I have some basis there, to think that Biden will be almost directly asking Putin to start a war, and will give him guarantees of non-interference. Sounds like weird conspiracy, but still.
UK needs stability over that region, and with it - time to set in. Britain is trying to get their head inside way too much - Americans doesn't need that, they want to bail out like they did in Afghanistan - with British bases blowing up behind their backs. Their project "Ukraine" is over, just like the Afghanistan is. Track history of Zelensky's adventures - frequent trips to Britain and Turkey with deals throughout last several years because he knows that US is bailing out.
Some economy expert that i trust states:
Last year, I came across information about one important economic indicator of the Ukrainian economy - the volume of capital investment in% of GDP.
For 2020, Ukraine is the third from the end in the world by this indicator.
Here is the end of the list for capital investments:
-Sierra Leone - 9.59%
-Solomon. islands - 8.55%
-Ukraine - 7.51%
-Sudan - 5.79%
-Equator. Guinea. - 5.31%
The critical level of investment in order for the depreciation funds to be sufficient to maintain the state's infrastructure is 10%.
Which means that Ukraine infrastructure won't last long, man-made disasters on industry objects (and please, oh-no - nuclear reactors) are going to blow sooner on later. If Ukrainian elites directing budget that way - they don't plan to stay much longer in there.
If you look at the economic indicators of Ukraine, they are terrifying - with a drop in GDP in national currency by 2%, Ukraine's public debt is more than 60% of GDP, while the trade balance is becoming positive in 2020.
Import - 5.287 billion USD
Export - 5.548 billion USD
Although, under the last 3 Ukraine presidents, this balance was negative.
Sudden surge of export income means they are starting to sell away the country - everything they can get their hands on. And they are not even using this money to invest into maintenance. Economy of Ukraine is fading out.
From this we can draw the paradoxical conclusion that the main interests in losing the war with Russia are the Ukrainian elite. That's right - they interested in starting a war and losing quickly in it. Thus, they will be able to leave as heroes, and the costs of the Ukrainian infrastructure will fall on the Russian budget.
As a result, it turns out that the main interests in the imminent war between Russia and Ukraine, as well as in the quick defeat, are the Ukrainian elites and the United States, and the main interests in keeping the situation in check are the British, they need time to build military bases in there.
