Thank God .The U.S. doesn't have the guts to put on those kind of sanctions.
Thank God .The U.S. doesn't have the guts to put on those kind of sanctions.
Specifically they entered the Sea of Azov. So not positioned to the west to encircle or cut off western support.
Russia I believe has already established a lot of their main trade payments via gold so swift holds much less of a bite to those that “matter” in Russia.Thank God .
good news? it depends for whom#BREAKING Turkey says US cancels Black Sea deployment of two warships
https://twitter.com/IntelCrab
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good news!
That is how Russia is going to interpret it.Bidon backed down!
It’s possible, on the surface it looks that way. But we don’t know what was on those transport planes or other assets in play.That is how Russia is going to interpret it.
If the US and China get into it over there, the threat level goes up significantly for every geographic region, every country, every person. Who knows what will happen during and after the fact. I've written this quite a few times on different places: the US and China will go to war eventually IF either country stays on the current path. The only way for it to not happen in my opinion: 1. The US submits to Chinese dominance and we have a new world leader or 2. China abandons it's attempts to be the world leader.Could the SCS situation spiral into Russia launching its ICBMS though?
Taken separately both will probably follow predictable course. SCS is probably more volatile that Ukraine as far as escalation is concerned.If the US and China get into it over there, the threat level goes up significantly for every geographic region, every country, every person. Who knows what will happen during and after the fact. I've written this quite a few times on different places: the US and China will go to war eventually IF either country stays on the current path. The only way for it to not happen in my opinion: 1. The US submits to Chinese dominance and we have a new world leader or 2. China abandons it's attempts to be the world leader.
Really what is the point of any defence spending and the massive need to have a military might that might save some country from being invaded .Could the SCS situation spiral into Russia launching its ICBMS though?
There is a general war rule that offensive side must have a 3 to 1 advantage. Ukrainian forces have a 250.000 count (according to Intel), while breakaway regions have around 40.000 to 50.000 in total, which is not enough to defend. Russian troops are around 100.000 according to the latest reports, which makes is enough for defence combined with breakaway regions, but not enough to actually make an all-scale offence, only effective counter-attack up to enemy defence lines. If we actually see at least a 300.000 to 400.000 force, which is a huge pile of troops, that would be a sign.It's more efficient to scare the enemy into doing what you want then going in and forcing the issue, especially since Russia will face more sanctions if they actually move in. Hence why they are posturing rather than rolling in.
Also, it is a signal to NATO to keep out, otherwise they will face a rather large Russian force. And NATO has no interest in militarily defending Ukraine at this point. They know Crimea is lost. They ain't getting it back. So what is the point of bloodshed?
So there are multiple reasons why Russia is mounting this force but not doing anything with it at the moment.
Will they? If Ukraine does, Russia has to respond. But if Ukraine just blusters, the Mission Accomplished as far as Russia is concerned.