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PRC🇨🇳 ROC🇹🇼 | 2025

WaPo - Russia is helping China prepare for a possible invasion of Taiwan

Under a $580 million contract, Moscow has agreed to train a Chinese amphibious battalion and supply equipment for a potential operation against Taiwan, The Washington Post reports, citing leaked documents. The training will take place both in Russia and in China.

Taiwan said it is closely monitoring the situation and is ready for a possible attack.
 
Xi Is Chasing a Huge Concession From Trump: Opposing Taiwan Independence.
WSJ reports Xi is pushing Trump for a formal U.S. statement “opposing Taiwan independence,” leveraging Trump’s eagerness for a China trade deal. That would move Washington from the long-standing “does not support independence” formula to explicit opposition—a meaningful downgrade for Taipei’s international standing and a win for Beijing. The story also notes Trump has avoided clear defense commitments, paused ≈$400m in Taiwan aid, and opposed/blocked a U.S. transit by Taiwan’s president.
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Classified US intelligence warns of China's preparations for Taiwan invasion.
A classified US military intelligence report seen by the ABC says China is rapidly building up the country's commercial ferry fleet to prepare for an invasion of Taiwan.
The report dates from earlier this year and was prepared by members of the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) for the Pentagon.
The US intelligence says the large ocean-going vessels have been modified to carry tanks and partake in amphibious operations.
The ABC has seen the report on the condition that it is not quoted directly, in order to protect the source of the information.
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@DEFCON Warning System @RiffRaff @Irag8er @Sentry @Torch
 
Beyond Lithium: China’s Battery Dominance and Lessons for the World
China’s multi-lane strategy is to keep lithium lines running, scale sodium-ion with national standards plus price caps, use semi-solid as a bridge to solid-state batteries.
China’s dominance in batteries stems less from mineral reserves and more from its long-term strategy of subsidies, standards, midstream control, and scalable platforms that others can learn from.
Minerals may be the new oil, but extraction alone does not create value. In batteries, these minerals only capture value after refining, component manufacturing, and cell production at scale, day in and day out. This is where most countries fall short, and where China has surged ahead.
Today, lithium with liquid electrolytes powers nearly every electric vehicle (EV) and much of the stationary storage. However, China’s advantage comes from the midstream “machinery” that turns materials into qualified cells at an industrial scale. In January 2025, the China Geological Survey reported that China’s lithium reserves had risen to about 16.5 percent of the global total (up from ~6 percent), but this only reinforced China’s dominance of the battery value chain and the global lithium‑ion market, valued at roughly USD107.14 billion in 2024. In practice, control over processing, cathodes, anodes, and factory know-how matters more than simply sitting on ore, because that’s what turns minerals into bankable projects and shippable products. This is well known. What is talked about less, though, is that control arises not only from processing hubs but from the wider environment Beijing has built around them: subsidies, suppliers, factories, standards, patents, scale, and long-term planning that preceded execution.

China’s edge is not minerals, and not just processing either, but a flexible platform. The same suppliers, machines, and manufacturing software can shift across chemistries as science evolves. This platform took lithium iron phosphate (LFP) from niche to mainstream and is now pulling sodium-ion and semi-solid into reality. The question this article asks is simple: how did China build this platform, and what lessons can others draw from it?

China’s Multi-Lane Push
Most countries are still doubling down on lithium liquid‑electrolyte lines. China, by contrast, is running a multi‑lane strategy: keeping lithium lines humming, scaling sodium‑ion where abundance and price fit, and industrialising semi‑solid as a practical bridge to fully solid‑state.

Sodium is widely available, abundant, and far less geopolitically fraught. Crucially, much of the battery-making toolkit (slurry mixing, coating, drying, formation) carries over, so retooling costs stay low. China tied this to a national sodium‑ion standard plus tenders that cap energy storage system (ESS) prices to kick‑start early projects by companies such as CATL and BYD.

China, by contrast, is running a multi‑lane strategy: keeping lithium lines humming, scaling sodium‑ion where abundance and price fit, and industrialising semi‑solid as a practical bridge to fully solid‑state.

On the solid track, 99 percent of commissioned solid‑state cell manufacturing capacity sits in China, reflecting an early, coordinated push into semi‑solid industrialisation with live auto integrations. China is taking a more pragmatic and realistic approach: a semi-solid bridge-to-solid strategy to scale manufacturing and learn at low risk now. For instance, CATL’s “condensed” semi‑solid cell, claiming up to 500 Wh/kg, continues staged testing before wider automotive rollout.

The thread that ties this together is a platform logic: dense midstream suppliers, retoolable factories, and standards‑led procurement. It shortens the time from lab to field across sodium‑ion, semi‑solid, and eventually all‑solid, giving China a near‑term manufacturing lead even as others chase higher‑upside all‑solid at scale later in the decade. The same pattern is visible in the United States (US) and the European Union (EU), where firms are doubling down on all-solid-state lithium‑metal systems. For example, QuantumScape’s “Cobra” ceramic‑separator has entered baseline production with Murata, marking clear lab‑to‑pilot progress that points to late‑decade readiness.

