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Middle East Regional Wars | Discussions

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RiffRaff said:
*sniff* *sniff*

Is that Change In Action I smell over there?
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One can hope, if it does change sadly that just means displaced IRG members will probably flee to Iraq or Afghanistan
But don’t get me wrong it’s good in the long run as long as the money trough can be dried up.
 
Publius said:
Was wondering when you would post on this
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Well. Protests have occured before and fizzled out. So was waiting for indicators that it was actually spreading beyond the capital and sustainable.

Didn't want to waste anyone's time if this was the same song and dance, but this appears to be a different song and dance. Still, everyone should not get their hopes up though.
 
NuclearID said:
Well. Protests have occured before and fizzled out. So was waiting for indicators that it was actually spreading beyond the capital and sustainable.

Didn't want to waste anyone's time if this was the same song and dance, but this appears to be a different song and dance. Still, everyone should not get their hopes up though.
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I know when I first saw it I threw the brakes on to let it play out
 
We know it'll be bad when they turn the Internet off again. I don't believe they have yet?
 
New year, new thread. As you will have noticed with all other major threads as well. NOTE: Redirect links at the last post of each old thread.
 
This may belong more in a Discussion thread.

I'm sure some know and overlook Mahyar Tousi, but this morning he had Catherine Perez-Shakdam as a guest, and I found her insights noteworthy.

She's met Khamenei in person.

Catherine Perez-Shakdam is a French journalist, political analyst and commentator. She specializes in West Asian and Islamic affairs. Shakdam is a former consultant for UNSC (United Nations Security Council) on Yemen .... She is alleged to have been an Israeli spy.

Catherine Perez-Shakdam - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org

She believes the regime is really falling.

[3:15 Mahyar Tousi] They're chanting to the security and the police, "Support us. Support us." And meanwhile, the guy was saying that they [forces] don't even speak Persian.
[3:25 MT] How much are you aware of this tactic that they use in Iran of bringing in people from Iraq or, back in the day, Syria, to help with the crackdown? Do they have many proxies in Iran?
[3:40 Catherine Perez-Shakdam] This is a great question. The regime has a protocol in place should things go south ...
[4:56 CPS] Now, when it comes to calling the proxies ... for this one you're going to have to say thank you to Yossi Cohen, because the pagers took out a lot of them.
[5:10 CPS] When the regime calls for outside forces to come in ... I have news for you, you have won ... they lost. Because this [internal use of proxies] is the last hope for the regime to try to consolidate their position and salvage.
[5:37 CPS] When they don't respond because there is not many left, things are going to get very difficult for the regime. Iraqis do not want to come in. The Houthis I can guarantee you there's no way in hell they're going to enter the play, because they know what's going to happen. Bibi might happen. [References him taking out 90% of the Houthi cabinet.] So they don't want to come to the aid of a regime that is literally in freefall. Hezbollah cannot cross the border, because of Syria that stands in the middle. I don't think that al-Julani will see too kindly, and they won't be able to.

She claims it's confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran, westward. (9:56)
 
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She didn't say anything that wasn't already being covered by the "mainstream media" she complains about.

She's an Iranian descendant (listen to the accent) living in the West who is getting her information from the MSM, not someone living in Iran giving us on-the-ground detail.
 
DEFCON Warning System said:
She didn't say anything that wasn't already being covered by the "mainstream media" she complains about.

She's an Iranian descendant (listen to the accent) living in the West who is getting her information from the MSM, not someone living in Iran giving us on-the-ground detail.
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I think she does a good job pointing out the policy differences in US administrations. I still think the US and Israel will liberate Iran.
 
Loadstain said:
According to an intelligence report seen by The Times, Iranian Supreme-Leader Ali Khamenei plans to flee Tehran with a close circle of up to twenty aides and family, if military and security forces called on to quell the ongoing civil unrest begin deserting, defecting, or failing to follow orders, particularly members of Khamenei’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).


https://twitter.com/x/status/2007976975118237757
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Running to Russia seems like an odd choice. The ex-President of Syria didn't do too well in Russia.
 
Starting the discussion - looks like Israel and Iran aren’t done quite yet. Russia evacuating embassy personnel from Tel Aviv.
 
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