We are living in a season in which relations between the great world powers are no longer regulated by treaties or relations of mutual interest. In this phase of international politics, the “Red Lines” are the red lines that are used to demarcate in an assertive and non-negotiable manner the limits of negotiations between states.
We clearly witnessed the Red Line policy regarding the war in Ukraine when President Putin clearly indicated Kiev's intention of joining NATO as a detonator of the armed conflict. We observed that the Red Line was first communicated to the counterpart through classic diplomatic channels, subsequently made public through traditional media and state social media and then communicated directly by the Russian president to the American one.
In recent weeks, China has also drawn a Red Line, which was already partially present in the recent past but which has now been heavily underlined: no official representative of American democracy should set foot in Taiwan, much less the Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi.
Also on this occasion, as already happened for Ukraine's desired accession to NATO, the Red Line was drawn through diplomatic channels, made known through traditional media and state social media and finally communicated on July 28, 2022 by the leader. of the Communist Party of China XI Jinping to US President Biden. The Chinese Communist Party apparatus also leaked a sentence uttered by XI during the virtual summit with Biden: "whoever plays with fire eventually gets burned"
As you well understand, dear friends and readers, we are experiencing, albeit with the relative lack of interest in traditional media, a new international crisis between the United States and China that is played out on the edge of a Red Line that Beijing considers insurmountable.
To aggravate the situation, already complex in its own right, "gray" accounts but attributable to the guiding thought of Beijing, affirm that the Chinese air forces would be ready to shoot down any US fighters escorting the plane carrying the Speaker of the Chamber Nancy Pelosi if should approach the Taiwanese territory
Parallel to these "showgirls", the Global Times, traditional media is launching several tweets in these minutes which reiterate the statements of strategic analysts who affirm the following: "the Chinese people's army will not remain inactive if Nancy Pelosi visits Taiwan"
Recall that the Global Times is a news organization sharpened by the Chinese state, and that its "opinions" are never published for a case of fate.
Parallel to the statements by the media and politicians in Beijing, we are witnessing irrational exercises by the Chinese armed forces not far from the Strait of Formosa which mainly involve the air and naval component. A few hours ago, a Chinese drone was reportedly subjected to warning fire by Taiwan's air defense for violating the airspace of the Republic of China near a Taiwan-controlled islet not far from Fujian.
In the same minutes in which we are writing this post, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi took off with an official delegation from Washington headed to Asia. There is no confirmation regarding the final itinerary of the trip and no information is available regarding a possible stop in the Republic of China.
We are living in a season in which crises are less and less of a diplomatic type and more and more of an economic and military type, indeed of an economic-military type, real tools used in synergy to defeat ancient adversaries who have now become new enemies.
We also remember that the Taiwan issue is not the classic situation of a region that wants independence from a central state. Taiwan is the daughter of the civil war and the defeat of the Kuo min tang on mainland China in 1949. Taiwan represents the other China, in contrast to that of Beijing. It is no coincidence that Taiwan claims the territories that once belonged to the celestial empire, such as Tuva and Mongolia. Both Taipei and Beijing claim to be the only legitimate Chinese power.