What Worked for China
Policy plus Subsidies: This has been the backbone of China’s battery rise. Multi-year Neighbourhood Electric Vehicle (NEV) purchase-tax relief, extended through 2027 and totalling about CNY 520 billion, provided original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and suppliers with steady demand signals needed to plan capital investments. Unlike one-off subsidies, these rolling extensions created market certainty even when prices fell, helping LFP and Nickel Manganese Cobalt (NMC) battery volumes grow. The same playbook is now visible in sodium-ion, where procurement tenders set clear price caps around USD 150/kWh for ESS, creating demand, speeding vendor approval, and making early projects bankable.
Patents and Standards: China couples industrial policy with patents and simple, national standards to steer technology pathways. Since 2018, CATL has been at the forefront of patent growth in battery technology, showing steady, focused research and development rather than one‑off bets. Crucially, standards are paired with buying power: the new GB/T 44265‑2024 sodium‑ion standard came first, Highstar became the first certified supplier, and then the Fengxian project tendered sodium‑ion at a price cap, so buyers can purchase according to a clear specification from a certified vendor. This “publish the standard, then buy to the standard” model pulls technologies from lab to field faster and is now shaping early sodium-ion and semi-solid rollouts.

China couples industrial policy with patents and simple, national standards to steer technology pathways.

Midstream Control and Coordination: China’s leverage comes from locking down the midstream, where it now produces roughly 80 percent of global cell output, nearly 85 percent of cathode materials, and over 90 percent of anodes as of 2024. This dominance creates cost and qualification moats that are difficult for others to replicate. Just as important, China gets key players to move together: the CASIP alliance brings cell makers, automakers, ministries, and research institutes to align roadmaps, avoid fragmentation, and build an all-solid-state supply chain by 2030. The lesson is twofold: focus capital on high-impact midstream nodes (for example, hard-carbon anodes for sodium, solid electrolytes for solid-state) and set up a clear path from lab to pilot so new chemistries don’t stall before they scale.
Scale over Perfection: China’s battery strategy favours scaling “good-enough” chemistries over waiting for perfect lab breakthroughs. By pushing LFP to mass production, Chinese suppliers now lead global LFP share by weight, driving down costs and improving factory know-how over time. The same logic is now applied to semi-solid batteries, for instance, NIO’s 150-kWh pack with WeLion has moved from the line into limited use, and BASF is already shipping cathode materials to WeLion. This marks industrialisation steps that deliver near-term gains while building a bridge to all-solids later. In short, it’s scaling semi-solid batteries now, instead of waiting for a perfect all-solid later.
Conclusion:
China’s battery primacy is not geological, but a long-term, retoolable operating model. Beijing has paired subsidies and demand policy with standards, IP buildup, and ruthless scale. That has allowed “good enough” chemistries like LFP to dominate today, while keeping options open for sodium-ion, semi-solid, and solid-state. Investing where it moves the needle is the rule, not just mineral luck. Prioritise bottlenecks, publish clear standards, and scale what works now. Then bank the learning, and keep the door open for riskier next-generation chemistries when they are ready.

Was a good read.
 
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China's plan to deploy a new hypersonic ballistic missile near Taiwan likely targets U.S. airbases and ships in the Western Pacific, but it will also present new threats to the island country, according to defense experts.
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China’s PLA has built and expanded ultra-detailed mock replicas of Taiwanese government buildings at its Zhurihe training base in Inner Mongolia—models of the Presidential Office, Judicial Yuan, MFA, MOD, road networks, even a 280 m underground tunnel.New satellite imagery shows the site has nearly tripled in size since 2020, with additions as recent as April 2025, tailored for large-scale urban warfare drills.

 
China adding 11 new oil reserve sites in 2025 and 2026.
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China accuses Taiwan president of ‘prostituting’ himself after Trump comments

China has launched a scathing attack on Taiwan’s President Lai Ching-te, accusing him of "prostituting" himself to foreigners in a bid to curry favour, following an interview where he praised Donald Trump.

Beijing, which considers democratically-governed Taiwan its own territory, expressed its strong disapproval, stating that Mr Lai’s "schemes are doomed to fail".
 
📣🧵
Taiwan’s military recently released its 2025 National Defense Report.

While there is no English version yet, I want to translate and break down this report into 3 threads:

1️⃣ Security Environment & Strategy
2️⃣ Modern Force Structure & Systems
3️⃣ Procurement & Budget

Follow @TaiwanMonitor for more, but here is Part 1 🧵

Video's AND Photos:
 
China infrastructure hacks are ‘unrestricted warfare’ against America, former NSA director Gen. Tim Haugh says.
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Fox News headline “A State Department employee is accused of removing classified documents from secure locations and meeting with Chinese officials dating back to 2023.”

Link
State Department employee allegedly removed classified docs, met with Chinese officials
State Department employee allegedly removed classified docs, met with Chinese officials

When are actual going to start convicting and applying death penalty for Treasonous acts?
 
🇺🇸🚢🇨🇳
China sanctions 5 U.S. units of South Korean shipbuilder Hanwha Ocean over probe by Washington.
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