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Putin’s Real Nuclear Threat the World Keeps Missing

william

william

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If there will be no direct use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine, what about indirect use? Is there a way to use atomic weapons short of war? How does Putin make that happen? He first convinces his defense minister and General Staff to prepare the atomic weapons test site at Novaya Zemlya for immediate use. The stated goal is to draw NATO into negotiations that pit the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT), which outlaws nuclear weapons tests, against resupplying Ukraine. The odds of reaching a deal are pitiful, but for the generals it is a low-cost, low-risk option, and it steers them away from a confrontation with Putin, so why not try it? The resumption of nuclear testing is not an act of war. It is a reversion to pre-CTBT norms.

 
That would be a phenomenally dangerous risk. NATO could easily misread it and send everything rushing to DEFCON 3. Heck, NATO almost hit the panic button at the beginning of the Ukraine war. What makes you think they won't do the same if they see Russia gearing up for actual nuke use?
 
DEFCON Warning System said:
That would be a phenomenally dangerous risk. NATO could easily misread it and send everything rushing to DEFCON 3. Heck, NATO almost hit the panic button at the beginning of the Ukraine war. What makes you think they won't do the same if they see Russia gearing up for actual nuke use?
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I'm sure they would. The question is would Nato get directly involved in the war over a weapons test and if russia resumed testing would the west follow suit?
 
If I was a Russian nuclear engineer I wouldn't mind testing the STATUS-6 warhead to see if it performs how it did in the simulations. Although I imagine they're fairly confident in their warhead design, both sides have good computer software due to all the cold war testing (lots of data points).
You don't need to test anymore, the data is there and the simulations are bloody good. Testing is a luxury, it's nice to have but not needed.
 
Friendly Engineer said:
If I was a Russian nuclear engineer I wouldn't mind testing the STATUS-6 warhead to see if it performs how it did in the simulations. Although I imagine they're fairly confident in their warhead design, both sides have good computer software due to all the cold war testing (lots of data points).
You don't need to test anymore, the data is there and the simulations are bloody good. Testing is a luxury, it's nice to have but not needed.
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When I say "nice to have", I mean for the engineers. It's not nice for anyone affected by the fallout.
 

Russia’s Novaya Zemlya nuclear test site ready to resume tests if need be, says official​

MOSCOW, February 8. /TASS/. The Novaya Zemlya nuclear testing ground is ready to resume nuclear tests, if need be and given the corresponding political will, Vyacheslav Solovyov, scientific head of the Russian Federal Nuclear Center - All-Russian Scientific Research Institute of Experimental Physics, told TASS on Wednesday.

"It is ready," he said, replying to the corresponding question.

As Solovyov explained, "a special program is in effect to maintain the testing site’s readiness."

tass.com

Russia’s Novaya Zemlya nuclear test site ready to resume tests if need be, says official

The Novaya Zemlya nuclear test site is maintained by the Russian Defense Ministry’s 12th Main Department
tass.com tass.com

Keep in mind this is from TASS RUSSIAN NEWS AGENCY
 
Friendly Engineer said:
If I was a Russian nuclear engineer I wouldn't mind testing the STATUS-6 warhead to see if it performs how it did in the simulations. Although I imagine they're fairly confident in their warhead design, both sides have good computer software due to all the cold war testing (lots of data points).
You don't need to test anymore, the data is there and the simulations are bloody good. Testing is a luxury, it's nice to have but not needed.
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Any Autodesk Simulation templates out there? ;-)
 
I think if the test were announced in advance and was conducted at a known nuclear test site, NATO would not respond with anything other than harsh language and additional sanctions if Russia conducted an atmospheric nuclear test.

A surprise nuclear test would be extremely dangerous, as the detonation would be immediately registered by our satellites and I'm sure an immediate panic would follow since there would be initial doubt as to whether this was a test or combat use.

And, no, I don't think the US would resume atmospheric testing if Russia did. Most Americans don't want that, although, I have to admit, if the US were to announce an atmospheric test of a nuclear weapon in advance, I would burn through all of my PTO and savings to make sure I could witness it, from a safe distance, of course.
 
RiffRaff said:
I think if the test were announced in advance and was conducted at a known nuclear test site, NATO would not respond with anything other than harsh language and additional sanctions if Russia conducted an atmospheric nuclear test.

A surprise nuclear test would be extremely dangerous, as the detonation would be immediately registered by our satellites and I'm sure an immediate panic would follow since there would be initial doubt as to whether this was a test or combat use.

And, no, I don't think the US would resume atmospheric testing if Russia did. Most Americans don't want that, although, I have to admit, if the US were to announce an atmospheric test of a nuclear weapon in advance, I would burn through all of my PTO and savings to make sure I could witness it, from a safe distance, of course.
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Don’t forget your welding goggles 😵‍💫
 
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