritarian regimes usually get extremely bad analysis and information when it comes to military operations. Simply because they are always surrounded by "yes" men.
You are right China isn't Russia. But to think a country like Taiwan that has been preparing for war for almost a 100 years will be taken over in 2 days is downright silly and ridiculous. Obviously China is being fed very terrible information from military strategic planners or AKA "yes men" just like Russia with Ukraine.
Even without a single shred of help from the west of the United States there is absolutely no way China could take over a country that has been preparing for an invasion from said country for almost a hundred years!
You are right. But same can be said for Russia compared to Ukraine. Ukraine is no doubt superiorly outnumbered soldiers and weaponry. This is where Russia F'd up and this is where China's going to F up. Just because you statistically outnumber your enemy doesn't really mean jack.China has something Taiwan does not, and that is a practically unlimited supply of cannon fodder.
Yes but again Taiwan has been preparing for this exact situation for (almost) 100 years. They will most certainly last more than 2 days.They could throw a million soldiers at Taiwain, and even if they lose 3 Chinese for every 1 Taiwanese.
Of course. But the fight won't be for the win. But ones integral identity. Just like we are seeing in Ukraine with Russia it quickly became a war of identity, perseverance, and attrition over the invaders rather than just winning the war.it wouldn't make a dent in China's manpower, but it would be a big blow to Taiwan.
Taiwan is due to begin its own live-fire drills on Tuesday as China carried out fresh military exercises around the island on Monday.
TAIPEI ACCUSES BEIJING OF TRYING TO TAKE CONTROL OF TAIWAN STRAIT - RTRS
I can't help but feel this whole thing was orchestrated by Beijing. They've been staging provocations for months, if not years - recall the innumerable ADIZ incursions and heated rhetoric - and it's rather easy to believe that such posturing was specifically designed to eventually bait some sort of reaction out of the US, which would then be used as an excuse to move on to Stage 2.
This is an interesting read though.What-If DC War Game Maps Huge Toll of a Future US-China War Over Taiwan:
-Bloomberg <--Link
I don't think so, Taiwan is little more than 1/20th of the size of Ukraine and it won't be as easy to supply with weapons as it was with Ukraine.Of course Taiwan will last longer. No doubt China is watching Russia and taking notes.
It is important to note that Xi Jinping did not mention the "promise" to not send troops to Taiwan in his Jan. 2, 2019 speech. So this WP is not signalling something new on this issue.
China rehearses intercepting Taiwanese warships, warplanes trying to break 'blockade'