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Is it possible to do a Pearl Harbor sneak attack in the modern era

The main component of any surprise attack. The tactical component that makes a surprise attack successful.
Is the speed at which information can be communicated to command authority.

A successful attack on a nation’s satellite coms would functionally help carry out a surprise attack.
But does the attacking nation just limit anti-satellite attacks to military sats.
Or must they assume the defending might also have covert surveillance and emergency coms hacked into commercial satellites as well.
 
Of course it would not be easy. I do think it is possible in the modern era though. Everything I laid out in my little scenario is available today. The only question I think is, would the subs launch under the threat of chemical and biological weapons being used on US cites after the collapse of the political and military leadership? free online games
I think the biggest uncertainty would be the decision-making chain after an attack, rather than whether an adversary could create initial disruption. Even under extreme circumstances, I’d expect surviving command structures and established authorization procedures to matter enormously.

The chemical/biological threat scenario is interesting as a question of deterrence, but I’m skeptical that a collapse in conventional leadership would automatically translate into a nuclear launch. The survivability and redundancy built into those systems are specifically intended to prevent one chaotic situation from becoming an uncontrolled response.
 
And how would you do it? Thoughts.
Let's war game this. (y)
9/11 was already proof of concept of this, and what I learned from it is that if I were going to launch a surprise attack against the US, I would go low-tech:
  • Half a dozen EMP weapons on cargo planes flying standard routes detonated simultaneously over key points in the US
  • EMP weapon on a weather balloon or a nuclear weapon that can be dropped from a weather balloon (already proven feasible by China)
  • Nuclear warhead(s) in shipping containers
  • Missiles or drones launched from cargo ships in the Gulf of Mexico and off each coast
  • Specially trained teams entering across the Canadian and/or Mexican border with the following missions:
    • simultaneously storm every maximum security prison in the US, providing a weapon to every prisoner, creating a highly motivated army on US soil
    • attack key power substations, causing as much damage to the national grid as possible
    • simultaneously detonate IEDs in every state on buses, subways, shopping malls, churches, and other soft targets
    • steal tanker trucks carrying anything explosive and detonate them in heavily populated areas
    • derail as many trains across the country as possible, with a bonus mission of detonating tanker cars immediately afterward
With the exception of the EMP/nuclear weapons, any of these could be accomplished with minimal expense and low risk of detection, and return on investment would be equal to or greater than that of 9/11. If I could combine any of those attacks with a coordinated cyberattack on US infrastructure, businesses, government, and markets, the confusion and panic would shut the country down for weeks, if not months. Plausible deniability would at minimum delay any response by the US. For maximum impact, I would choose Thanksgiving weekend as the target date.

Given recent US attacks on Iran, I don't think recruiting volunteers for these missions would be too difficult.
 
The main component of any surprise attack. The tactical component that makes a surprise attack successful.
Is the speed at which information can be communicated to command authority.

A successful attack on a nation’s satellite coms would functionally help carry out a surprise attack.
But does the attacking nation just limit anti-satellite attacks to military sats.
Or must they assume the defending might also have covert surveillance and emergency coms hacked into commercial satellites as well.
That's very true and I'm sure they do. I's not just the continental US that you would have to worry about in a surprise attack. The US has bases all around the world. Some of them nuclear. And than theirs Article 5 also.

That's were my thinking about the chemical, biological aspect comes in. If you took out the major decision centers and disabled the USs main strategic assets would a civilian political leader way down on the COG list still order a response if you let it be known you were going to release these pre-positioned agents on every major urban area if they did. How many suspicious labs have they found now.
 
9/11 was already proof of concept of this, and what I learned from it is that if I were going to launch a surprise attack against the US, I would go low-tech:
  • Half a dozen EMP weapons on cargo planes flying standard routes detonated simultaneously over key points in the US
  • EMP weapon on a weather balloon or a nuclear weapon that can be dropped from a weather balloon (already proven feasible by China)
  • Nuclear warhead(s) in shipping containers
  • Missiles or drones launched from cargo ships in the Gulf of Mexico and off each coast
  • Specially trained teams entering across the Canadian and/or Mexican border with the following missions:
    • simultaneously storm every maximum security prison in the US, providing a weapon to every prisoner, creating a highly motivated army on US soil
    • attack key power substations, causing as much damage to the national grid as possible
    • simultaneously detonate IEDs in every state on buses, subways, shopping malls, churches, and other soft targets
    • steal tanker trucks carrying anything explosive and detonate them in heavily populated areas
    • derail as many trains across the country as possible, with a bonus mission of detonating tanker cars immediately afterward
With the exception of the EMP/nuclear weapons, any of these could be accomplished with minimal expense and low risk of detection, and return on investment would be equal to or greater than that of 9/11. If I could combine any of those attacks with a coordinated cyberattack on US infrastructure, businesses, government, and markets, the confusion and panic would shut the country down for weeks, if not months. Plausible deniability would at minimum delay any response by the US. For maximum impact, I would choose Thanksgiving weekend as the target date.

