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UA-RU-NATO | DISCUSSIONS

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you don't really know that. And going towards a war with an uncompromising behaviour makes impossible to actually know that.
Russia was clear that they want all of Ukraine. So we do know he will go further than the annexed regions.

And Russia has also looked at other countries.

If you don't think Russia will go beyond the annexed regions, I think the burden is on you to demonstrate that. Beyond wishful thinking, of course.
 
Russia was clear that they want all of Ukraine. So we do know he will go further than the annexed regions.

And Russia has also looked at other countries.

If you don't think Russia will go beyond the annexed regions, I think the burden is on you to demonstrate that. Beyond wishful thinking, of course.

It can't be ignored that the problem started in 2014 and it degenerated in 2022, after a excited "diplomatic" phase well represented by Liz Truss, as to say after a no "diplomatic" phase at all. Until that moment, Russia has tried to apply Minsk agreements, and this is a fact. According to these agreements, the Donbass should have remained into the Ukraine. Furthermore, Russia asked to have a neutral Ukraine. I don't want to discuss if this is right or wrong, but it is just to point out that there was room for diplomatic maneuvers and that Russia didn't have the position you said. Besides, I'm not aware that the Russian position is nowadays that you said, but I could be wrong. For sure, the more we go towards the war, the more the positions become hard. But we can't ignore which has not always been like that. But even the most strong positions can change, as how they had gotten worse, with an actual will to reach compromises. The alternative is the war.
 
North-Vietnam entered the South with any kind of weapon only after the US departure
That is either a complete falsification of historic facts or a misstatement perhaps.
One of the first major engagement of the Vietnamese war with US troops was at the Ia Drang valley 1965 400 US air cavalry troops and a Division if Vietnam Mien peoples army (general Giáp) aka the north Vietnamese army.
This is a sorry game being played here.
 
But we can't ignore which has not always been like that. But even the most strong positions can change, as how they had gotten worse, with an actual will to reach compromises. The alternative is the war.
We have to deal with what we have. Not what could or should have been. So that is why I am focusing on this statement here.

Ukraine is free to pursue whatever relationship it wants. If that doesn't align with what Russia wants, that's too fracking bad for Russia. They don't get to invade.

The idea of Ukraine giving up anything to Russia sends the message that invasions work and nuclear threats work.

Using nuclear weapons to prevent an enemy from invading your territory is one thing. Using nuclear weapons to invade another country is something that can not be allowed.

Compromise is a word that means "Ukraine gives something up." No. Ukraine gives nothing up. Russia is wrong in every sense of the word, and the only compromise that needs to be here is how many dead Russian bodies Russia gets before it surrenders every single piece of territory it stole from Ukraine.

Now, there are practical matters. How many dead bodies is Ukraine willing to suffer? When push comes to shove, is Ukraine willing to accept a nuke or two?

Sometimes you have to eat it to fight for what it right. As I said in another post, sometimes there are things worth dying for.
 
Let's create a list of funneling. Who is supplying Russia with tech, drones, and ammo? Who is providing Ukraine with tech and weapons? Now, why should there only be one side that is allowed to receive support vs. the other? David vs Goliath? UKR vs RU? It could be Russia, China, NK, and Iran vs the rest of the world.
 
I don't want to discuss if this is right or wrong, but it is just to point out that there was room for diplomatic maneuvers
Exactly! There was always room for diplomatic maneuvers right up until Russia mobilized an army and entered Ukraine with the intent to roll the entire nation up in a week and replace their twice elected elected government.

That, and that alone is the defining moment when diplomatic and negotiations came to an end and a became a mute point.
Call it a special operation as, many would like. It was a declaration of war against a nation who had rejected Russia influence and voted as a nation twice to demonstrate they continued to reject Russia external controls.
A “Neutral Ukraine ” Russia cries out. a neutral Ukraine but only when it has a Russia Approved leader and government is such an absurd proposition to make.

This is all dialectic crap!
Russia and the west played the diplomatic game after the USSR fell and most (not all) post soviet satellite states moved decidedly to the west. Why did it happened? Call it what you will; globalism, good diplomacy, perceived better economic opportunities, mutual defense assurances from a recently past oppressive nation.

It really just doesn’t matter Russia lost the geopolitical war with the west when it came to where old soviet nations sought their economic and defensive alliances.
So the west cheated? what the hell is cheating in the zero sum game of geopolitical maneuverings. Does Putin not cheat and maneuver and invaded small weak neighbors?

Russia did not have anything to offer what most of the old soviet states wanted and they threw in with nato and the EU.
That’s it in a nut shell, period full stop!

