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Taiwan Tensions | US - Japan - China - Australia

China believes the U.S. could abandon Taiwan

Chinese analysts are increasingly arguing that the war with Iran exposed a key weakness of the United States — a shortage of weapons for a prolonged conflict, The New York Times reports.

According to the outlet, in just a few months of fighting, the U.S. used up a significant share of its long-range missile stockpiles.

In China, this is seen as a signal that Washington is not ready for a long war against an equal opponent.
Guess there is only one way to test this theory. :rolleyes: How long did the US fight in Vietnam, Iraq or Afghanistan.
 
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Balikatan 2026 continues showing deeper multinational interoperability across cyber, C2, maritime operations, and long range fires.

USINDOPACOM says U.S., Philippine, and partner forces completed Balikatan’s first multinational Cyber Defense Exercise, while also debuting a Common Operating Picture accessible to eight nations.

Australia Defence separately highlighted five nation maritime operations involving warships, navies, and coast guards from the Philippines, U.S., Australia, Canada, and Japan, alongside Australian HIMARS personnel learning expeditionary long range fires operations in northern Luzon.

Australia also reported FPDA Exercise Bersama Shield added information operations for the first time, including a simulated “fake internet” environment.

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Guess there is only one way to test this theory. :rolleyes: How long did the US fight in Vietnam, Iraq or Afghanistan.
Not really a great choice of comparisons. 🙄🤦‍♂️ The theatre in topic is a completely different scenario all together. How you came up with this is beyond me. Completely different scenario.
1. Terrain
2. Weapons
3. Logistics
Just a few considerations.
Hint think Japan times 10,000 or more.
Landmass, weapons,boots,equipement,location, etc etc. US Bombed 40-50 cities killing approx 700,000 civilians before atomics were used. None of that made them think twice. Islands not landmass. Shit iran is no comparison and still holding their own. Stop living in the past man. Those conflicts you chose acheived fa to bother mentioning. No real success in any. Definitely no solid victory to bother trying to claim with either. War fighting style for said topic no comparison.
Naval , air, missile , drones, cyber , all new and very different to those theatres you chose. Big shock, huge shock coming should that theatre kick off. Iran seems to much currently . The strait seems to much currently. Neither are anywhere near the size to china or the sea trade route there to deal with. Both land and sea are much much bigger areas than iran and sea trade route.
 
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Japan’s Joint Staff says the JMSDF monitored a Russian linked naval group moving through the Tsushima Strait into the East China Sea from May 9th to 10th. The group reportedly included 2 Steregushchiy class guided missile frigates, 1 Dubna class replenishment oiler, 1 Balk class auxiliary ocean tug, and 6 cargo ships.

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China’s official military outlets reported multiple PLA training items, including PCL-181 155mm wheeled self propelled howitzer live fire training under Xinjiang Military Command and PLZ-07 122mm self propelled howitzer direct fire training under Xizang Military Command. Also noted: battlefield rescue training by the PLA Joint Logistic Support Force.

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The U.S. Air Force says the 356th Expeditionary Theater Support Group resumed normal operations on the Tinian North Field rehabilitation project after Typhoon Sinlaku damage. The release says the group supports Indo-Pacific airfield and infrastructure efforts across Tinian, Guam, Palau, Japan, Australia, Thailand, and the Philippines.

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Australia Defence released a Combined Space Operations statement after senior representatives from Australia, Canada, met to advance combined space operations.

The statement highlighted an increasingly contested space domain, Operation Olympic Defender, and efforts to detect threats to space systems.

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Not really a great choice of comparisons. 🙄🤦‍♂️ The theatre in topic is a completely different scenario all together. How you came up with this is beyond me.
I didn't come up with it. It's history.
Completely different scenario.
1. Terrain
2. Weapons
3. Logistics
Just a few considerations.
Hint think Japan times 10,000 or more.
Landmass, weapons,boots,equipement,location, etc etc. US Bombed 40-50 cities killing approx 700,000 civilians before atomics were used. None of that made them think twice.
How long after Nagasaki was it Japan surrendered. I know the Russians joining had allot to do with it also. It it does pop off over there Japan will fight with us, not against us this time. Not so sure about Australia anymore.
Islands not landmass. Shit iran is no comparison and still holding their own. Stop living in the past man.
Learn from the past least you repeat it. Something Americas adversaries should take note of. The US is certainly capable of fighting a multiple year conflict and we have. I am a US Marine man. We are trained to take the fight to the enemy up close and personal with whatever we have at the time. Sure, the high-tech stuff will be depleted in a sustained conflict. So will theirs. Then it comes down to the induvial warriors, and their fighting spirt and believe me US Marines have THAT in spades.
Those conflicts you chose acheived fa to bother mentioning. No real success in any. Definitely no solid victory to bother trying to claim with either.
EVERY time the NVA, Afghanistan's or Iraqis engaged the US military in open combat they got their butts kicked. They all had to resort to guerrilla tactics. The US would do that also in a war with China and we would do it better than anyone. Lessons learned from past conflicts.
War fighting style for said topic no comparison.
Naval , air, missile , drones, cyber , all new and very different to those theatres you chose. Big shock, huge shock coming should that theatre kick off. Iran seems to much currently . The strait seems to much currently.
Yup, Iran is sinking US ships left and right! We're losing! :ROFLMAO:
Neither are anywhere near the size to china or the sea trade route there to deal with. Both land and sea are much much bigger areas than iran and sea trade route.
 
