🗣️ | US-Israel/Iran | CF Remains Unstable & Unresolved | ANALYSIS OF REPORTS

[Torch]

I heard it on the news this morning. Opening the Strait was apparently in response to the ceasefire in Lebanon.

I, too, have a hard time believing it when Iran is being blockaded.

Perhaps it is a gesture to see what the US will do in response.

I think Iran is hurting more than we know. Explains why Iran has not reacted to the blockade.

I think having almost 20,000 high value targets hit in three weeks with precision weapons equal an unbelievable amount of damage.

Think of what Israel did to Gaza. That was just with fighter aircraft. We are using strategic bombers in ways not seen since 1950 and the Korean “Police Action”.

 

[NuclearID]

Refreshed thread. Felt overdue. Even though nothing changed in last week.

 

[TSARBomba91]

Iranian President insists on country's nuclear rights, ISNA reports.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2045954449428938824

 

[willrod1989]

Do we have any idea what kind of retaliation Iran might take in the event of all of their power plants and bridges being destroyed? I would not be surprised if they tried to take out all of the oil production in the Middle East on their way down. If that happened, we'd be in for a major world of hurt.

 

[DEFCON Warning System]

Do we have any idea what kind of retaliation Iran might take in the event of all of their power plants and bridges being destroyed?

That is the question being asked by everyone.

Of course, Iran doesn't have a lot of options.

Their biggest threat, closing the Strait, they have done. (Though why the US hasn't sent escorts I don't know.)

They can start lobbing missiles and drones, but that hasn't been very successful.

Their proxies don't seem to be very interested in getting involved. I can't explain why.

Terrorist attack is the only card they have left as far as I can see.

 

[willrod1989]

That is the question being asked by everyone.

Of course, Iran doesn't have a lot of options.

Their biggest threat, closing the Strait, they have done. (Though why the US hasn't sent escorts I don't know.)

They can start lobbing missiles and drones, but that hasn't been very successful.

Their proxies don't seem to be very interested in getting involved. I can't explain why.

Terrorist attack is the only card they have left as far as I can see.

Interesting. I have wondered why the Houthis haven't joined in yet to close the strait of Bab al-Mandeb. There is something very weird going on behind the scenes during this crisis. Information is definitely much more tightly controlled than in other crises, particularly compared to the early days of Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

 

[RiffRaff]

This really needs to be discussed:

Trump Reportedly Kept Out of Situation Room Due to 'Erratic Behaviour': Inside the Bombshell Claims

A dramatic rescue operation in Iran saw President Trump excluded from the Situation Room due to concerns over his behavior, highlighting tensions in crisis leadership.

www.ibtimes.co.uk

I'm seeing it from too many reliable sources for there not to be something to this. We need to talk about the mental stability of a world leader with access to nuclear weapons. We've done that for both Putin and Kim Jong Un; we can't ignore the possibility for Trump. I'm assuming that if they can exclude him from the Situation Room during a rescue operation in an active combat zone, then they might be able to keep him from launching nuclear missiles as well, but the closest we've ever come to this in the past was President Nixon, and his was more about alcoholism than mental instability.

 

[DEFCON Warning System]

I tried following up on the sources of that article, and they are suspect. The IBT mentioned the WSJ, but I could not find that. The one WSJ article that popped up was paywalled.

 

[willrod1989]

I tried following up on the sources of that article, and they are suspect. The IBT mentioned the WSJ, but I could not find that. The one WSJ article that popped up was paywalled.

Use the website Archive.ph

It'll allow you to bypass most paywalled content.

 

[william]

IRGC Commander Major General Ahmad Vahidi and his inner circle have 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐭 𝐥𝐞𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐭𝐞𝐦𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐚𝐫𝐲 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐥 over not only Iran’s military response but its 𝐩𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐝𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧-𝐦𝐚𝐤𝐢𝐧𝐠 as well.

This confirms what the world watched in real time: Foreign Minister Araghchi announced the Strait was open, and 𝐕𝐚𝐡𝐢𝐝𝐢’𝐬 𝐈𝐑𝐆𝐂 𝐬𝐥𝐚𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐭 𝐬𝐡𝐮𝐭, fired on oil tankers, and called Araghchi an “idiot” on state media.

The diplomats have been sidelined. The IRGC is running the show. And 𝐕𝐚𝐡𝐢𝐝𝐢—𝐚 𝐦𝐚𝐧 𝐬𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐛𝐲 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐔𝐍 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐫𝐨𝐥𝐞 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝟏𝟗𝟗𝟒 𝐀𝐌𝐈𝐀 𝐛𝐨𝐦𝐛𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐢𝐧 𝐀𝐫𝐠𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐚—is now the one making calls on war and peace. A 𝐰𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐫𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐫𝐮𝐧𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐲.

Yup! They're going to get slammed!

https://twitter.com/x/status/2045776994428985423

 

[william]

This really needs to be discussed:

Trump Reportedly Kept Out of Situation Room Due to 'Erratic Behaviour': Inside the Bombshell Claims

A dramatic rescue operation in Iran saw President Trump excluded from the Situation Room due to concerns over his behavior, highlighting tensions in crisis leadership.

www.ibtimes.co.uk

I'm seeing it from too many reliable sources for there not to be something to this. We need to talk about the mental stability of a world leader with access to nuclear weapons. We've done that for both Putin and Kim Jong Un; we can't ignore the possibility for Trump. I'm assuming that if they can exclude him from the Situation Room during a rescue operation in an active combat zone, then they might be able to keep him from launching nuclear missiles as well, but the closest we've ever come to this in the past was President Nixon, and his was more about alcoholism than mental instability.

I have not heard this. I did hear that the President made his voice hoarse from yelling on a phone call he made to the Iranians. The author said he was glad he wasn't on the receiving end of that call. I can probably find a quote somewhere if you want.

 

[DEFCON Warning System]

It was pretty obvious the IRGC has been calling the shots since the last Khomeini was killed.

 

[TSARBomba91]

This really needs to be discussed:

Trump Reportedly Kept Out of Situation Room Due to 'Erratic Behaviour': Inside the Bombshell Claims

A dramatic rescue operation in Iran saw President Trump excluded from the Situation Room due to concerns over his behavior, highlighting tensions in crisis leadership.

www.ibtimes.co.uk

I'm seeing it from too many reliable sources for there not to be something to this. We need to talk about the mental stability of a world leader with access to nuclear weapons. We've done that for both Putin and Kim Jong Un; we can't ignore the possibility for Trump. I'm assuming that if they can exclude him from the Situation Room during a rescue operation in an active combat zone, then they might be able to keep him from launching nuclear missiles as well, but the closest we've ever come to this in the past was President Nixon, and his was more about alcoholism than mental instability.

Dude is getting old. Look at Obama he aged a shit ton during his Presidency. Joe Biden clearly struggled. A honestly think the US needs an age limit for any government position. Pelosi was 85 until she retired!

Congress is practically an old folks home. I am not saying it should have be overrun by naive whippersnappers. But the next President should at least be under 70.

 

[RiffRaff]

I tried following up on the sources of that article, and they are suspect. The IBT mentioned the WSJ, but I could not find that. The one WSJ article that popped up was paywalled.

I can bypass most paywalls, including WSJ. Here is an unpaywalled link: https://archive.is/20260419043343/h...ump-public-bravatrumpdo-private-fear-59814dca

This is a legitimate story and should not be ignored.