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🕵️‍♂️ | UA-NATO/RU | Signs of Pre-Crisis Environment | REPORTING ONLY

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South Korean President Lee Jae Myung will attend the July 7th-8th NATO summit in Ankara, where Seoul says he will meet NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, join Indo-Pacific partner discussions, and speak at the NATO defense industry forum.

Japanese reporting separately says Defense Minister Shinjiro Koizumi plans to attend NATO summit related events in Turkey and may meet counterparts from NATO’s Indo-Pacific partners.

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Russia has closed rail checkpoints on the borders of Finland, Estonia, and Latvia. No warning; no explanation. Also, Russia is building military infrastructure along its borders with Northern Europe and the Baltics.

 
Russia has closed rail checkpoints on the borders of Finland, Estonia, and Latvia. No warning; no explanation. Also, Russia is building military infrastructure along its borders with Northern Europe and the Baltics.

COULD BE because Finland closed the border first then refused to reopen it on June 4th indefinitely as I reported on June 4th:
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Finland’s Interior Ministry says the Government has renewed the closure of eastern border crossing points with Russia. The decision, made June 4, keeps the crossings closed until further notice. Finland says the risk of renewed Russian instrumentalized migration remains likely if the crossings reopen.

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Also the "random" border closures where first reported by @Snowfall then I followed up with the original sources. Pretty sure it was yesterday. 🤔 Now that I think about it. Don't think I tagged staff. Woops.
 
COULD BE because Finland closed the border first then refused to reopen it on June 4th indefinitely as I reported on June 4th:


Also the "random" border closures where first reported by @Snowfall then I followed up with the original sources. Pretty sure it was yesterday. 🤔 Now that I think about it. Don't think I tagged staff. Woops.
More information, sounds like it was expected by Finland
 
sounds like it was expected by Finland
Oh yea. Like I said. Finland already closed its border in most places with Russia the beginning of last month (June 4th). So. Naturally Russia is doing the same. Surprised it took them a month to respond in-kind though.

This definitely did not happen in a vacuum.
 
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SACEUR Gen. Alexus Grynkewich said European allies have largely filled capability gaps after the U.S. signaled it would cut some crisis time contributions to NATO’s Force Model.

The reported U.S. reductions involved capabilities such as carrier/support ships, aerial refueling aircraft, and fighter aircraft, while allies including the UK moved assets to higher readiness.

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The European Commission proposed five European Defence Projects of Common Interest covering drones and counter drones, maritime and seabed defence, space defence, air and missile defence/early warning, and Eastern Flank Watch.

The Commission says the projects align with NATO capability priorities and may receive support under the European Defence Industry Programme.

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The UK Ministry of Defence says the UK, Italy, and Japan awarded a £4.6 billion Global Combat Air Programme contract to Edgewing for the next stage of the sixth generation fighter’s design.

The aircraft is planned to enter service from 2035, with the UK Defence Investment Plan confirming £8.6 billion for GCAP over four years.


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Polish PM Donald Tusk said Poland is preparing for multiple scenarios after reports that U.S. allies warned Warsaw of possible Russian armed provocations meant to test NATO’s resolve.

Reported scenarios include drone or missile strikes on critical infrastructure, simulated air attacks, or a limited border incident involving Russian or Belarusian personnel.


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@DEFCON Warning System @RiffRaff @Irag8er @Torch @Sentry
The original version of the telegraph article this all stems from came out in Onet on June 30th, it is substantially less definitive then the one in the telegraph, which is interesting considering they are written by the same person, cite the same sources, and the telegraph’s parent company owns Onet. It appears the telegraph article is effectively a clickbait version of the original because the original did not generate much attention.
 
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Germany’s cabinet approved a package of defence readiness measures, including a Reserve Strengthening Act, a Bundeswehr infrastructure acceleration bill, and updates to emergency/provisioning laws for crisis situations up to a defence case.

Berlin says the measures are aimed at strengthening reserve availability, speeding military infrastructure, and improving civil military support for German and allied forces.

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I reported on this 3-4 days ago above. ⬆️ Reuters is just now today reporting on it:

Western media so slow. Not to mention I list the original government sources, Reuters didn't. 🤦 Yes, I am kissing my own ass.
 

Russian defence ministry says its forces captured Kostiantynivka in eastern Ukraine

Russia's military said on Friday that its forces had taken control of Kostiantynivka in eastern ‌Ukraine, a key locality whose capture Moscow has long sought in its advance through the Donetsk region.

The announcement was made by General Valery Gerasimov, head of Russia's General Chief of Staff, as President Vladimir Putin ⁠visited a command point overseeing the actions of Russian forces in Ukraine.
 
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German cabinet approved updates to security & preparedness laws tied to its role as a logistics hub for NATO forces. The changes are meant to support NATO defence plans, OPLAN Deutschland, infrastructure use & rapid allied troop movement toward the eastern flank in a crisis or defence case.

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