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🗣️ | US-Israel (&) Iran-Lebanon | Hezbollah Rejects CF | ANALYSIS OF REPORTS

DarkNoon

DarkNoon

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Nov 18, 2025
Peter Griffin said:
Don't forget the third, most likely worst strategical outcome. These talks become somewhat of a status quo until the midterms are done, and the Admin uses this period to sell our reserves, and line the investor's pockets of our friends in Texas. And maybe the crackheads that are running the platforms in Louisiana.
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That will be a very long summer...
 
Things are about to fall apart completely. Short of a hail marry think Iran is about to call US & Israel bluffs. Maybe Trump doesn't realize it yet. But. It's already written on the Oracles walls IMHO.
 
With another Iron Dome launcher being supposedly hit, this is starting to look like a pattern. I'm expecting once Hezbollah is able to diminish Israel's Interception rate to below 80% Iran will start really trying to hammer them.
 
Peter Griffin said:
With another Iron Dome launcher being supposedly hit, this is starting to look like a pattern. I'm expecting once Hezbollah is able to diminish Israel's Interception rate to below 80% Iran will start really trying to hammer them.
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Yes. I am... Certainly not comfortable with the direction things are heading. I have said many times. I firmly believe Israel will do WHATEVER NECESSARY when faced with a true existential crisis like running low or out of interceptor and dozens if not hundreds of drones and ballistic missiles start getting thrown through IDF defenses. I cannot firmly say with a straight face that Israel would not use non conventional means to end such a threat.

If Iran starts this war back up and calls on US/Israel war bluffs and drags another war out a couple months. Israel could face a serious existential crisis. At least by their definition and one that would meet the means of non conventional manner/response due to a collapsing air defense architecture.
 
DarkNoon said:
I firmly believe Israel will do WHATEVER NECESSARY when faced with a true existential crisis like running low or out of interceptor and dozens if not hundreds of drones and ballistic missiles start getting thrown through IDF defenses. I cannot firmly say with a straight face that Israel would not use non conventional means to end such a threat.
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When Israel says never again. I believe them. And believe they will do WHATEVER to ensure it. Do you?
 
RiffRaff said:
Okay, is IRAN closing the Strait, or is the US closing the Strait? If it's the US, WTF are *WE* accomplishing Iran's goals for them????
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I thought this a weird statement too. But I think he means the US will continue to blockade Iranian ships, Iranian-destined ships, or Iranian-originated ships that transit the strait. In other words, we are continuing our blockade of Iran.
 
NuclearID said:
🇺🇸🇮🇱🇱🇧
URGENT | The 4th meeting between Israeli and Lebanese representatives, convened by the US and beginning two days ago (Monday), ended tonight. As a result, Israel and Lebanon agreed to implement a ceasefire - which includes a complete cessation of Hezbollah fire and the evacuation of all Hezbollah operatives from the southern Litani sector, the Saudi newspaper "Asharq" reported.

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https://twitter.com/x/status/2062313938570629240

View attachment 9139
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Does Lebanon as a national/political entity have much control over Hezbollah though? This will last like a couple days at most
 
Winnitude said:
Does Lebanon as a national/political entity have much control over Hezbollah though? This will last like a couple days at most
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Yesterday Hezbollah told intermediaries they where ready for a CF. No surprise since they still licking their wounds from the first war a year or so ago.

Now this.

So. All falling into place. US pressure, Hezbollah literally begging for CF. It's over.

All of this. All of it. Was for nothing it seems ultimately. All the terrorists pigs and the biggest filthy pig of all the IRGC/Tolah still in power. Hamas still in power. Hezbollah like the last five times will remain and keep its weapons regardless of any deals.

Again. All this. All of it. Was for nothing. Honestly, I am sick. Literally feel physically ill the more I think on this.
 
aje.news

‘Limits of ceasefire’ tested by latest US-Iran clashes in Gulf region

Lebanon's Health Ministry reports that 3,516 people have now been killed by Israeli attacks on the country since March.
aje.news aje.news
(00:40 GMT)

US officials say Trump will end ceasefire with Iran if US troops killed​

Trump has privately told aides that he will consider ending the ceasefire with Iran if American troops are killed, The Wall Street Journal reports.

According to the report, which cited US officials, the weeks-long pause in major US military operations remains intact despite a steady stream of violent skirmishes with Iranian forces.

The president’s reluctance to reignite the war suggests he might be willing to withstand smaller flare-ups for weeks—or even months—to avoid a broader conflict in the Middle East, according to the report.

Al Jazeera was unable to independently verify the report.
 
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