Why it happens and how it came about is just historical nuances. They were not invaded and forced at the barrel of a tank to become nato or EU members.
The made conscious debated decisions and both parties agreed to the alliances with free will.

So what if Russia was outmaneuvered or it’s arguments for Russian sphere of influence were not heeded. Those nations which Russia consider their sphere of influence no longer sought or wanted Russia influence.
That simply in itself nullify’s Russia demand . Putin’s Russia was soundly rejected by close to a dozen nations and somehow this is foul play by the west? That absurd!

Are we saying that Russias demand for influence or control over neighboring states trumps the will of those states?
Seriously is that we’re trying to prop up Russia with?
That is a ridiculous and tired proposition to make.
Eastern Europe by in large has rejected Putin’s Russia. Why is this even an issue save for the fact Putin will wage war to reestablish it and introduce the threat of nuclear weapons to the conflict they infact started.
By the way that is a prime example of what an aggressing army is.

Here is a thought Russia immediately withdraws to the pre-war boarders. Nullifies the illegal annexation referendums carried out in the middle of a open conflict. And ends all military operations in and over Ukraine.
This would be an acceptable place to begin negotiations.
How about we discuss war damage reparations for Ukraine?

See there is going to be no pie on the sky negotiated truce and settlement.
Putin is too proud and foolish to admit a defeat on this scale. And the Russian people and military are either too weak (a legitimate and understood possibility) or they themselves are too proud and weak and foolish they let a pied piper lead them into a foolish and failed war.

So this will be a war of attrition grinding away in Ukraine for months or years.

Well done Russia with what you have brought to the world.
 
That is either a complete falsification of historic facts or a misstatement perhaps.
One of the first major engagement of the Vietnamese war with US troops was at the Ia Drang valley 1965 400 US air cavalry troops and a Division if Vietnam Mien peoples army (general Giáp) aka the north Vietnamese army.
This is a sorry game being played here.

ok, my compliments! You have found the little imprecision in my argumentation. But, as I think you already know, this was, at the very beginning, the first and almost unique direct engament between US and DVR Army and US obtained an overwhelming victory. Therefore, since then, the "take by the belt" strategy took place against US by means of Vietcong guerilla, that was applied essentially via the Ho-Chi-Minh trail weapons supply chain from the North, to the South, through Laos and Cambodia. And these weapons, intended to guerilla, were very "different" compared to those used by Ukrainian regular Army for a conventional war (not guerilla!). However: this is actually OT.
 
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We have to deal with what we have. Not what could or should have been. So that is why I am focusing on this statement here.

Ukraine is free to pursue whatever relationship it wants. If that doesn't align with what Russia wants, that's too fracking bad for Russia. They don't get to invade.

The idea of Ukraine giving up anything to Russia sends the message that invasions work and nuclear threats work.

Using nuclear weapons to prevent an enemy from invading your territory is one thing. Using nuclear weapons to invade another country is something that can not be allowed.

Compromise is a word that means "Ukraine gives something up." No. Ukraine gives nothing up. Russia is wrong in every sense of the word, and the only compromise that needs to be here is how many dead Russian bodies Russia gets before it surrenders every single piece of territory it stole from Ukraine.

Now, there are practical matters. How many dead bodies is Ukraine willing to suffer? When push comes to shove, is Ukraine willing to accept a nuke or two?

Sometimes you have to eat it to fight for what it right. As I said in another post, sometimes there are things worth dying for.

So, if hipotetically the choise should be between to recognize the new Russian territories to Russia (that after all they are historically Russian) and stop the war, and to have a nuclear war, do you prefer the war, because you are 130,000% sure that Russia will not stop there?
 
So, if hipotetically the choise should be between to recognize the new Russian territories to Russia (that after all they are historically Russian) and stop the war, and to have a nuclear war, do you prefer the war, because you are 130,000% sure that Russia will not stop there?
I would only accept this if Putin and his cronies submit to The Hague for war crimes.
 
ok, my compliments! You have found the little imprecision in my argumentation. But, as I think you already know, this was the first and almost unique direct engament between US and DVR Army and US obtained an overwhelming victory. Therefore, since then, the "take by the belt" strategy took place against US by means of Vietcong guerilla, that was applied essentially via the Ho-Chi-Minh trail weapons supply chain from the North, to the South, through Laos and Cambodia. And these weapons, intended to guerilla, were very "different" compared to those used by Ukrainian regular Army for a conventional war (not guerilla!). However: this is actually OT.
True and you introduce a very real and important reality to the discussion.
There is no partisan support inside Ukraine to support the war time goals of Russia.
Vietnam was not a war I think the US should have fought because of the significant, albeit self destructive, presence of partisan Vietnamese support for the north Vietnamese cause.
But that is history, today Russia does not have any in the way of partisan support inside Ukraine for this war. Just another indication of their ill timed and foolish invasion.
Like I posted to real human rights post, history and past precedents are instructive and useful but they only go so far. With shifts in power centers the rules AWAYS change.
History is written by the victors as they say and that contest is still underway.
So to those who are fighting for their nation and those who are being conscripted to fight to subject another the war continues.
History is being written again and their is nothing we can do to change that.
 
