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UA-RU | Jan.-1st-2026/August 20th | Analysis

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NuclearID said:
Russian special envoy Dmitriev in US, meeting Trump administration members, sources say.

www.reuters.com

Russian special envoy Dmitriev in US, meeting Trump administration members, sources say

Russian President Vladimir Putin's special envoy Kirill Dmitriev is currently in the U.S. and ‌is meeting members of U.S. President Donald Trump's administration for discussions on a peace deal for Ukraine and U.S.-Russia economic cooperation, sources with knowledge of the visit ⁠told Reuters.
www.reuters.com www.reuters.com
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Trust a Russian deal? A US/Russian deal?
Considering how negotiations have currently gone unless someones wallets is filled Ukraine wont see a peace it deserves.

Someone else needs to be invloved not 2 warring nations
especially a nation using threats to get what it wants!
“Russia's Medvedev says World War III 'will undoubtedly begin' if Trump continues 'insane course' of regime change
Deputy chairman of Russia's Security Council says US president made 'grave mistake' attacking Iran, Tehran will pursue nukes 'with triple the energy' after Khamenei's killing”
 
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Warning: This story contains references to suicide and self harm, which some may find distressing.


How to escape Russia’s army: Soldiers serving in Ukraine seek a way out
Russia’s army faces a desertion crisis as it continues to use waves of soldiers to attack Ukraine’s defensive positions.
www.aljazeera.com

How to escape Russia’s army: Soldiers serving in Ukraine seek a way out

Russia's army faces a desertion crisis as it continues to use waves of soldiers to attack Ukraine's defensive positions.
www.aljazeera.com www.aljazeera.com
 
@Noel reports: Zelensky says Russia answered Ukraine’s full ceasefire proposal with new strikes and attacks across Donetsk, Kharkiv, Dnipro, Sumy, Chernihiv, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions. He said Russia halted no form of military activity and Ukraine will act in kind, with further responses determined by the overnight and tomorrow’s situation. Zelensky said Kyiv is ready for peace, but Moscow’s parade now depends on Ukraine.
 
A lot of drone activities lately on NATO's Eastern Flank. 🕵️‍♂️🇷🇺 Paired with all the military drills occuring on the Eastern front as well. 🤔 Russia probably trying to take a peak at NATO exercises & test readiness.
 
NuclearID said:
A lot of drone activities lately on NATO's Eastern Flank. 🕵️‍♂️🇷🇺 Paired with all the military drills occuring on the Eastern front as well. 🤔 Russia probably trying to take a peak at NATO exercises & test readiness.
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Things that make you go hmmmm.... 🔎
NuclearID said:
🇷🇺🗣️
Russia’s UN ambassador told the Security Council that Moscow had information Ukraine planned to launch military drones from Latvia and other Baltic states. He warned NATO membership would not protect them from retaliation. Latvia rejected the claim as “pure fiction,” and the U.S. rebuked the threat.

🔗⤵️
https://twitter.com/x/status/2056837002725659000
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DEFCON Warning System said:
Russia has made these claims before. Not dismissing. Just noting.
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They have. They have also used drills as cover for real military maneuvers (Ukraine, for one example). Just another rung on the ladder to World War 3 that we are slowly climbing.
 
NuclearID said:
A lot of drone activities lately on NATO's Eastern Flank. 🕵️‍♂️🇷🇺
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👇 Told you so. I knew I was seeing a pattern in my reporting.
NuclearID said:
🇳🇴✈️🇷🇺
Since mid April, the Norwegian F35 fighters, which are in the so calledQRA readinessat Evenes, deployed almost daily to "stop" Russian military aircraft.

🔗⤵️
www.nrk.no

Rykker ut daglig for å avskjære russiske fly: – Livredd ukrainske droner

På kort tid har det vært en kraftig økning i antall Nato-oppdrag for norske jagerfly. Ekspert sier Russland frykter ukrainske droner og missiler skal nå helt fram til nordområdene.
www.nrk.no www.nrk.no
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NuclearID said:
🇳🇴✈️🇷🇺
Since mid April, the Norwegian F35 fighters, which are in the so calledQRA readinessat Evenes, deployed almost daily to "stop" Russian military aircraft.