Given recent US attacks on Iran, I don't think recruiting volunteers for these missions would be too difficult.
The prison thing is something I hadn't thought of. Good one. (y)
 
Related to my little scenario. 👇

Anthropic says it blocked misuse of its AI that could have supported biological weapons

Anthropic said Thursday it has blocked efforts by bad actors to use its artificial intelligence models for malicious activity such as cyberattacks, surveillance, and research that could have led to biological weapons.

As AI models grow more powerful, elaborate cyberattacks no longer require sophisticated skills and even lone individuals can create threats that would not have been possible even a year ago, Anthropic said. The company said it has added stronger safeguards in its latest models to restrict biological research that could also be used to make weapons.

“The cases we share here aren’t typical misuse, but rather examples of the most notable and novel threat activity we’ve identified to date,” Anthropic said in its third report since March 2025 describing AI misuse. The report includes snippets of the malicious code and AI prompts Anthropic said it found, and urges governments and AI competitors to identify and prevent similar abuse.

“We’re publishing this work because we believe we have a responsibility to disclose malicious misuse of our services. As models become increasingly capable, their risks will increase, unless AI developers and society’s defenders act to make them safer,” the company said.

The lengthy report by the AI startup, which is planning an initial public offering this fall, was published the day after one of its researchers announced he’s resigning over concerns that Anthropic and its competitors are not acting responsibly in AI development. He echoed concerns raised inside and outside of the industry about the technology’s potential to elude human control.

Claude was asked to support making a virus more harmful

Between December 2025 and August 2026, researchers at Anthropic found misuse by actors ranging from spyware vendors and “politically motivated individuals” to state-sponsored groups spreading propaganda.

Among the findings in the company’s report are unnamed actors attempting to use its models for research that could have led to biological weapons. In one instance, Anthropic said its systems blocked a request for Claude’s assistance in authoring a grant application for scientific funding.
“The work discussed in the application involved gain-of-function research (that is, research that genetically alters an organism to create a new or enhanced biological property) on the chikungunya virus. This gain of function research was aimed at the virus’ transmissibility and immune evasion properties,” the report said.

Chikungunya is a mosquito-borne virus that causes debilitating symptoms such as severe pain and fever. The request involved a grant proposal for research seeking to enhance mutations to make the virus progressively more harmful. While such research could “certainly” be used to develop better vaccines and treatments, Anthropic said, “it could also be used to make the pathogen more dangerous.”

Anthropic says it can’t claim its models do no harm

None of the cases Anthropic included in its report were found to be using its newer, more powerful Claude Fable or Mythos-class models, with the exception of one illicit distillation case that Anthropic described as “an industrial-scale, covert campaign to extract a model’s capabilities and replicate them in another model without authorization.”

Report follows a researcher’s dire warning

Anthropic also found groups that created hundreds of social media accounts that look like they belong to ordinary people and then posted material amplifying the same political view over the course of a week. The company outlined nine such cases it found, originating in Russia, Iran, Turkey and across the Persian Gulf, South Asia, Africa and Europe.
Anthropic said it has blocked each of the malicious activities it identified, used the experience to strengthen safeguards and shared information with government authorities and industry partners.
 
Interesting insight into the mind of an adversary. 👇
A Chinese defense minister’s attributed speech says America should be “cleaned up” and its people k*lled WITH BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS so China can keep the land!! Gen. Chi Haotian ran the People’s Liberation Army as defense minister from 1993 to 2003. Around the early 2000s a long text circulated under his name as a “secret speech” to senior cadres.
There is no official PLA transcript. The document has moved for two decades through translations used by The Epoch Times, J.R. Nyquist, Gordon Chang, and others. Treat it as an attributed cadre lecture, not a stamped Ministry of Defense press release.
The argument inside it is blunt. Fighters, cannons, missiles, and ships “won’t do.” Nuclear weapons are rejected because they would wreck the prize. “We are not as foolish as to want to perish together with America by using nuclear weapons.”⠀What the text wants instead is “non-destructive weapons that can k*ll many people” so America can be “reserved” and “cleaned up.” It points to biological weapons and credits Deng Xiaoping with choosing mass-casualty tools over aircraft carriers.
Chi’s text frames the United States, Canada, and Australia as the only countries with enough land for “mass colonization.” It says Washington will never allow China a second China next door, so America itself becomes the target.⠀That is the long game the document describes: not a fair fight on a battlefield, a demographic and biological clearing of a continent.
Official Beijing white papers still recite no-first-use of nukes. This speech is the opposite instinct, conquest by emptying.⠀The method matches a wider Communist toolkit that does not need a mushroom cloud. In 1999 two PLA colonels published Unrestricted Warfare, arguing that law, finance, media, drugs, and immigration are weapons if they break a stronger enemy without a declared war.⠀
The United Front Work Department is the Party’s overseas influence arm. Congress has described it as a mix of engagement, influence, and intelligence aimed at elites, campuses, and technology.⠀Confucius Institutes, sister-city deals, Thousand Talents recruitment, and state-linked student groups gave Beijing nodes inside American universities for years. TikTok put a CCP-supervised algorithm on a hundred million American phones.⠀Fentanyl precursors leave Chinese chemical plants and k*ll Americans at a scale no PLA division has managed on U.S. soil. Farmland and real estate near bases keep showing up in military and state-level threat briefings.⠀An unlicensed Reedley, California lab with PRC ties, engineered mice, and listed pathogens was raided in 2023. Investigators later found similar facilities. That is infrastructure on American ground, not a theory in a cadre hall.
This week’s Daily Caller translations said Elaine Chao, wife of longtime Senate GOP leader Mitch McConnell, was named to United Front-linked honorary posts that overlapped her Cabinet years. She denies knowing the titles. The paper trail is Chinese, not a U.S. indictment.
Communism’s old line was world revolution through parties and unions. The modern Chinese version is Party control at home plus United Front capture abroad: buy the elite, flood the apps, own the supply chain, and wait until force is cheap.⠀Chi’s attributed speech is the end-state in plain language. Influence operations are the years of work that make a “cleanup” thinkable. Americans who treat every warning as racism are doing the United Front’s job for it.⠀
This kind of rhetoric is possibly why XI purged high-level military officers. Especially if it was leaked. Now, I have no idea if this is accurate or true or not. It's been floating around cyber space for years. The reason I posted this is, does China have the ability to carry out a surprise decapitation attack on the US? I think they do. IMO

