🗣️ | UA-NATO/RU | Prevalent Crisis Environment | ANALYSIS OF REPORTS

[DarkNoon]

Possibly, maybe. I think if China was warning the West, they would have made their statement public. As it is, they had to be asked about it. Which indicates that it was originally intended just for Russia, but China isn't afraid to air their warning so everyone knows their own stance on the issue.

I suppose. I just don't see China needing to warn Russia. The only reason to do this and “leak” it is to signal to the West that he is contemplating “it.”

 

[DarkNoon]

It was in relation to the latest round of saber rattling in the Russian media. Considering the amount of signaling the west did last time they thought the Russians were considering it, we would have heard about it.

Maybe. I agree in the sense that they cannot hide the physical action or preparation for using nuclear weapons without half the civilian satellite crawlers/groups going bananas. But simply contemplating it among senior staff around Putin could probably be covered up.

And what an intriguing coincidence of the Belarusian president having an unannounced unscheduled audience with Chinese president recently. If memory serves.

 

[Snowfall]

Maybe. I agree in the sense that they cannot hide the physical action or preparation for using nuclear weapons without half the civilian satellite crawlers/groups going bananas. But simply contemplating it among senior staff around Putin could probably be covered up.

And what an intriguing coincidence of the Belarusian president having an unannounced unscheduled audience with Chinese president recently.

Ya know I was just going to point out that Belarus meeting. I think it would be an interesting thread to explore what extent Russia is becoming a vassal state of China. Between China supposedly protecting Lukashenko from reprisal by not joining the war in Ukraine, and now this it’s becoming increasingly clear Russia is becoming evermore subservient to China.

 

[GBS61]

US President Donald Trump announced that Washington would grant Ukraine a license to manufacture Patriot interceptors, telling President Volodymyr Zelenskyy: "We'll show them how to do it... do it yourself."

However, the major drawback is that the first Patriot will only roll off the production line in three years; the production time is very long. Germany received the same authorization in 2024, and the first one will roll off the line in 2027.

 

[RiffRaff]

I suppose. I just don't see China needing to warn Russia. The only reason to do this and “leak” it is to signal to the West that he is contemplating “it.”

Or possibly to distance themselves from the nuclear clusterfuck Russia using a nuke on Ukraine would cause.

 

[ConcernedCanadian]

How should I think about these three drone interceptions over Romania in as many days? Is that just a change in rules of engagement or does this represent a potential deliberate escalation from Russia - as was reported as possible in the news a few weeks back? Do you see this settling back into the “usual” stalemate/attrition, or is this the start of potential more concerning escalation? I’m paying attention, but generally wondering if this is cause for worry.