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UA-RU | Mar 7th-Jun 1st | Reports

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EU is advising all citizens to stockpile at least 72 hours of food due to war concerns. (Source is behind a paywall, but I'm calling it confirmed.)
 
A source
According to the article, this is for any disaster and not because of a specific threat.

as war, cyberattacks, climate change and disease increase the chances of a crisis.

Very wise.
 
EU expands sanctions against Belarus over political oppression:
BRUSSELS, March 27 (Reuters) - The European Union's member states announced on Thursday sanctions on a further 25 individuals and seven entities over what the EU said was the undermining of democracy and rule of law in Belarus.
Among those being sanctioned is the Belarus Central Election Commission, the EU Council said.
Read More 👇
 
Rochan have published their weekly bulletin concerning the RU/UA/NATO conflict - and since they're launching a new service, this particular edition is free to read (most of their stuff is paywalled) - see here. Much like anything else coming out of Rochan, this is OSINT of the highest caliber, and just about the best and most accurate info that's available outside of intelligence circles.

Recent highlights:
  • Ukraine is forming the 3rd Army Corps based on the 3rd Assault Brigade, integrating veteran brigades, artillery, and UAV units to modernize its ineffective command and control system;
  • Technical talks with the US in Saudi Arabia explored a potential maritime ceasefire, trade corridors, a line of control, and peacekeeping mechanisms, with Russia potentially open to a non-NATO UN peacekeeping force;
  • Despite some recovery, Ukraine faces high inflation (12.9%), rising unemployment (10.5%), and economic fragility while relying on IMF support;
  • Despite limited counterattacks, the Ukrainian frontline position remains vulnerable as Russia maintains the overall strategic initiative;
  • Russia ramps up recruitment; Total verified combat deaths surpass 99,000;
  • Mandatory defense production quotas and subsidies are imposed, worsening workforce shortages, infrastructure degradation, and sanctions-induced supply chain issues;
  • No change in nuclear posture; however, increased militarization of the Arctic and Baltic and rhetoric against NATO signal long-term regional escalation risks;
  • Belarus continued routine mobilizational exercises; Started preparations for the annual Victory Parade;
  • Potential deployment of Russian Oreshnik missile systems by 2025; interest in acquiring TOS-1/2 thermobaric systems and Tornado-S MLRS;
  • Poland accuses Belarus of state-sponsored migration pressure on its border;
  • The three Baltic Countries and Poland announced their plan to withdraw from the Ottawa Convention (anti-personnel mine ban)
  • Estonia plans to raise defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2026 (potentially 6–7%) amid fears of Russian redeployment if the Ukraine war pauses;
  • Estonia reforms conscription—cutting intake but extending service to 12 months, facing personnel shortages, and debating women's mandatory conscription.
  • Under the EUR1.6 billion armament program, Tallinn focuses on the procurement of artillery, HIMARS alternatives, naval upgrades, and local munitions production; Other priorities include investment in long-range and layered air defense and drone warfare capabilities;
  • In Latvia, despite continued Belarusian-orchestrated migration pressure, critical staffing shortages in border security remain critical.
  • The new 2025–2036 strategy targets tripling defense sector GDP contribution, focusing on innovation and EU supply chain integration;
  • Lithuania plans to invest in shelters, crisis systems, and plans for 20,000 evacuees;
  • Vilnius plans anti-tank mine purchases and the creation of defense industry clusters in collaboration with NATO partners; Accelerated heavy brigade development by 2030 and push for self-sufficiency in defense production;
  • Poland plans to deepen defense industrial cooperation, including strategic airlift, submarines, and nuclear deterrence discussions with France;
  • Hosted LOYAL LEDA 2025, testing NATO's large-scale defense capabilities in a multi-domain environment.
 
📣👇
 
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