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RU Sanction Effects | March - 2022

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Totality 🇺🇦 🇮🇱

Totality 🇺🇦 🇮🇱

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NuclearID68
Things are changing quickly with the news cycle seemingly changing every 6 hours now. So much to pay attention to. One thing being severely overlooked that deserves a lot more attention then its currently receiving is the historic economic turmoil currently snowballing.

I hope my personal assessment of this situation along with laying out the inevitable ramification at home and abroad will help you better understand what is happening. What we are seeing economically is indeed historic that shouldn't be underscored, has implications for every single citizen of the world, and needs to be broken down much more than what the mainstream media is reporting.
 
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I will wright my assessment on regional impact tomorrow. We will take a look at the European, Asian, and American markets on what to expect and how they will manage Russia being removed from the global markets. Will also see what sectors of industry will be hit the most in the markets as each nation or region has a specialization weather its tech, resources, and more.

But I will get into even further detail as we get into local and individual setbacks from Russian sanctions. @DEFCON Warning System wanted me to layout what is exactly happening economically and gladly will. But it will take me a couple days to completely lay this all out here. So stay tuned.

If anyone was wondering I've taken a considerable hit financially since the sanction hammer came down. But mitigated my losses because foreseen this coming. Though didn't foresee how far we would go with the sanctions & even the private sector imposing their own bans have there own blow backs too. I will also go into detail on how people like me are protecting our money during turbulent times so you know how the rich stay rich during market crashes.
 
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DEFCON Warning System said:
So if things are this bad, why isn't it causing Russia to re-evaluate it's rampage in Ukraine? Wouldn't they want to stop the bleeding?
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Personally its a game of who blinks first. The West cannot keep this total embargo up for long on Russia without some major consequences for the West. But same can be said for Russia. If things keep up Russia will eventually collapse or descend into civil discord because without a functioning economy you don't have a functioning society.

But for all intensive purpose it looks like the West is ready to deal with the very real and very serious blow back that is to come from completely removing Russia from the global markets. Which the West can handle if we work really hard. But Russia cannot handle this obviously,..... 9 days in and their already in the tank and will eventually have to fold or face another collapse.
 
DEFCON Warning System said:
So if things are this bad, why isn't it causing Russia to re-evaluate it's rampage in Ukraine? Wouldn't they want to stop the bleeding?
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Also need to keep in mind like I said in my assessment globally.... Even if sanctions where dropped today the damage is already done, it will take years if not a decade for Russia to recover what it has lost just in 9 days... So Putin does not have much less to lose to keep pushing forward still for now that is. Putin can't keep it up to long. However the West can afford to keep it up for sometime.

Putin needs a victory or a excuse to quick end this. He is passing the point of no return soon (imo) economically for his nation.
 
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I'm sure there are many other sectors to contend with, but the first two that come to my mind are the loss of fertilizer (which will affect crop production with shortages for the rest of the world) and also Russia's export of wheat. Sure, fuel is involved, but I'm looking at the areas that will have the largest effect.
 
TCharley300 said:
Sure, fuel is involved
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Yes but its much larger scope than fuel if we are talking oil from Russia. In fact about 8% to 10% of our total oil supply globally goes to making plastic. Everything made from plastic so you get the picture. There really won't be much that isn't effected someway by this.

But I will get into great detail on how this will hurt multiple sectors across the markets and how it will impact your wallet & life later this week.
 
Do you see given that Russia being the world's number 2 super power being backed into a corner with the sanctions forcing the Russian encomy into meltdown and also seeing that there forces in Urkraine are getting taken out with less powerful weapons that this will twist Putin into unleashing a Wmd to save face before being brought down by the Russian people .?
Like I don't really see Putin backing down unless he has a victory of some type ,which could be all sanctions removed or firing off some type of Wmd
In which case I do not know if this would cause NATO to get involved yet given the plight of people suffering in all countries if can not see a mutual deEscalation from either side
Really even backing down from Russia and withdrawing is not going to be satisfactory .lots of young people have died for nothing so far ,the world can not afford more people being killed or invaded for the sake of one persons inability to accept who lives next door.
The whole problem is people do not think anything someone else does will effect them until it does .
When does the rich stop thinking they can rule the underclass when the underclass is what makes them rich .
 
Bob 2 said:
When does the rich stop thinking they can rule the underclass when the underclass is what makes them rich
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Not that I like it or actually believe all rich are that way. But it’s always been that way really rich powerful people and families have tried to rule over others since the beginnings of civilization. And they will never change.
 
Bob 2 said:
Putin into unleashing a Wmd
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Wars can start from economic troubles. I cannot say its impossible as history has shown us wars can be triggered without a single shot fired.
Bob 2 said:
world's number 2 super power
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Russia isn't a superpower. If the Ukraine invasion has show us anything it's not even a real regional power anymore. Just a poor nation with a stupid crazy amount of nukes.
 
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DEFCON Warning System said:
My main concern is the Russian economy propelling Russia to do something rash.
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Yes indeed. Wars have been started over much less crap.

What happens when the bulk of the Russian people show up at the Kremlin demanding answers as to why they can't get money or a loaf of bread costs 80 million rubles. If things are not taken care of properly a collapsing or swirling Russian Nation could be disastrous for everyone.

EVEN IF Putin didn't bring everyone down with him. We would still have like 6,000 nukes just floating waiting to be taken or sold on the black market after a collapse. The implications are mind boggling.
 
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DEFCON Warning System said:
My main concern is the Russian economy propelling Russia to do something rash.
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Yes I see the possibility of European invasion to relieve sanctions. Or worse case Russia believes they have no future unless they throw everything they have military wise at Europe and failing that launch nukes. Its a dangerous situation where everyone can still lose alot more than believed.
 
Yingyang said:
Yes I see the possibility of European invasion to relieve sanctions. Or worse case Russia believes they have no future unless they throw everything they have military wise at Europe and failing that launch nukes. Its a dangerous situation where everyone can still lose alot more than believed.
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Personally don't see world war three happening if Russia collapsed. But something almost just as bad could come of it.

Like dozens of terrorist obtaining a nuke or radioactive material. Other nations could seek to obtain Russian nukes in the fog of Russian national discord.

Or even worse the West & China end up fighting over what faction within Russia takes control once the dust settles from a collapse.
 
DarkNoon said:
Personally don't see world war three happening if Russia collapsed. But something almost just as bad could come of it.

Like dozens of terrorist obtaining a nuke or radioactive material. Other nations could seek to obtain Russian nukes in the fog of Russian national discord.

Or even worse the West & China end up fighting over what faction within Russia takes control once the dust settles from a collapse.
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Kazakstan would be swallowed up by China. Nothing China would like more than their reserve.
 
DarkNoon said:
Because it's common sense to think China and the West won't agree on whomever or whatever party takes control of Russia after a collapse.
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Common sense tells me Putin will launch before his country is controlled by another or even reach such collapse. This why i said he will exhaust his conventional forces against Europe to seek relief from those countries he defeats. Failing that he launches. He will not idly sit back and suck it up like you all hope for. Trust me. Don't fool yourselves.
 
Yingyang said:
Common sense tells me Putin will launch before his country is controlled by another or even reach such collapse. This why i said he will exhaust his conventional forces against Europe to seek relief from those countries he defeats. Failing that he launches. He will not idly sit back and suck it up like you all hope for. Trust me. Don't fool yourselves.
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Well if things keep up we will find out who is right soon enough..... Frankly hope we are both wrong for the outcomes of a Russian collapse.
 
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