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UA-RU | Jan.-1st-2026/August 20th | Analysis

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Snowfall said:
“According to preliminary findings, it looks like a toy drone, but we are waiting for the opinion of experts on this matter," said Polsat News, spokesman for the Military Gendarmerie, Col. Paweł Durka.”
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Still a toy drone could be used by hostile actors to test response times or detection capabilities at a military base and being a toy brings a lot of plausible deniability with it.
 
william said:
What goes around comes around! There were russian pilots in the cockpits of those migs in Korea and Vietnam. Should have been done in the beginning if you ask me IMO
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The Soviet Union never officially acknowledged that, but it is widely accepted that Russian pilots were flying MiG 15s with Chinese markings.
 
Lostpuppy said:
Interesting read, its a big ask for the Russian to give up anything.😂
But I am sure they will “Talk” weeks and weeks about it, likely make promises… maybe keep them??? 😂😂
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Pravda and Istina
 
You guys think that EU part of NATO will create an air umbrella to protect the future Energy lines in Ukraine from Poland and Romania now that Hungary creates trouble and wants to block the 90 billion Euros and the Energy to Ukraine, unless Ukraine reestablish the oil line from Russia? ( that Russia destroyed themself )
 
Erecon said:
You guys think that EU part of NATO will create an air umbrella to protect the future Energy lines in Ukraine from Poland and Romania now that Hungary creates trouble and wants to block the 90 billion Euros and the Energy to Ukraine, unless Ukraine reestablish the oil line from Russia? ( that Russia destroyed themself )
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The EU won't challenge Russia. They're too afraid of the consequences. They just hope on Russian good will not to destroy it again.
 
DEFCON Warning System said:
The EU won't challenge Russia. They're too afraid of the consequences. They just hope on Russian good will not to destroy it again.
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I have my doubts, also with all these latest news about mobilisations in Belarus and maybe also Russia, with the EU smelling weakness from Russia and beginning to have their own demands. But lets see how it goes in mid to late april.
 
DEFCON Warning System said:
Here is the actual statement from Russia's Foregone Intelligence Service:


Служба внешней разведки Российской Федерации

Официальный сервер Службы внешней разведки Российской Федерации в сети интернет.
svr.gov.ru svr.gov.ru

Служба внешней разведки Российской Федерации

Официальный сервер Службы внешней разведки Российской Федерации в сети интернет.
svr-gov-ru.translate.goog svr-gov-ru.translate.goog
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Not that we should ignore this entirely, but I feel this is probably the 10th time they accused Ukraine of attempting to get a nuke or dirty bomb. Also the way it’s written, suggest that they say Ukraine would be obtaining to use as a negotiating tool than to actually use, versus other times where they’ve just blatantly accused them of planning to use on. Feels much more like negotiating pressure than a false flag attempt.
 
Snowfall said:
Not that we should ignore this entirely, but I feel this is probably the 10th time they accused Ukraine of attempting to get a nuke or dirty bomb. Also the way it’s written, suggest that they say Ukraine would be obtaining to use as a negotiating tool than to actually use, versus other times where they’ve just blatantly accused them of planning to use on. Feels much more like negotiating pressure than a false flag attempt.
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It's the excuse Russia needs to escalate.
 
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