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Zaporizhzhia NPP

Will Russia blow up Zaporizhzhia?

  • Yes

  • No

  • Maybe


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For what it's worth, on windy.com tomorrow's wind direction forecasts show very weak winds near Zaporizhia, headed south, to Crimea.
From sunday on, however, winds will pick up and blow westwards and south west, with most of them going into the sea and then turning further south, towards Turkey.

I would have said that Putin wouldn't risk radiological contamination of NATO states (i.e. Turkey) but he's shown that he's willing to use CBRN on UK soil, also there will likely be a disconnect between the Kremlin and any possible incident at Zaporizhia as Putin would probably blame it on terrorists.

I still doubt he'll actually follow through and blow up the reactors, I think it's all bluster as no one benefits from radioactive contamination. Maybe I'll be proven wrong though.
 
I would have said that Putin wouldn't risk radiological contamination of NATO states (i.e. Turkey) but he's shown that he's willing to use CBRN on UK soil, also there will likely be a disconnect between the Kremlin and any possible incident at Zaporizhia as Putin would probably blame it on terrorists.

I still doubt he'll actually follow through and blow up the reactors, I think it's all bluster as no one benefits from radioactive contamination. Maybe I'll be proven wrong though.
Why do you think theyd bother to shell it first and not just go for the kill?
I think, they want to have the world conflicted on who to trust before they do it. If they do it suddenly, they got to get the narrative going right after that. They could be creating the narrative that ukraine is trying to blow up the plant before they do, to say, maybe get china or someone to intervene on their behalf. Maybe cause a longg, korea style ceasefire type deal. But just enough doubt to let russia off the hook and stop the war without loosing territory.
 
But what a defeat, so far Russia has not lost
nor won?
The longer this drags on, the more bodies keep piling up, the worse Russia’s economy becomes, Putin’s regime will inevitably be toppled from within. This is the main strength of a democracy with term limits for elected officials in that it provides a remedy to off ramp with new leadership and still save some face.
 
The longer this drags on, the more bodies keep piling up, the worse Russia’s economy becomes, Putin’s regime will inevitably be toppled from within. This is the main strength of a democracy with term limits for elected officials in that it provides a remedy to off ramp with new leadership and still save some face.
I should add that Vietnam turned out to use that strategy effectively, granted at tremendous cost. The same can be said with all proxy wars in recent times.
 
Maybe, maybe not.

They also started a war related to some disgusting reasons and everyone who said "Putin doesn't care" within the last months, must also be prepared, that he possibly doesn't care.

The same thing could be also used for an attack with nuclear missiles.

Guess any wind direction is just a little block. This direction will change and they must just wait.

The necessary point is Putin himself. If Putin really doesnt care, i'm sure, somehing very catastrophic will happen (if it's not catastrophic enough yet). Maybe soon, maybe later, but it will. Cant really believe, that he accepts a historical loss, which will also take him probably off out of his position, without vengeance.

But leaders like him hates one thing more than all: losing power

If this point is stronger for him, at least no nuclear attack will happen, maybe just the plant as an accident.

So at all: Keep this as a possible scenario, but dont let the fear win.

Let us just hope and do everything for a more peaceful world.
 
INDEPTH ANYLISIS:
I've been waiting to chime in here. From what I have read since the story broke this morning. I personally believe Russia is planning for a false flag operation. Or at least was and is now postponed.

Let me explain when I mean "or at least was". Just like when Russia was planning to invade Ukraine many months ago, it was shown that the US publicly announcing the exact date Russia planned on invading push the invasion back by several weeks. Because you don't jump somebody when they're expecting it.
Hopefully this person's leak of info will stop Russia from doing a false flag op on the NPP.

Now with all that said I am hoping that this public leak will deter Russia for at least now or for a short while from carry out a false flag. Because if they did it would be very hard for them to wash it off or blame Ukraine given the recent leak.

THOUGH just like the Russian invasion of Ukraine was pushed down the line due to US publicly leaking information on when Russia intended to do it. Russia still did it down the line. WHICH makes me think more than ever Russia will indeed carry out a false flag attack on the nuclear power plant down the line. Just not today or this week.
 
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