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Escalating European Crisis | Sep. 25th/Oct. 11th | Discussions

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Or aliens about to invade for the really paranoid. Please realise I am not serious her just jesting.
I would almost prefer that explanation, because then I could potentially get off this rock. Yes, I might be forced to become a sex slave to a tentacled alien from Argelius 2, but there are worse fates.
 
He also said they would mean the United States is directly involved in the war, three days after stating he was fighting every NATO country in Ukraine. The man spreads more bullshit than a 1,500 pound cow.
This is not entirely false, NATO supplies weapons to Ukraine. What would the American reaction be if Russia supplied weapons to Cuba and Venezuela to fight the USA?
 
What would the American reaction be if Russia supplied weapons to Cuba and Venezuela to fight the USA?
Not much we could do beyond what we already do. Same as when Russia paid bounties in Afghanistan on US soldiers, or the many other times the Soviets/Russians armed groups fighting us.

Arming an enemy’s enemy is as old as statecraft. It isn’t an “act of war” by itself and never has been treated as one.

People talk like this is new. It isn’t. It raises tensions, sanctions, covert pushback, ect., but not open war between the principals at play.
 
This is not entirely false, NATO supplies weapons to Ukraine. What would the American reaction be if Russia supplied weapons to Cuba and Venezuela to fight the USA?
You mean like one the soviets flew sorties in Vietnam? Or when the Soviets and the Chinese armed the Koreans? Or when the Russians put bounties on American soldiers? It’s called a proxy war for a reason.
 
He also said they would mean the United States is directly involved in the war, three days after stating he was fighting every NATO country in Ukraine. The man spreads more bullshit than a 1,500 pound cow.
It’s all just domestic regurgitation.
When nothing so much good is going on one has to say something.

Because staying silent just confirms you’re not doing well.

I wished the US would stop talking about the Tomahawks and either do it or not.
 
Andrius Kubilius, EUCommissioner for Defense and former president of Lithuania. - "I trust our special services. And German intelligence says it has evidence that an attack on NATO is being discussed at the Kremlin. They may be discussing it, but are they planning it…? We don't know - but such signals should be taken very seriously. (…)"
Hasn’t Germany been saying the Russians are preparing for an attack on NATO around 2027 for a year or so? There’s no timeframe in this persons statement so I’m guessing it’s in reference to that or I’m sure we would’ve seen some other report.
 
📣
Out of respect for operational security and the safety of allied personnel and civilians, I’m asking everyone to refrain from posting real time, hyper specific locations or movements of NATO/EU forces during any period for the foreseeable future while Russia is probing or testing alliance/NATO responses (snap drills, border provocations, intercepts, etc.).

This is a voluntary request, not a moderation/staff rule. If information is public, DWS policy allows posting for analysis.

I’m asking, personally, that we choose discretion when it comes to live positions and movements so we aren’t amplifying targeting data for hostile actors. (Same principle we used in the Indo-Pak threads.)

DO NOT SHARE EXEPT WITH STAFF OR ME. At least within the first 48 hours:
  • Exact convoy locations, identifiable landmarks, road/rail checkpoints, unit patches, or bridge crossings.
  • Tail numbers, hex codes, gates/ETDs/ATDs, ramp spots, or live refuel tracks of military aircraft.
  • Port entries/exits for naval units while they are underway or in a sensitive posture.
  • Base ingress/egress timings, railcar counts, or logistics choke points that reveal patterns.
If you must share, share later, do a delay + blur where possible in ANY photos:
  • Delay uploads by hours (preferably 12–24h).
  • Scrub faces, license plates, tail numbers, and precise map pins.
  • Aggregate (“brigade-sized movement in eastern Poland”) instead of street-level detail.
What to do instead:
  • When you see something potentially relevant, PM it to staff privately (or to me). It will be used for escalation analysis and not posted as live targeting data.

👉 Treat social video of “troop movements” as unreliable until confirmed, miscaptioning and reuse of old footage are rampant!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Why this matters⤵️
Russia and any competent adversary harvests open posts for patterns. We don’t need to give them free ISR by broadcasting exact positions in the moment.

In surges, forums can lag or go down, having vetted private contacts and restrained posting habits keeps our signal to noise high and our community safe minded.

If you come across sensitive, time-critical details:
  • Do not post in a thread.
  • Private message staff (or me) instead. Your tip will be routed for analysis without compromising OPSEC.

⚠️📣Thank you for choosing discretion when it counts.
 
Re; German intelligence discussing a Russian attack on NATO. How long do you all think we have until that materializes? A week? A month? Year? We’d certainly seen signs of it happening, right? (troop buildup, equipment movement, etc). My fear is it completely taking us by surprise, waking up one morning to reports of Poland being attacked or something.
 
Re; German intelligence discussing a Russian attack on NATO. How long do you all think we have until that materializes? A week? A month? Year? We’d certainly seen signs of it happening, right? (troop buildup, equipment movement, etc). My fear is it completely taking us by surprise, waking up one morning to reports of Poland being attacked or something.
i guess at least from the moment they decided to do it and start building up troops, so few weeks to couple months ( like Ukraine )
 
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