Then explain why Russia has flown the exact strike and bomber aircraft WITH nuclear weapons onboard to Syria, to destroy the NATO strike group in the Aegean? The one they currently have pinned in with their Slava cruiser groups!
They know if the NATO group decides they want to go through the Suez or head out of the Med they will have to get the hell out of the way or be stupid as hell and attack.
Russia did this to prevent them from getting near Ukraine.
That crap is NEVER, EVER pulled for an exercise!!