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🗣️ | US-Israel/Iran | CF Remains Unstable & Unresolved | ANALYSIS OF REPORTS

DEFCON Warning System said:
That is what we are worried about.
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Yes. If Iran still has a Hail Mary option left under existential pressure, I would not doubt that it would at least be attempted.

At the same time, a lot of people underestimate that Israel, under similar existential conditions, will do whatever it believes is necessary.

So if both sides are pushed into that kind of corner, both could potentially move toward first use of non conventional weapons.

CLARIFICATION: That said, I do not think we are there yet. In my view, it would likely take something major, such as a real collapse in U.S. support, a traumatic strategic shock, or a serious depletion of Israeli air defense assets before Israel would consider a non conventional strike on Iran.

But the threat remains. As long as there is no genuine peace deal and hostilities continue, that risk does not go away.
 
NuclearID said:
Yes. If Iran still has a Hail Mary option left under existential pressure, I would not doubt that it would at least be attempted.

At the same time, a lot of people underestimate that Israel, under similar existential conditions, will do whatever it believes is necessary.

So if both sides are pushed into that kind of corner, both could potentially move toward first use of non conventional weapons.

CLARIFICATION: That said, I do not think we are there yet. In my view, it would likely take something major, such as a real collapse in U.S. support, a traumatic strategic shock, or a serious depletion of Israeli air defense assets before Israel would consider a non conventional strike on Iran.

But the threat remains. As long as there is no genuine peace deal and hostilities continue, that risk does not go away.
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It'd take something drastic from the US to actually cause an existential concern for the Iranian regime, right now they have two unconventional weapons ready to use whenever which makes their language seem very confident, or rather one since the strait of Hormuz is already blocked, and that is the Red Sea.
 
Cilvilt_beredskap said:
which makes their language seem very confident
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Maybe stop to think for a second. They truly believe their death cult propaganda and they're ready to go down, suffer, even if it takes their entire people with them, in the name of their crooked, sick, perverted ideolgy they have been trying to export to other countries for decades. No... You don't say... Of course they speak of confidence, just like any other madman religious fringe.

The world really needs a dose of reality.

Even after many of their own countries have been attacked or had terrorists attacks sprung on their nations by Iran or Iran inspired attackers. Yet, they still remain blind, or choose to remain ignorant of the fact this regime should never even remotely come close to having nuclear weapons.

Then some governments have the nerve to speak on it like they sit on some high horse which they do not after refusing to even do the bare minimum about this. Looking at you European governments. Just hope your ready to fend your continent on your own. 👋
 
NuclearID said:
Maybe stop to think for a second. They truly believe their death cult propaganda and they're ready to go down, suffer, even if it takes their entire people with them, in the name of their crooked, sick, perverted ideolgy they have been trying to export to other countries for decades. No... You don't say... Of course they speak of confidence, just like any other madman religious fringe.

The world really needs a dose of reality.

Even after many of their own countries have been attacked or had terrorists attacks sprung on their nations by Iran or Iran inspired attackers. Yet, they still remain blind, or choose to remain ignorant of the fact this regime should never even remotely come close to having nuclear weapons.

Then have the nerve to speak on it like they sit on some high horse which they do not after refusing to even do the bare minimum about this. Looking at you European governments. Just hope your ready to fend your continent on your own. 👋
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The two unconventional weapons being the choking of international trade via Houthis and the strait of Hormuz, meaning unconventional weapons figuratively.
 
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