Israel -Mid East Spiraling Regional Conflict | Discussions

[Monarch]

I cannot see the US striking Iran a month before the presidential election

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Israel had aircraft airborne, a plan already in place in the event this happened to hit certain strategic sites in Iran and likely were about to do so. But then the less aggressive folks in their war cabinet likely talked Netanyahu into working with the current US administration and they likely talked them down from the ledge. I don't necessarily agree with this, as Israel should light Iran up over it.

I'm pretty sure a similar scenario played out before they hit the Hezbollah command bunker in Beruit and ultimately Netanyahu overruled those in the war cabinet against attacking before notifying the US. My guess is Bibi likely got a ton of pressure tonight not to do so again and now we wait.

Just my two cents.

 

[Librarylady]

Israel will strike Iran's nukes and oil refineries. I also think they'll go for the regime leadership this time. I don't think the US will do much except fire back (maybe) if there are strikes at our bases. Just my opinion.

 

[King Crab]

Any bets on how many Iranian nuclear facilities are left standing after Israel responds , far too many of those iranian salvos made it through so yea I expect some fireworks in Tehran as well

 

[teekay99]

Hypothetical question - if Iran has one or two rudimentary nukes that can be used, and they fear that an Israeli strike could take them out, would they use them in some fashion or would they risk losing them?

 

[krzepice1976]

Jordan’s military says in statement all units and formations in its armed forces’ general command have been put “on high alert to confront any attempts that threaten the security and stability of the kingdom.” - CNN

https://twitter.com/x/status/1841195468866666846

 

[NuclearID]

Hypothetical question - if Iran has one or two rudimentary nukes that can be used, and they fear that an Israeli strike could take them out, would they use them in some fashion or would they risk losing them?

That's what I'm a little curious about too. I posed that exact question earlier.

 

[teekay99]

That's what I'm a little curious about too. I posed that exact question earlier.

Apologies. I missed it. I second your question and await the vote from the floor.

 

[NuclearID]

I believe it's a matter of if they can deliver it & not a matter of if they have one. IMHO

 

[NuclearID]

Apologies. I missed it. I second your question and await the vote from the floor.

Your ok. a lot of posts being made, easy to miss things.

 

[willrod1989]

Multiple IRGC-affiliated Iranian outlets & Telegram channels report, "Iran has warned the US: if you target our refineries, we will set fire to the refineries and oil fields across the entire region, including those in Saudi Arabia, Azerbaijan, Kuwait, the UAE, and Bahrain."

https://twitter.com/x/status/1841207114666057848

If that truly came to fruition, the geopolitical fallout would be enormous. I'm thinking that the likeliest targets will be their nuclear program.

 

[DEFCON Warning System]

Hypothetical question - if Iran has one or two rudimentary nukes that can be used, and they fear that an Israeli strike could take them out, would they use them in some fashion or would they risk losing them?

That is a question that keeps me up at night.

But does Iran have a delivery system?

 

[NuclearID]

But does Iran have a delivery system?

Let's hope we don't find out....

 

[Spyglass]

Video of the IDF airbase being pummeled.

https://files.catbox.moe/f0xfvr.mp4

 

[Spyglass]

An initial damage assessment reports that Nevatim Air Base was so badly damaged that it is now inoperable.

At least 20 F-35 fighter jets are confirmed damaged or destroyed, as well as tanks, gas platforms, vehicle repair stations, and hangars

https://twitter.com/x/status/1841180637996163157

https://twitter.com/x/status/1841179624207994997

 

[teekay99]

That is a question that keeps me up at night.

But does Iran have a delivery system?

A Mitsubishi SUV driven into a populated area?
An old cargo plane flown by pilots with no landing training on a one-way trip to downtown Tel Aviv?

 

[King Crab]

That is a question that keeps me up at night.

But does Iran have a delivery system?

I'd be terribly surprised if they didn't by now, I think it more a question if they want to go there.

 

[Spyglass]

Another angle of Nevatim Airbase.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1841186748182761832

Here’s a clearer video about Nevatim Airbase ……the most important military base. It had F-35I fighter jets, C-130J transport planes, and radar systems. It was their key for training and defense in the Negev desert!

 

[Cilvilt_beredskap]

Another angle of Nevatim Airbase.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1841186748182761832

Here’s a clearer video about Nevatim Airbase ……the most important military base. It had F-35I fighter jets, C-130J transport planes, and radar systems. It was their key for training and defense in the Negev desert!

Let's just say that said account posted this earlier.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1841019202028687511

I'm taking the report with all the salt in the mediterranean.

 

[Snowfall]

An initial damage assessment reports that Nevatim Air Base was so badly damaged that it is now inoperable.

At least 20 F-35 fighter jets are confirmed damaged or destroyed, as well as tanks, gas platforms, vehicle repair stations, and hangars

https://twitter.com/x/status/1841180637996163157

https://twitter.com/x/status/1841179624207994997

There’s is zero evidence of this and judging by the wording the individual who is saying it has a strong anti-Israel bias.

 

[Irag8er]

There’s is zero evidence of this

The base may have been hit, and hit hard. but I find it hard to believer that Israel didn't expect this base to be hit, and all that equipment repositioned.