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DEFCON 4 | US-Iran-Israel Hostilities May Breakout Shortly | Feb. 2nd/28th | Reports

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Iran’s parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf saying “all options are on the table,” from diplomacy to “defense,” and warning any US military move “amid negotiations” would face a decisive response. He also said Iran would reciprocate diplomacy that respects mutual interests.

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IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi saying he will attend the Feb 26 Geneva round, calling the talks “at their peak” and urging results. The same report quotes him saying Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan suffered severe damage in the June US & Israel strikes, but Iran’s enriched uranium stock “still exists” inside Iran.

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Strong explosion was reported in Bandar Abbas, followed by a wide electricity outage. Initial reporting cited a possible generator related incident, while activists circulated alternative explanations without evidence, and no official cause was confirmed at the time of publication.

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Walla reports the IDF assesses Washington is nearing a “point of no return” on Iran. It says the General Staff drilled Iranian retaliation scenarios including ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and drones, and that Home Front officials expect only a very short warning window before any US action, with public alerts only if launches occur.

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Iran’s government spokesperson said the 3rd round of talks will be held Thursday, Feb 26, in Geneva under Omani sponsorship. The report says FM Abbas Araqchi will lead Iran’s political delegation, with technical details to be announced later by the foreign ministry.

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Germany advised its citizens in Israel and Lebanon to stock supplies and identify shelters, warning of possible airspace restrictions. The report also notes guidance to install a missile warning app in Israel, and references Germany’s earlier call for citizens to leave Iran.

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Srugim reports an INSS poll on Iran related risk perception in Israel. Reported results include: 50% would support an independent Israeli strike if a US & Iran deal prevents US action, 78% say they are worried about the Iran issue, 72% say Israel’s air defenses are sufficient, and 88% say Home Front Command guidance is clear.

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⚠️ALERT⚠️

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Iran is producing ballistic missiles armed with "chemical and biological capabilities" in preparation for a military confrontation with the United States and Israel, according to Israeli military adviser Amir Avivi.


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@DEFCON Warning System @RiffRaff @Irag8er @Torch
This is significant even if it's not true. The use of chemical/biological weapons can warrant a nuclear response according to nuclear doctrine of most nuclear-armed countries. Hence, if this is deliberate disinformation, it could be the precursor to laying the foundation for a "justified" Israeli nuclear strike.
 
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