My bet is the order was given and either declined (kinda a western thing though) or no one answered the red phone.
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Former Syrian Assad Government & Military Have Collapsed
- Thread starter NuclearID
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I have reasonable suspicion that a kudayta is underway in Damascus. @DEFCON Warning System @RiffRaff @Torch @Irag8er
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Unless it succeeds then it’s a Revolution.
As long as Russia loses idc what happens. Looks like exactly that is happening so I'm happy. Russia losing a footing in middle east is big deal. Big win. Imo.
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But what might Russia do to bring this to halt and prevent this?
Nothing they left themselves open because of Ukraine. Putin the master strategist.
They could use chemical weapons but at this rate won't change much. Even more so with a Kudyata underway in Damascus. Not only is Russia tapped in the region but can't do ANYTHING in time how fast Assad is collapsing.Nothing they left themselves open because of Ukraine. Putin the master strategist.
Hezbollah still licking their wounds and Iran still tapped from suppling Hamas and Hezbollah war against Israel. Assad has no options left. Dead man walking. 
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What do you think? Is Syria worth more than Ukraine to Russia? I think the only reasonable thing would be to retreat to Assad-loyal bases in order to wait out the collapse of the general government and see where to go from there.
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Also, like what one of Trump's previous security advisors Xed, perhaps Russia are in a sense allowing rebels to overthrow him. There might be more for Russia to gain in a situation where the rebel groups turn on each other instead of Assad.
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Depends, is Russia content to do as you suggest and see where the chips finally lie?
Or are they going to initiate some tough offensive moves to calm the situation?
Interesting situation they find themselves in.
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I think between prioritizing this and Ukraine they choose Ukraine every time over this when it comes to spending military resources, we've seen some clear diplomatic moves between Turkey, Russia and Iran that seem (at least to me) indicate that neither of the greater powers involved here want the situation to deteriorate to complete anarchy, and are willing to work together in spite of supporting opposing sides in this conflict to prevent that. If any side is going to try to help out Assad more militarily, that's likely Iran. And if the rebels were Shia that'd be a golden opportunity for them to gain a new militia to hurt Israel with, buut since the HTS are Sunni they might not be too keen on it. I do think the rebels could potentially become an asset of Iran if they play their cards right. And last part of pure speculation, conflict in Syria could be an opportunity for Russia to attempt to create some kind of European refugee crisis 2015 2.0 that could generate an increased pro-putin wave in Europe if it happens. TLDR: While the greater powers here (especially Russia and Iran) would prefer a status quo and a stable Syria, a completely broken situation with winning opposition starting to turn on each other might be a situation that could lead to a better outcome in the long run if they're willing to take that gamble. Except a resurgence of ISIL, though. I think Turkey, Iran, and Russia are willing to work together to prevent that.
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Just a quick note: the correct spelling is coup d'etat. This is French for "strike (or blow) against the state". It took me a minute to figure out what the report thread title meant.
Edit: I hit post without finishing my thoughts. I think it's a bit concerning that western media is downplaying the significance of what's happening. This could certainly cause Russia to up the ante against the west. They have invested so much in keeping the Assad regime in power that the surely won't let this go unanswered.
Edit: I hit post without finishing my thoughts. I think it's a bit concerning that western media is downplaying the significance of what's happening. This could certainly cause Russia to up the ante against the west. They have invested so much in keeping the Assad regime in power that the surely won't let this go unanswered.
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Kudeta or Kudayta are both proper ways to spell or use it. It's a French derivative more suited for what's occurring imo:
But I changed it in tittle to Kudeta or more familiar writing. Instead of Kudayta.
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Interesting! I've never seen that before, but I suppose it makes sense. Thank you for keeping an eye on this. This goes to show how quickly a "dormant" conflict can quickly wake up.
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- Mar 20, 2016
Hey just wanted to mention that I use google search for my technical research and I have never seen that Google AI bit give any answer that was correct, something was always wrong in it.
You are correct, kudeta does mean coup d'etat, although only in these languages per wikipedia Cebuano, Finnish, Indonesian, Malay, Tagalog, kudeta - Wiktionary, the free dictionary
I'm guessing Google's AI read that wiki page and combined it all into something that sort of isn't exactly correct
. The AI don't necessarily do error checking, they just guess what word is fitting as the next one. Basically a machine to convince you something is right when it really has no idea haha. If someone talks about AI bots on social media, believe em.
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- Apr 6, 2015
Not so much worried about bigger powers getting involved since they have their hands full and are willing to talk. I am, however worried about the resurgence of ISIS in the governmental vacuum and major movements of displaced people that could be distabilizing for the west.
Me too. But as I stated previously if Russia loses a major grip on the middle east that is a big win imo if they lose Syria entirely.
Israel & US forces from our bases across the M.E and Eastern Europe can drone ISIS back effectively until some sort of orderly control fills the vacuum in Syria OR the Kurds & Sryian Rebels go at each other after they defeat the terrorist regime Assad.
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