New Russia/Ukraine/NATO Thread - Reports & Analysis Combined

[alphaecho]

BREAKING: Latvia has issued an emergency warning over a potential aerial threat in Balvi Municipality, in the country's eastern region near the Russian border.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2120298630271631550

 

[alphaecho]

UPDATE: Lithuania continues to expand air-threat warnings as reports of unidentified aerial objects emerge across the country.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2120303291577843800

 

[Irag8er]

According to Russian military channels, three helicopter crews, totaling seven personnel, were killed during the overnight Ukrainian drone attack near St. Petersburg. Earlier reports suggested two helicopters were lost. How this all happened remains unknown.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2120517068575695336

 

[Irag8er]

***UPDATE***

https://twitter.com/x/status/2120521859015868423

 

[william]

UPDATE: Lithuania continues to expand air-threat warnings as reports of unidentified aerial objects emerge across the country.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2120303291577843800

UPDATE: Lithuania’s military is now providing further details about the drone incidents that unfolded overnight:

According to Rear Admiral Giedrius Premeneckas, NATO Baltic Air Policing fighter jets made two attempts to shoot down one of the drones that entered Lithuanian airspace, but both attempts were unsuccessful. The drone was tracked over Lithuania, briefly entered Polish airspace before returning, and continued north towards Latvia. It was visually identified near Kaunas, but engaging it over the city was considered too dangerous because of the risk of damage from falling debris. One of the missiles missed the target and later self-destructed. Its remains were subsequently found in the Biržai District. Military officials say they pose no danger.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2120428185485529171

https://x.com/InsiderGeo/status/2120428185485529171/photo/1

 

[william]

France warns of nuclear miscalculation over Germany’s deep strike missiles.

Paris wants Berlin to clarify when and how it would use long range missiles capable of striking targets more than 2,000 km away, fearing Moscow could mistake a conventional attack deep inside Russia for a strategic escalation. Germany supports developing a joint doctrine with France and the UK to manage escalation risks.

Putin is clear ANY attack of any form will go nuclear. Can you blame him? Land Forces cant take Kyiv and GERMANS threaten to send missiles [two world wars!].

https://twitter.com/x/status/2120566973088374854

• The X post by @Defence_Index accurately summarizes a Financial Times report on France urging Germany to define rules for using long-range missiles (500-2,000+ km range) in a potential Russia conflict to prevent Moscow from mistaking conventional deep strikes for nuclear escalation.
• France, as Europe's nuclear power with established deterrence "grammar," fears Russian misinterpretation under Macron's forward deterrence concept, while Germany is rapidly acquiring ground-launched deep precision strike systems amid broader European rearmament.
• Germany agrees on the need for a joint doctrine with France and the UK to clarify escalation risks, reflecting ongoing efforts to align non-nuclear and nuclear allies' strategies against Russia. Grok

France warns of nuclear miscalculation over Germany’s deep strike missiles. - Bing

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[GBS61]

Germany does not possess its own nuclear weapons and is not permitted to develop them.

Germany hosts approximately twenty American tactical nuclear bombs on its territory (notably at the Büchel airbase) as part of NATO’s nuclear sharing policy. However, Berlin has no control over these weapons and may only use them with the consensus and authorization of the United States.