🕵️‍♂️ | UA-NATO/RU | REPORTING ONLY

[NuclearID]

Lithuania updates its national security strategy, explicitly labeling Russia an existential threat and warning Russia could be capable of waging war against NATO by the end of the decade. The draft also points to comprehensive defense and sets a 5% to 6% of GDP defense spending target, aiming to lock in long horizon deterrence and resilience planning.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006314899169820825

 

[NuclearID]

Estonia coverage cites an ICDS expert warning Russia is rebuilding capacity for hybrid attacks in Europe, shifting recruitment toward criminals and “ordinary people” via social media. Also flags continued nuclear coercion messaging as a pressure tool.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006315346433626177

 

[NuclearID]

Telecom operator Elisa reports a subsea communications cable in the Gulf of Finland is broken. Claimed customer impact is minimal due to redundancy, and repair preparations are underway. The Baltic Sea remains a contested critical infrastructure space, so treat cause as an open question until investigators publish specifics.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006334484577480771

 

[NuclearID]

Video:

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006336736637694425

 

[alphaecho]

NEW: A major telecommunications cable between Finland and Estonia has been damaged. Finnish authorities have seized a cargo vessel, Fitburg, suspected of causing the damage after its anchor was found dragging on the seabed. The incident is under criminal investigation

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006410868389544114

 

[Snowfall]

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006437806248542451

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006439594640945582

 

[NuclearID]

Saab says Lithuania’s Ministry of National Defence ordered RBS 70 Bolide SHORAD missiles under the RBS 70 NG framework agreement with Sweden’s FMV. Deliveries expected 2028 to 2032.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006473422453293269

 

[NuclearID]

Saab says France’s DGA contracted for 2 GlobalEye AEW&C aircraft, plus ground equipment, training, support, with an option for 2 more. Order value SEK 12.3B. Deliveries planned 2029 to 2032.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006473934040953275

 

[Ben Dhyani]

https://www.theaustralian.com.au/world/the-times/putin-urges-victory-orders-army-into-northern-ukraine/news-story/47fd7a6724fbd2a0a1a5ef539ab018ef

Putin urges ‘victory,’ orders army into northern Ukraine​

President Putin has ordered Russia’s army to advance into northern Ukraine, even as the White House tries to secure a deal to end the war.

General Valery Gerasimov, Russia’s top military official, said that Mr Putin wanted to expand a “buffer zone” in the Sumy and Kharkiv regions.

Gerasimov also claimed that Russia had “liberated” more than 30 villages but did not identify them. Moscow controls slivers of land in the two regions, but the epicentre of the fighting is further east, in the Donbas.

 

[Ben Dhyani]

Russia releases video footage to challenge Kyiv over alleged attack

Russia's defense ministry released video footage on Wednesday (December 31) of what it said was a downed drone at a briefing intended to show Ukraine tried this week to attack a presidential residence and challenge Kyiv's denials that such an attack took place. This report produced by Freddie...

www.reuters.com

Russia releases video footage to challenge Kyiv over alleged attack​

Russia's defense ministry released video footage on Wednesday (December 31) of what it said was a downed drone at a briefing intended to show Ukraine tried this week to attack a presidential residence and challenge Kyiv's denials that such an attack took place.

 

[Ben Dhyani]

Moscow hit by drone attack on New Year’s night

Read more

newsukraine.rbc.ua

Moscow hit by drone attack on New Year’s night​

On the night of December 31 to January 1, unidentified drones flew toward Moscow, prompting the closure of one of the capital’s airports, according to Russian Telegram channels.

At the same time, several public Telegram channels reported that a drone raid on Moscow was underway, prompting the closure of Domodedovo Airport.

Judging by the timing of the posts, the attack occurred while Kremlin leader Vladimir Putin was delivering his New Year’s address to Russians.

 

[NuclearID]

️
Finnish Customs says the cargo ship Fitburg is carrying steel products assessed as sanctions covered goods, and the cargo remains detained. Customs is opening a preliminary inquiry toward a potential sanctions offence. This adds a hard legal track to the broader Baltic Sea infrastructure and enforcement risk picture.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006686789281390777

 

[NuclearID]

Finland President Alexander Stubb New Year address: Russia relationship described as permanently changed. Finland’s security anchored in strong national defence plus NATO and EU membership. He also signals the US relationship is in flux and calls for tighter Nordic and European cooperation, while managing expectations that any “peace” outcome may not feel just.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006688489530655150

 

[NuclearID]

Estonia’s electronic signature services were disrupted Jan 1. ERR reports Smart ID, Mobile ID, and ID card signing impacted, with RIA and SK ID Solutions working to restore service.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006726695835795671

 

[NuclearID]

Telecom operator Elisa reports a subsea communications cable in the Gulf of Finland is broken. Claimed customer impact is minimal due to redundancy, and repair preparations are underway. The Baltic Sea remains a contested critical infrastructure space, so treat cause as an open question until investigators publish specifics.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006334484577480771

UPDATE: Baltic Sea cable damage case. Finnish NBI conducted onboard investigative actions and interviewed crew. Suspected offenses include serious disruption to communications and property damage. Police are not commenting yet on foreign influence. ERR profiles ship ownership and management links with Russia facing footprint.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006727162296934720

 

[NuclearID]

Video:

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006739055883727262

 

[NuclearID]

Cyprus takes the rotating Presidency of the Council of the EU starting Jan. 1st to Jun 30th, 2026. Procedural but consequential. The Presidency sets agendas, chairs most Council work, and can accelerate or slow files tied to sanctions implementation, defense industrial coordination, and resilience priorities.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006811325800792495

 

[NuclearID]

Lithuania says updated conscription rules and the revised conscription law take effect 1 Jan 2026, changing how compulsory service is manned and tightening the force generation pipeline.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006826515615699102

 

[Ben Dhyani]

Russian MFA 🇷🇺

⚡️Russian special services’ officers carried out a special technical examination of a navigation unit of one of the Ukrainian UAVs shot down on the night of 29 December 2025 over Novgorod region. The experts managed to extract a file containing a flight plan from the navigation unit. ▫️Decoding...

t.me

Russian special services’ officers carried out a special technical examination of a navigation unit of one of the Ukrainian UAVs shot down on the night of 29 December 2025 over Novgorod region. The experts managed to extract a file containing a flight plan from the navigation unit.

Decoding of the UAV route data shows that the Ukrainian drone attack on 29 December 2025 targeted one of the facilities of the Russian President’s residence in Novgorod region.

These data will be submitted to the American party through established channels.

 

[NuclearID]

Video:

https://twitter.com/x/status/2006858327771459852