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Taiwan/Pacific Tensions | US-Japan-Australia / China-Russia

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Australia is expanding sovereign munitions production with a $72 million contract for a new large calibre ammunition forging capability in Maryborough, Queensland.

The facility is planned to produce 155mm M795 artillery projectiles, with an initial capacity of 15,000 rounds per year and operations expected by the end of 2028.

Australia also announced a $9.2 million modernization of Thales Australia’s 5 inch naval munitions production line at Benalla.

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Australia & Japan conducted an anti submarine warfare exercise involving 4 Royal Australian Navy ships, 2 RAN submarines, 4 MH-60R Seahawks, a RAAF P-8A Poseidon, and Japan’s JS Kumano with an embarked helicopter. The exercise tested ASW, contested logistics, engineering, aviation operations, and underway sustainment, with HMAS Supply acting as a logistics hub for fuel, food, and ammunition transfers.

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Japan’s Maritime Staff Office announced FY2026 live mine disposal training and Japan & U.S. special mine sweeping training around Iwo Jima, scheduled for June 15th through 27th.

JMSDF says the objective is to improve mine warfare capability and interoperability with the U.S. Navy.

Participants include 8 JMSDF ships and U.S. Navy EOD Mobile Unit 5 personnel. Training includes mine countermeasures, mine sweeping, mine hunting, and underwater disposal.

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Japan’s Maritime Self Defense Force announced a Japan & U.S. bilateral exercise conducted June 9 south of Okinawa. Participating aircraft included JMSDF P-1 and P-3C maritime patrol aircraft and a U.S. Navy P-8A Poseidon.

Training included LINKEX and anti submarine warfare, with JMSDF framing the activity as improving tactical capability and interoperability with the U.S. Navy.

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Australia’s Air Force is moving its EDGY Autonomous ISR project into field trials at Salt Ash Air Weapons Range in New South Wales. The initial trial phase is validating fail safe behavior and real time telemetry, with the program working toward an end to end mission demonstration.

Australia frames the platform as a low cost unmanned ISR system using AI, rapid design iteration, and 3D printing to refine detection models and flight profiles with early operational input.

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Japan’s Joint Staff Office reported two separate Chinese/Russian tracking items from recent days.

RUSSIA: Japan tracked a Russian Navy Udaloy class destroyer approximately 50 km west of Rebun Island, Hokkaido, sailing northeast before transiting eastbound through the Soya Strait from June 3rd & 4th. JMSDF monitored the vessel with JS Kumataka.

CHINA: Japan also reported a Chinese Y-9 intelligence gathering aircraft over the East China Sea on May 28th, with JASDF fighters scrambled to monitor it.

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THE BASHI BREAKOUT
China has, for the first time, pushed a paramilitary sovereignty assertion past its own "10-dash line" & beyond the First Island Chain to challenge a maritime negotiation it isn't party to.
On May 28, Japan & the Philippines announced they would delimit their overlapping exclusive economic zones as prescribed by #UNCLOS. Beijing's answer was to send a flotilla through the Bashi Channel & into the open Pacific east of Taiwan, into waters that even its own most expansive maps don't (yet) claim. The key is in which ships Beijing sent: China uses its navy to assert capability--what it can do by force. It uses its coast guard & other government ships as a paramilitary force to assert sovereignty--what it claims. Not one ship in this flotilla was a warship, because this was a sovereignty claim. That's what's really new here. For over a decade China used these same gray-zone tactics to assert sovereignty inside its South China Sea "nine-dash line". This week's action pushed somewhere new--going past even the 10th "dash" Beijing added to its 2023 map. Beyond the First Island Chain.
This assertion was aimed not at Taiwan alone, but at two US treaty allies. China branded the Japan-Philippine talks "completely illegal and void". Note how China's "backyard" continues to expand. So, in fact, does its "living room".
What SeaLight's tracking shows:
From 1-5 June, CCG cutters Daishan (2502) & Baita (2304) ran the first clockwise patrol over 200nm east of Taiwan's easternmost island--well past the 10th "dash" on Beijing's 2023 map.
Late on June 7th, a second wave of 3 provincial Maritime Safety Administration cutters & a rescue tug pushed into the Bashi Channel. The formation entered Taiwan's restricted waters ~30nm off the southern tip, drew a 7-ship Taiwan Coast Guard standoff, then also pushed east.
Beijing's state media left no doubt about what it all meant, first with an official announcement, then a June 7 Global Times viewpoint column naming the operation "a sovereignty declaration with both legal significance and political signaling.
"Taiwan's NSC chief named it "expansionism in disguise," Defense Minister Koo said it was "cognitive warfare." Both are quite correct.But the deeper target is Tokyo, Manila & Washington DC, since if Beijing can run a paramilitary sovereignty assertion directly against two US allies' lawful EEZ talks in waters far beyond even its own claim lines, the real message is that China's maritime claims are not just expansive and ambiguous, they are unbounded.
 