Russia was clear that they want all of Ukraine. So we do know he will go further than the annexed regions.

And Russia has also looked at other countries.

If you don't think Russia will go beyond the annexed regions, I think the burden is on you to demonstrate that. Beyond wishful thinking, of course.
Russia will be willing to say Conclusion A or Conclusion B or Conclusion C was their ultimate goal. It all depends on how well the war is going for them at said moment.
 
So, if hipotetically the choise should be between to recognize the new Russian territories to Russia (that after all they are historically Russian) and stop the war, and to have a nuclear war, do you prefer the war, because you are 130,000% sure that Russia will not stop there?
Well the west tolerated the Donetsk and the Crimea annexation and there was no war. It is more than clear they are not tolerating the annexation of the rest of Ukraines.
Are you implying the geopolitical rules now tolerate nuclear blackmail to seize a independent nation. Is that what your willing to tolerate in todays geopolitical reality. Nuclear blackmail to do basically what ever the hell you want to do. That card can only ever be played so many times till some one say no more. It seems that time has come.

Yeah I’m fairly comfortable russia won’t use a nuke!
They do not have the geopolitical right to use one unless that right is given to them. Are you saying we should give it to them?
 
Russia will declare war next week after XI's CCP finishes on Sunday and then Belarus will join under their mutual defense treaty. Over a half-million troops coming from both the north and south. Ukraine bleeding soldiers and is short on everything and nobody is left to help. Wouldn't be surprised if China doesn't embargo Taiwan at the same time to put maximum pressure on the US. YOU heard it here first!!!
 
When did Russia make this claim? I know others are saying Russia has mined it, but I don't recall Russia saying that.

And by "mining" I mean ready to blow up the dam, not mining to protect it from enemy troops.
Indeed, I think this might be UKR propaganda, it makes no sense for Russia to do this. I think Ukraine may have threatened to flood the Russians out of Kherson and cut off Crimea's water at the same time.

So in this instance I'm inclined to beleive the Russian side of the story, and tbh I'm starting to get a bit irritated with Zelensky's cloying manipulation of western foreign policy. We're in this primarily to police Russia and deter China.
 
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Russia will declare war next week after XI's CCP finishes on Sunday and then Belarus will join under their mutual defense treaty. Over a half-million troops coming from both the north and south. Ukraine bleeding soldiers and is short on everything and nobody is left to help. Wouldn't be surprised if China doesn't embargo Taiwan at the same time to put maximum pressure on the US. YOU heard it here first!!!
Ukraine, and fears over Taiwan will cause US/NATO to strengthen their forces and in particular Taiwan's defences in the coming years. And US is currently busy re-shoring chip-making capability, while denying China access to the latest tech, but they are not there yet.

So now would be a good time for China to strike, while the west is vulnerable and already engaged with Russia, and to cause maximum economic advantage by seizing the chips.

Or they could wait a few years until we've re-shored chip-making, and then no-one will care too much about Taiwan anyway.
 
So, if hipotetically the choise should be between to recognize the new Russian territories to Russia (that after all they are historically Russian) and stop the war, and to have a nuclear war, do you prefer the war, because you are 130,000% sure that Russia will not stop there?
Why does it have to be only those two choices? Why can't Russia just retreat? Why can't Russia surrender the stolen territories?

Why is the burden on Ukraine to be the one to sacrifice? Why is Russia not being asked to sacrifice?

Okay, let's assume the two choices you gave are the only two options: Ukraine surrenders territory or nuclear war.

Even then that is not a fair question. Because the question demands that someone else make the sacrifice. It's easy to demand that Ukraine be the one to give up.

Let's turn the table.

Let's say someone broke into your house with a gun. Will you call the police? If yes, why? Why don't you just give up and give them what they want? You're just escalating violence by calling the police who will come with their own guns.

The position being espoused is hypocritical because it demands of others what one is unwilling to do themselves.

But to go back to your question:

Yes. Stop Russia now. Because they will do it again. And next time it might actually be a NATO country.
 
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