New Russia/Ukraine/NATO Thread - Reports & Analysis Combined

[alphaecho]

BREAKING: Latvia has issued an emergency warning over a potential aerial threat in Balvi Municipality, in the country's eastern region near the Russian border.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2120298630271631550

 

[alphaecho]

UPDATE: Lithuania continues to expand air-threat warnings as reports of unidentified aerial objects emerge across the country.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2120303291577843800

 

[Irag8er]

According to Russian military channels, three helicopter crews, totaling seven personnel, were killed during the overnight Ukrainian drone attack near St. Petersburg. Earlier reports suggested two helicopters were lost. How this all happened remains unknown.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2120517068575695336

 

[Irag8er]

***UPDATE***

https://twitter.com/x/status/2120521859015868423

 

[william]

UPDATE: Lithuania continues to expand air-threat warnings as reports of unidentified aerial objects emerge across the country.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2120303291577843800

UPDATE: Lithuania’s military is now providing further details about the drone incidents that unfolded overnight:

According to Rear Admiral Giedrius Premeneckas, NATO Baltic Air Policing fighter jets made two attempts to shoot down one of the drones that entered Lithuanian airspace, but both attempts were unsuccessful. The drone was tracked over Lithuania, briefly entered Polish airspace before returning, and continued north towards Latvia. It was visually identified near Kaunas, but engaging it over the city was considered too dangerous because of the risk of damage from falling debris. One of the missiles missed the target and later self-destructed. Its remains were subsequently found in the Biržai District. Military officials say they pose no danger.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2120428185485529171

https://x.com/InsiderGeo/status/2120428185485529171/photo/1

 

[william]

France warns of nuclear miscalculation over Germany’s deep strike missiles.

Paris wants Berlin to clarify when and how it would use long range missiles capable of striking targets more than 2,000 km away, fearing Moscow could mistake a conventional attack deep inside Russia for a strategic escalation. Germany supports developing a joint doctrine with France and the UK to manage escalation risks.

Putin is clear ANY attack of any form will go nuclear. Can you blame him? Land Forces cant take Kyiv and GERMANS threaten to send missiles [two world wars!].

https://twitter.com/x/status/2120566973088374854

• The X post by @Defence_Index accurately summarizes a Financial Times report on France urging Germany to define rules for using long-range missiles (500-2,000+ km range) in a potential Russia conflict to prevent Moscow from mistaking conventional deep strikes for nuclear escalation.
• France, as Europe's nuclear power with established deterrence "grammar," fears Russian misinterpretation under Macron's forward deterrence concept, while Germany is rapidly acquiring ground-launched deep precision strike systems amid broader European rearmament.
• Germany agrees on the need for a joint doctrine with France and the UK to clarify escalation risks, reflecting ongoing efforts to align non-nuclear and nuclear allies' strategies against Russia. Grok

France warns of nuclear miscalculation over Germany’s deep strike missiles. - Bing

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[GBS61]

Germany does not possess its own nuclear weapons and is not permitted to develop them.

Germany hosts approximately twenty American tactical nuclear bombs on its territory (notably at the Büchel airbase) as part of NATO’s nuclear sharing policy. However, Berlin has no control over these weapons and may only use them with the consensus and authorization of the United States.

 

[Loadstain]

Ukraine Deploys 28 Ground Robots, No Troops in Assault on Russian Positions | SOFX

Takeaways Up Front 1. Ukraine reportedly deployed 28 armed unmanned ground vehicles in an assault on Russian positions near Lyman in eastern Ukraine. 2.

www.sofx.com

Takeaways Up Front


1. Ukraine reportedly deployed 28 armed unmanned ground vehicles in an assault on Russian positions near Lyman in eastern Ukraine.


2. The robotic force included 18 platforms carrying Swedish AT4 anti-tank weapons, two equipped with American Mk 19 automatic grenade launchers and eight kamikaze robots carrying explosives.


3. Russian sources claimed their forces repelled the assault and destroyed all 28 Ukrainian robotic vehicles.

 

[Sentry]

German diplomats according to BLID said Russian demands in Abu Dhabi spanned far more than just Ukraine, allegedly they involved:
1. No European troops in Ukraine
2. Moscow would retain the occupied territories and gain control over the entire Donbas region
3. Demilitarized ports in Ukraine (Odesa and Mykolaiv).
4. Freedom of navigation in the Black Sea and Baltic Sea
5. No NATO bases in the Baltic states.
6. Finland to leave NATO.
7. Ukrainian accession to the EU would be permitted, but membership in NATO would be blocked.
8. Restructuring of Moldova: A federal republic comprising the Moldovan core territory, Transnistria, and Gagauzia.
8.1. Should Moldova join the EU, Transnistria and Gagauzia would be granted the right to hold referendums on their own independence.

Russia is clearly not serious about negotiations. It is deeply unfortunate that it is Zelensky who is being coerced and pressured rather than Putin.