The US better get this Gulf business wrapped up and pivot back to Asia. IMO

How much do you wanna bet that we're going to see a few "BOOMERS" suddenly surface in strategic areas if the CCP keeps pushing!
 
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Australia reported more than 3,000 personnel are participating in Exercise Southern Jackaroo, the Australian Army’s largest domestic multinational exercise this year.

The exercise is centered around Townsville and includes forces from Australia, the United States, Japan, Papua New Guinea, and South Korea. It runs from May 29th to July 3rd.

Australian Army leadership called it “not routine training” and described it as a “rehearsal for war,” focused on readiness, integration, austere operations, and the ability to “fight on arrival.”

Japan’s contingent also noted that Australia allows long range fires and UAV activity with fewer restrictions than they can conduct at home.

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Japan’s Joint Staff Office reported today that JMSDF tracked two Chinese Navy vessels near Japan’s southwestern approaches.

Japan detected a Jiangkai II-class frigate, hull 515, and a Luyang III-class missile destroyer, hull 155, about 70 km southeast of Okinawa around 1700 on June 6, sailing northeast.

The vessels later loitered east of Kikai Island from June 8th to 9th, before moving southwest on June 10th through waters between Amami Oshima and Yokoate Island toward the East China Sea. JMSDF monitored with JS Tenryu and a P-3C from Naha.

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Japan’s Joint Staff Office reported today that JMSDF tracked a Chinese Navy Dongdiao class intelligence gathering ship, hull 796, near Kagoshima Prefecture. Japan detected the vessel about 80 km west of Kuchinoerabu Island around 0600 on June 10th, sailing northeast.

Japan later confirmed the vessel transited east through the Osumi Strait toward the Pacific. JMSDF monitored the intelligence ship with JS Otaka from Sasebo.

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Japan’s Joint Staff Office released its monthly Middle East information gathering update for May. The report lists JS Yudachi operating in the high seas of the Gulf of Oman / northern Arabian Sea, with P-3C activity in the Gulf of Aden / western northern Arabian Sea.

Related counter piracy reports also show routine P-3C and maritime force activity.

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U.S. Pacific Fleet said Submarine Squadron 3 has been reestablished to support the Submarine Rotational Force. The new CSS-3 will operate from HMAS Stirling in Western Australia and integrate with Royal Australian Navy counterparts to build maintenance, logistics, and operational support for future rotational U.S. and U.K. submarines.

Pacific Fleet said U.S. & U.K. nuclear powered fast attack submarines are expected to begin rotations from HMAS Stirling starting in 2027.


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@DEFCON Warning System @RiffRaff @Irag8er @Torch @Sentry
 
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U.S. 7TH FLEET PRESENCE UPDATE: DVIDS imagery showed USS George Washington conducting routine operations in the Philippine Sea on June 10th, with the George Washington Carrier Strike Group operating in the U.S. 7th Fleet area of operations.

Separate DVIDS imagery showed USS Boxer / 11th MEU flight operations in the South China Sea, with the Boxer ARG described as a persistent, combat credible force contributing to deterrence and crisis response in the U.S. 7th Fleet area.

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