Trudeau was going down in flames until Trump decided to repeatedly insult him in public. Now he's Mr. Canada, and his party is soaring in the polls.
Honestly, world leaders should be
queuing up to get kicked out of the WH the way Zelensky was. It's amazing what that does to your popular support at home.
It's a little bit more complicated than that I guess. Trudeau has a couple things going for him and one of them is something that would normally go against him.
He's a compelling public speaker who is really good in a crisis, he proved that during covid, early on he really captured the nation.
He's really good at projecting calm and measured strength, a kind of strength that is not bombastic and that maybe the USA does not appreciate as much, but that carried us through Trump's first term.
He's a statesman, classy at pretty much all times (except for a few... famous blunders), but also with enough personality to be likeable. He's more honest than most politicians (though it's not saying much) and not very populist.
He's good at making relationships with other nations.
And finally, he is the embodiment of an establishment Liberal (for the Americans here, this doesn't mean the same thing it does there, it is just the name of a party which is socially progressive, economically center-right): Perfectly competent in terms of like keeping the lights on and the trains moving but deeply ineffective when it comes to meaningful change, breaks promises and is slow to react to brewing crises.
Now, being a boring,
suspiciously perfect seeming, ineffective, centrist prime minister who seems to be keeping things mostly treading water but nonetheless noticeably declining (whether truly due to factors at home or global pressures, or due to policies started by previous admins that he has done nothing to avert course on due to his donors which is mostly where the housing crisis comes into play), who excels in a crisis scenario.... is really not that good when there isn't actually an immediate threat and it's been nearly a decade and there are some scandals to exploit and none of the underlying social problems that lead people to hate the government and want change every few years regardless of who they're actually voting for have been addressed.
But it's
really good when the neighbor puts on a display of incompetence so grand, and a display of barbaric machismo that our culture rejects so grand, that it disgusts us, headed by a man who is the opposite of that: He's a good speaker insofar as he can fire people up but he is borderline incoherent at times and does nothing but lie, his policies are polar opposite, he is belligerent and does not respect the sovereignty of other nations, he is not classy at all and berates other world leaders in public, he makes sweeping changes for social objectives that he promised but shakes things so much that it causes trouble keeping the lights on (see tariffs and resulting farmer relief last time that ended up costing nearly 100% of the benefit of the tariff, all this DOGE stuff right now) etc..
It makes people stop to appreciate it when they then see Trudeau giving clear, articulated speeches, making new relationships with other world leaders, and, while not making ground breaking improvements, keeping things running more or less smoothly when they see the slash-and-burn approach happening down south.
It also causes problems for our Conservative party, who styled themselves as Canadian MAGA, even adopting "Canada First" alongside other aesthetic choices, and made their whole thing insulting Trudeau with sound-byte insults and the Carbon Tax, to get hit with a combo all at once of MAGA turning on Canada as an ally and fomenting incredible amounts of hatred, the right wing down south doing downright embarrassing things policy-wise and showing an outright disrespect for the law as well, Trudeau simultaneously stepping up to a crisis and resigning, and the likely new Liberal guy not really being that into the Carbon Tax either...
and thus we got here with the conservatives plummeting in the polls and fumbling what could have been the easiest election in history.
This wouldn't have worked for him if he was Pierre, for example.
Potentially, if we actually survive having the USA for neighbors long-term after all this, and bounce back from the tariffs situation - I'd thank Trump, for saving Canada, inadvertently, by showing us the dark path we could have gone down and letting us avert course, and for uniting our country to an incredible degree that nobody here has ever really seen in our rebuke of his desire to annex our nation.
For now though, I shiver with antici.....
......
...pation.