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UA-NATO/RU | Jan.-1st-2026/May 12th | Reporting

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Ukraine would like to say something about that.
There is reason for the different situation. America has no issue using force on countries with limited defence capabilities. Since dropping 2 atomic bombs on Japan ,America hasn't directly gone to war with anyone , unless it was a overwhelming difference in military power belief that should have been an American win with minimum consequence/danger/ risk to homeland. You know the old saying (looks good on paper) but in majority of conflicts since ww2 ended in another fact ( theory and practical don't always match) resulting in regime change and conflict together or seperate cases of which there are a majority that just didn't really work out as desired. Hence Ukraine hesitance. Lets be honest here with ourselves. And be grateful those with nukes know their boundaries.
 
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Jan 5, 2026: Zelensky tightens state control architecture on two fronts. He formalizes SBU top leadership slots. 1st deputy appointment plus additional 4 deputies appointments. Same day Zelensky codifies a martia law pathway for an acting SBU chief, then assigns that acting role to Yevhen Khmara. ,

Separately Kyiv elevates Serhiy Kyslytsya to First Deputy Head of the Office of the President and appoints an economic development adviser.

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Jan 5, 2026: Zelensky held a call with Australian PM Anthony Albanese. Australia committed to help. Zelensky emphasized air defense missiles are needed daily. Zelensky also briefed Albanese on diplomacy and next steps ahead of the Jan 6 “Coalition of the Willing” meeting in Paris, where Australia will be represented. Zelensky also offered condolences over the Bondi Beach terror attack of which six victims are of Ukrainian descent.

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Greece temporarily shut its airspace after a communications and systems blackout cut ATC links to most aircraft for several hours. Authorities say a cyber attack is unlikely, but the root cause remains unclear and service resumed without an obvious fix. Aviation comms, legacy systems, staffing, and resilience under stress.

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An undersea fibre optic cable linking Lithuania and Latvia was damaged in the Baltic Sea near Liepāja. Authorities suspect a vessel crossed over the cable. Even when accidental, this keeps spotlight on Baltic subsea infrastructure fragility and the attribution bait environment around it.

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Baltic states are on heightened alert after a rapid cluster of subsea cable outages, reported as 6 incidents in 6 days. Finland has seized a suspect vessel (Fitburg) and Estonia reports additional cable malfunctions. This is exactly the kind of “below threshold” pressure that can spiral into aggressive boarding, legal brinkmanship, and NATO posture friction.

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Germany’s FM Wadephul visits Lithuania and spotlights concrete deterrence steps. Bundeswehr Brigade Lithuania, plus Eurofighters newly stationed in Malbork, Poland. He also frames Baltic Sea control measures and NATO’s “Baltic Sentry” as part of countering Russian hybrid pressure.

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Germany confirms it will host the North Sea Summit in Hamburg on 26 Jan 2026 and invites NATO for the first time, alongside North Sea states and the European Commission. Focus is on offshore wind expansion, hydrogen market development, and connected offshore infrastructure. Berlin is formally pulling energy build out into the security lane, treating offshore infrastructure as strategic and protectable.

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Italy’s Navy just rotated tactical command of Operation “Mediterraneo Sicuro” (5 Jan 2026) and explicitly spotlit “Fondali Sicuri” activity to protect critical underwater infrastructure, alongside coordination with European and NATO partners. This is deterrence signaling in the hybrid domain, not just routine PR.

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Spain readiness snapshot across two NATO missions. Spain led Force Protection in NATO Mission Iraq ran a MASCAL drill at Union-III, Baghdad. Simulated casualties to stress medical response, triage, evacuation, and command and control.

In parallel, Spain’s DAT Vilkas at Siauliai, Lithuania, completed a partial rotation, including A400M swap and 39 personnel, with no reported impact to NATO Baltic Air Policing. The positioning flight also carried military cargo to Bratislava supporting Spanish Army units in NATO’s Slovakia task force.

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Czech MoD says 545 new soldiers entered service at the start of 2026, around 80% above the original plan. This lands as the new government’s program statement explicitly pushes to strengthen active reserves, improve recruitment and conditions, and update crisis and defence laws for civil defence and a wartime economy transition.

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SaS is hitting the government over Slovakia again missing the Paris “coalition of the willing” talks, framing it as deepening isolation. At the same time, Slovakia is still operationally plugged into NATO’s eastern flank posture as Slovak MoD issued another public transit advisory for planned allied military equipment movements across Slovak territory. At same time Spain’s NATO detachment at Kuchyna is being profiled again with explicit 24/7 readiness messaging with Tiger and NH-90 helicopters and supporting kit.

Domestic political messaging says “isolated”, but allied presence, movement notifications, and readiness comms signal the opposite. Slovakia remains a live node in NATO logistics and forward posture.

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