🔗⤵️
www.nrk.no

Rykker ut daglig for å avskjære russiske fly: – Livredd ukrainske droner

På kort tid har det vært en kraftig økning i antall Nato-oppdrag for norske jagerfly. Ekspert sier Russland frykter ukrainske droner og missiler skal nå helt fram til nordområdene.
www.nrk.no www.nrk.no

@DEFCON Warning System @RiffRaff @Irag8er @Torch @Sentry
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The statement from the government says this is Russia’s response to Ukrainian strikes in the northern part of Russia, not a threat to Norway.
 
Snowfall said:
The statement from the government says this is Russia’s response to Ukrainian strikes in the northern part of Russia, not a threat to Norway.
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It's not just Norway. It's Lithuania, Estonia, Latvia, and Romania are literally on a daily now getting drones entering their airspace. Wasn't like this not even two weeks ago.

We are entering a new stage. What it is, idk yet. Don't think anyone does, other than the status quo is changing.

So. Expand the line of thought or reasoning much beyond Norway or their very over simplified reasoning just for themselves, not including the rest of the Eastern Flank Nations over the last few weeks.

Norways excuse would be nice/make sense if it was just them. But it's not. It's almost all of the Eastern front. So. Not buying it.
 
NuclearID said:
It's not just Norway. It's Lithuania, Estonia, Latvia, and Romania are literally on a daily now getting drones entering their airspace. Wasn't like this not even two weeks ago.

We are entering a new stage. What it is, idk yet. Don't think anyone does, other than the status quo is changing.

So. Expand the line of thought or reasoning much beyond Norway or their very over simplified reasoning just for themselves, not including the rest of the Eastern Flank Nations over the last few weeks.

Norways excuse would be nice/make sense if it was just them. But it's not. It's almost all of the Eastern front. So. Not buying it.
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The statement from them falls in line with the rest of it though, Ukraine is launching a lot of drone strikes in the northwestern portion of Russia. As a result Russia has increased surveillance out of fear their strategic facilities in the northwest will be targeted, and NATO has had to target drones from Ukraine that have been affected by electronic warfare.
 
Snowfall said:
The statement from them falls in line with the rest of it though, Ukraine is launching a lot of drone strikes in the northwestern portion of Russia. As a result Russia has increased surveillance out of fear their strategic facilities in the northwest will be targeted, and NATO has had to target drones from Ukraine that have been affected by electronic warfare.
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Okay. Let's say this is the case. Still not good. Still the status qoe is changing. Still requires closer monitoring. More so since everyone is distracted over Iran.

How I see it. Doesn't matter who's right here. End result/analysis the same.
 
Does anyone know if the Russia-Belarus nuclear drills have wrapped up? What worries me is that they were moving munitions “to the field,” which is usually a sign of an imminent escalation. Wether or not they put them back when they were done is anyone’s guess…..

Thoughts?
 
NuclearID said:
Okay. Let's say this is the case. Still not good. Still the status qoe is changing. Still requires closer monitoring. More so since everyone is distracted over Iran.

How I see it. Doesn't matter who's right here. End result/analysis the same.
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This is nothing compared to the risk we had in those days when russian drones were costantly entering and crushing into Romanian soil.
Russia barks because for now this is the only real capability they have, unless they wanna go nuclear, which would result in MAD.
Don't think that Putin has gone that crazy, yet.
 
DrMantisToboggan said:
Does anyone know if the Russia-Belarus nuclear drills have wrapped up? What worries me is that they were moving munitions “to the field,” which is usually a sign of an imminent escalation. Wether or not they put them back when they were done is anyone’s guess…..

Thoughts?
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Ended on Thursday.
We have already seen this in 2024.

If Russia is moving assets to do something more than a drill, we would know
 
DrMantisToboggan said:
Does anyone know if the Russia-Belarus nuclear drills have wrapped up? What worries me is that they were moving munitions “to the field,” which is usually a sign of an imminent escalation. Wether or not they put them back when they were done is anyone’s guess…..

Thoughts?
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Yeah they ended the 21st. I don’t think anyone actually knows what they moved to the field, but the fact security was so light in the pictures we saw indicates they were more than likely dummy warheads as typical.
 
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