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UA-RU | Mar 7th-Jun 1st | Reports

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Key Takeaways From America’s Secret Military Partnership With Ukraine

An investigation by The New York Times has revealed that America was woven into the war far more than previously known
New York Times – For nearly three years before Mr. Trump’s return to power, the United States and Ukraine were joined in an extraordinary partnership of intelligence, strategy, planning and technology whose evolution and inner workings have been known only to a small circle of American and allied officials.

The idea behind the partnership was that America’s close cooperation with Ukraine would compensate for Russia’s vast advantages in manpower and weaponry. To guide the Ukrainians as they deployed their ever-more-sophisticated arsenal, the Americans created an operation called Task Force Dragon.

The secret center of the partnership was at the U.S. Army garrison in Wiesbaden, Germany. Each morning, U.S. and Ukrainian military officers set targeting priorities — Russian units, pieces of equipment or infrastructure. American and coalition intelligence officers searched satellite imagery, radio emissions and intercepted communications to find Russian positions. Task Force Dragon then gave the Ukrainians the coordinates so they could shoot at them.
In spring 2022, the Biden administration agreed to send High Mobility Artillery Systems, or HIMARS, which used satellite-guided rockets for strikes up to 50 miles distant.

In the war’s first year, the Ukrainians were extremely dependent on the Americans for intelligence, and Task Force Dragon vetted and oversaw virtually every HIMARS strike. The strikes caused Russian casualty rates to soar.

Easing a prohibition against American boots on Ukrainian ground, Wiesbaden was allowed to put about a dozen military advisers in Kyiv. To avoid drawing public attention to their presence, the Pentagon initially called them “subject matter experts.” Later the team was expanded, to about three dozen, and the military advisers were eventually allowed to travel to Ukrainian command posts closer to the fighting.

In January 2024, U.S. and Ukrainian military officers in Wiesbaden jointly planned a campaign — using coalition-supplied long-range missiles, along with Ukrainian drones — to attack about 100 Russian military targets across Crimea. The campaign, named Operation Lunar Hail, largely succeeded in forcing the Russians to pull equipment, facilities and forces in Crimea back to the Russian mainland.

Ultimately, the U.S. military and C.I.A. were allowed to help with strikes into Russia. […] Longstanding policy barred the C.I.A. from providing intelligence on targets on Russian soil. But the C.I.A. could request “variances,” carve-outs to support strikes for specific objectives. Intelligence had identified a vast munitions depot in Toropets, 290 miles north of the Ukrainian border.

On Sept. 18, 2024, a swarm of drones slammed into the munitions depot. The blast, as powerful as a small earthquake, opened a crater the width of a football field. Later, the C.I.A. was allowed to enable Ukrainian drone strikes in southern Russia to try to slow advances in eastern Ukraine.
 
The space segment of Russia's early warning system appears to be down to just three satellites (Cosmos-2541, Cosmos-2552, and Cosmos-2563). Cosmos-2546 was retired in late 2024.

Three satellites may still provide coverage of potential missile launch areas in the northern hemisphere, but this coverage may not be very reliable. In its full configuration, the system is supposed to comprise 10 satellites.

It should be noted, however, that the role of the space segment in providing early-warning of a missile attack is not as important in Russia as it is in the United States.

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NATO Exercise in Germany – “Red Storm Bravo”:

Germany is set to host a large-scale NATO logistics exercise called “Red Storm Bravo” in mid-May, focusing on the strategic port of Hamburg. The operation is being coordinated by the German Bundeswehr and will simulate the rapid deployment and transit of NATO forces through Germany to Eastern Europe in the event of conflict.


  • Main Objective: To test and enhance Germany’s capacity to act as a logistical hub and "military backbone" for the movement of allied troops eastward.
  • Strategic Focus: The port of Hamburg, due to its significance for transatlantic transport and the movement of heavy equipment.
  • Scale: Hundreds of vehicles and thousands of personnel are expected to participate in the drill.
  • Security Implications: The exercise underscores NATO's focus on improving its deterrence and rapid response capabilities, particularly amid continued concerns over Russian aggression.

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius emphasized the importance of Germany’s role as a transit country and logistical linchpin for NATO operations.

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In a move widely regarded as presaging the end of US military support for Ukraine and weakening American support for its NATO allies, the US withdraws its forces from the Rzeszow airport (Poland), which has - since the outbreak of the war - served as the main logistics hub for Western arm deliveries.

The US had several hundred troops stationed in Rzeszow, tasked mainly with handling logistical issues. According to statements issued by the Pentagon and representatives of the Polish government, these troops will, for the time being, be relocated to other US bases on Polish territory. The Pentagon press release underscores the monetary savings this will allegedly bring to the US taxpayer.

The move comes amids press reports of a possible halving of US military presence on the eastern flank of NATO.

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I’m willing to bet this is foreign national volunteers rather than the actual Chinese military.
The Chinese MFA spox Lin Jian stated that China is "verifying the reports of its nationals detained in Ukraine", that Chinese troops are not participating in the conflict, and that the Chinese MFA advises all Chinese nationals to avoid the conflict zone.

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Gen. Onno Eichelsheim, commander of the Dutch armed forces, has dispatched an internal memo to all military personel urging them to accelerate readiness for possible deployment.

"Make sure your basic military skills and vaccinations are up to date, and that you are physically fit for duty. (...) All units must be trained and prepared to operational standards as quickly as possible."

He also urged soldiers to be more aware of their personal security. That includes being cautious about displaying military ID badges, keeping operational plans confidential, and avoiding apps that share location data.

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