I didn't come up with it. It's history.

How long after Nagasaki was it Japan surrendered. I know the Russians joining had allot to do with it also. It it does pop off over there Japan will fight with us, not against us this time. Not so sure about Australia anymore.

Learn from the past least you repeat it. Something Americas adversaries should take note of. The US is certainly capable of fighting a multiple year conflict and we have. I am a US Marine man. We are trained to take the fight to the enemy up close and personal with whatever we have at the time. Sure, the high-tech stuff will be depleted in a sustained conflict. So will theirs. Then it comes down to the induvial warriors, and their fighting spirt and believe me US Marines have THAT in spades.

EVERY time the NVA, Afghanistan's or Iraqis engaged the US military in open combat they got their butts kicked. They all had to resort to guerrilla tactics. The US would do that also in a war with China and we would do it better than anyone. Lessons learned from past conflicts.

Yup, Iran is sinking US ships left and right! We're losing! :ROFLMAO:
Nothing equals winning or won.
Once again ships at distance, those close enough have fast u turned and left the zone. In Australia we have a name for blind strikes and hit n run, its called a cowards punch. Kicking ass and leaving before end of conflict ,acheiving no real permanent outcome for initual reason , yep resistance is futile.
As in the aggressor wastes their time. Unless fireworks , death and destruction is enough , then war with no other results is not a concept understood by the masses. Me included. Atleast a minority can see the value of such actions and be extremely satisfied or atleast believe it was worth it.
 
Guess there is only one way to test this theory. :rolleyes: How long did the US fight in Vietnam, Iraq or Afghanistan.
No offense intended by this comment, but the US did not "win" any of those conflicts. The last major conflict in which the US won a decisive victory was World War II. It's not necessarily about how long you fight; it's about clearly defeating the enemy.
 
I am a US Marine man. We are trained to take the fight to the enemy up close and personal with whatever we have at the time. Sure, the high-tech stuff will be depleted in a sustained conflict. So will theirs. Then it comes down to the induvial warriors, and their fighting spirt and believe me US Marines have THAT in spades.
I say this with all due respect and gratitude for your service: I do not doubt the spirit and combat capabilities of the men and women in our armed forces. They are not the problem when it comes to prosecuting conflicts. The problem is that starting with Korea, every war the US has been with has been run by civilian politicians. Desert Shield was the only one where the military goal was accomplished in short order. If the US wants to win a war, the politicians have to take the leash off the military and let them do what they're trained to do.
 
If the US wants to win a war, the politicians have to take the leash off the military and let them do what they're trained to do.
Difficult to do when one political side will do anything to make the other political side lose, no matter the collateral damage.
 
Difficult to do when one political side will do anything to make the other political side lose, no matter the collateral damage.
That kind of applies to everything, including passing legislation, which is Congress's one and only job. Now it's become a dysfunctional institution where the default behavior is to vote "no" on anything originating from the opposition, regardless of its validity and benefit to the people.
 
Now it's become a dysfunctional institution where the default behavior is to vote "no" on anything originating from the opposition, regardless of its validity and benefit to the people.
Agreed. This is something we have to include in our analysis.

And in case someone is trying to "read between the lines", I apply this to both political parties in the US.
 
Agreed. This is something we have to include in our analysis.

And in case someone is trying to "read between the lines", I apply this to both political parties in the US.
Sadly, so true... as it doesn't matter what party is in control whenever one party's in control the other party roots for their failure which subsequently means rooting for America to fail. Which is why I feel we are in such a mess. When both parties root for the opposing parties failure the subsequent result means America fails.
 
No offense intended by this comment, but the US did not "win" any of those conflicts. The last major conflict in which the US won a decisive victory was World War II. It's not necessarily about how long you fight; it's about clearly defeating the enemy.
No offense taken. You're right. I was talking about battles. Battles won, wars pulled out off and defunded. I wouldn't say lost. IMO
 
President Xi stressed to President Trump that the Taiwan question is the most important issue in China-U.S. relations. If it is handled properly, the bilateral relationship will enjoy overall stability. Otherwise, the two countries will have clashes and even conflicts, putting the entire relationship in great jeopardy. “Taiwan independence” and cross-Strait peace are as irreconcilable as fire and water. Safeguarding peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait is the biggest common denominator between China and the U.S.
 
That kind of applies to everything, including passing legislation, which is Congress's one and only job. Now it's become a dysfunctional institution where the default behavior is to vote "no" on anything originating from the opposition, regardless of its validity and benefit to the people.
It's all a quest for power. I hear allot of talk about the US being in retrograde and I believe it is just the opposite. "Absolute power corrupts absolutely" and there is ALLOT of corruption in the US.
 
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