️- New visuals posted online by Polish citizens show movement of Polish troops towards Belarusian border prior to the start of the Russian-Belarusian military exercise.
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Usual Twitter's bullshit.
Little Correction: Might be in Poland, we have Patriot Units on the Polish/Ukrainian Border. The Streetsigns are not the usual German ones. So it's actually Poland or Lithuania.
It's not exactly true; the active phase of Zapad-2025 is not scheduled to begin before Friday.
From what I read the troops are ready they just need the go ahead to begin the exercises. But yes true it does officially begin on Friday.
With large-scale military exercises it's never entirely accurate to state that they occur on any specific date.
Yes, absolutely - I’m trying to say that the equipment and the men are already there. The only thing pending is an official “Go on” and the date of Friday.
I guess the Russian strategy is denial, so we can chop this up to another piece of Russian hybrid warfare.
Why wouldn’t Putin just stroll into the Baltics, like right now? NATO won’t lift a finger, let alone agree on a plan. The alliance is nothing but smoke and mirrors. Be honest, has Putin already won?NATO says the Russian drone incursion into Poland is not an attack — even after NATO and Polish jets shot them down.
A NATO source told Reuters the strike was likely intentional, but won’t be treated as aggression. Poland and EU leaders condemned it. NATO won’t.
NATO jets shoot down Russian drones in Poland—but NATO believes it’s not an attack - Euromaidan Press
Despite its own involvement, the Alliance refuses to define it as an act of war.euromaidanpress.com
I'd say this was a threat from pre-2022. Putin can't win the war he already has even with tapping into strategic reserves of men and material. Even if he decided to start a conventional war front somewhere else, he doesn't have the resources to push anywhere.Why wouldn’t Putin just stroll into the Baltics, like right now? NATO won’t lift a finger, let alone agree on a plan. The alliance is nothing but smoke and mirrors. Be honest, has Putin already won?
I think they could take the Baltics, but not Poland.
Yes, but they won’t be fighting Ukraine forever. When it’s over, they’ll have a primed war economy and it won’t take much, or long, for Russia to regroup.
that would be assuming that NATO won't defend the baltics.
If Putin could end Ukraine today, then for sure, I'd say the Balitics could be threatened in a few years as the missile and artillery and manpower inventory is stockpiled once again.
More than a refresh, Poland attack by Russia with about 19 drones, article 4 invoked, has everyone gone to their safe spots???? No reports on DEFCON,
Don’t forget once the war is over Russia is still going to have to devote massive resources to protect a hypothetical DMZ so an opportunistic Ukraine doesn’t decide to retake everything.
I’ve contemplated how I feel about this since I went to sleep last night. First I’m glad NATO actually shot them down and I legitimately don’t think the kremlin expected them to do so. Second I think the more dangerous scenario than calling this a “violation not an attack” was to invoke article 5 and for the alliance to vote no and show no unity in the face of these hybrid war acts. Third as long as NATO makes some kind of legitimate response in the form of sanctions they otherwise refused to implement or a very large arms delivery I don’t call it a failure yet. I’m glad they decided to actually invoke Article 4 and I’m hoping that we’ll see a concrete response from this.
The wording from Europe and writing on the walls say otherwise imho.
