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šŸ—£ļø | US-Israel/Iran | Things Becoming Alarmingly Unstable & Unpredictable | ANALYSIS OF REPORTS

Ben Dhyani said:
Hmmm...sus

Israel shared intelligence with US of Iranian plot to assassinate Trump, sources say​

Israel shared intelligence with the United States that Iran had recently devised a new plan to assassinate President Donald Trump, two sources familiar with matter told CNN, adding another layer of tension as a ceasefire deal between the countries comes under strain.

Other American officials suggested the Israeli report could be an effort to sway Trumpā€™s decision-making as he weighs whether to intensify American military action against Iran.
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I have seen reports of this as the reason why Airforce one planes were switched in Turkey. The new one doesn't have all the security protocols the old one has yet.
 
Playing high stakes game?
www.afr.com

Iran bets Trump will blink first

The latest flare-up lays bare Tehranā€™s anger at US attempts to weaken its influence over the strait, as well as a hawkish mindset that has taken hold.
www.afr.com www.afr.com

Iran bets Trump will blink first​

After a week of escalating clashes with the US, Iran has taken a high-stakes gamble by playing what it believes is its key card: announcing it had closed the Strait of Hormuz in an attempt to pressure President Donald Trump to bend to its will and allow it to retain control over the vital waterway.

At the same time, it has launched its biggest wave of missiles and drones in weeks at US-aligned Arab states, targeting Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, Qatar and Oman.
 
teekay99 said:
I'm curious what this really means.
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Iā€™m curious as to why anyone would actually track what Iran claims.
Trumps bad at this but Iran is so over the top about making hyperbolic claims they donā€™t even rate a yawn.
 
Publius said:
Iā€™m curious as to why anyone would actually track what Iran claims.
Trumps bad at this but Iran is so over the top about making hyperbolic claims they donā€™t even rate a yawn.
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That's a fair point. But even fantastic liars tell the truth from time to time. And Iran's nuclear program, in whatever state of development it may be in, is mostly what this conflict is about. If the regime signals a shift in nuclear doctrine, it deserves a closer look.

But you have a rational point. This claim could just be fear-mongering and exaggeration.
 
teekay99 said:
That's a fair point. But even fantastic liars tell the truth from time to time. And Iran's nuclear program, in whatever state of development it may be in, is mostly what this conflict is about. If the regime signals a shift in nuclear doctrine, it deserves a closer look.

But you have a rational point. This claim could just be fear-mongering and exaggeration.
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First what shift in nuclear doctrine? Seriously considering what they have already attempted to do with their nuclear program. Their decades long stalling of IAEA inspections and continuing to ignore past agreements. The only change in nuclear doctrine that would be a materially change would be to actually give up on developing and actually do it.

Think about this and I know itā€™s a knife edge consideration.
With tensions running high and militaries spun up. Then letā€™s not forget some really pivotal changes in alliances in the region. By those I mean the Islamic Gulf States standing solidly not just with the US but Israel as well against another Islamic nation.
Just that alone is quite a change.

So what would the regions reaction be if Iran did try something with a nuke. Iā€™m thinking it would be pretty severe beat down and years long man hunt.

Hereā€™s the thing about a weak nuclear states threatening to use nukes. Sure they get a chance at throwing a haymaker.
Irregardless of that someone is going to pull out a really big gun do bad things.
 
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