I did not post the Twitter leak to this because it has a picture of Biden and Obama next to the general and I do not think they had anything to do with how the Chinese general thinks. He appears to be older and might possibly be a veteran of the Korean war and has seen the reports where general MacAuther wanted to use salted nuclear weapons to stop the Chinese from entering North Korea. I don't know.

 
Here is some more info on why I think my little scenario is plausible.👇
Can a TACAMO Aircraft Be Jammed in the Air?
Yes — a TACAMO aircraft can be jammed, but its design and mission profile make it highly resistant to such interference.

TACAMO (Take Charge and Move Out) aircraft, such as the U.S. Navy’s Boeing E‑6B Mercury and the upcoming Lockheed Martin E‑130J Phoenix II, are specialized airborne command posts for relaying Emergency Action Messages (EAMs) to U.S. strategic nuclear forces, especially ballistic missile submarines

. They operate across a wide range of radio frequency bands, from very low frequency (VLF) up to super high frequency (SHF), using multiple modulations, encryptions, and networks

. This broad capability is intended to minimize the chance that a single jamming frequency or method will block all communications.

Why jamming is possible but difficult:

VLF and ELF bands: These are the most critical for submarine communication, as they penetrate seawater. However, VLF signals are extremely long-wavelength and low‑power, making them hard to jam effectively. They are also used in other military and civilian contexts, so jamming them can have unintended effects

Other bands: The aircraft also uses higher‑frequency satellite and HF links, which are more susceptible to jamming, but these are not the primary survivability path for nuclear command.

Redundancy: TACAMO is part of a layered command system. If one link is jammed, the aircraft can switch to another frequency or network, or the message can be relayed through other platforms

Physical and electronic hardening: The aircraft and its systems are hardened against electronic warfare, and crew training emphasizes maintaining communications under jamming conditions

In practice:
While a determined adversary could attempt to jam TACAMO’s higher‑frequency links, the VLF/ELF capability is so unique and critical that it is considered a “last resort” for nuclear command. The U.S. military’s design philosophy is to make jamming impractical rather than impossible — the goal is to ensure that even if some links are disrupted, the mission can continue through alternative means

Bottom line:
A TACAMO aircraft can be jammed, especially on certain frequency bands, but its multi‑band, encrypted, and redundant communications architecture, combined with its role as a strategic lifeline, makes successful jamming extremely difficult and operationally risky.

Current fleet (E-6B Mercury)
The Navy’s current TACAMO aircraft are the Boeing E-6B Mercury, operated by U.S. Strategic Command’s Strategic Communications Wing One (SCW‑1). SCW‑1 is based at Tinker Air Force Base, Oklahoma, and includes squadrons VQ‑3, VQ‑4, and VQ‑7

In addition to Tinker, there are alert bases at:

Travis Air Force Base, California (West Coast)

Naval Air Station Patuxent River, Maryland (East Coast)

Future fleet (E‑130J Phoenix II)
The Navy is replacing the E‑6B Mercury with the Northrop Grumman E‑130J Phoenix II, a modified C‑130J‑30 Super Hercules

. These aircraft will also be operated by SCW‑1 from Tinker AFB, Oklahoma, with squadrons VQ‑3, VQ‑4, and VQ‑7

The E‑130J will maintain the same global alert posture, with the same Tinker base as the current fleet, plus the existing Travis AFB and NAS Patuxent River alert sites

Summary of bases

Primary base: Tinker AFB, Oklahoma (SCW‑1 headquarters)

West Coast alert base: Travis AFB, California

East Coast alert base: NAS Patuxent River, Maryland
If you disabled these bases would the US even be able to get these aircraft in the air.
 
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