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Preparing for Possible US Food Shortages Due to Fertilizer Prices

RiffRaff said:
Indiana crops have finally been planted for the most part. One of the two fields surrounding us has been plowed but nothing planted yet. The other has been planted, but not sure if it's corn or soybeans yet. According to the rotation schedule, it should be corn this year.

I saw king crab legs at $119/pound the other day in a seafood market/restaurant. Our grocery bill is about $100 higher than normal. Haven't seen much in the way of panic-buying, but most people can't afford to right now.
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Sounds like you are in farm country. Do you have a garden or any animals? Thanks for the update.
 
william said:
Sounds like you are in farm country. Do you have a garden or any animals? Thanks for the update.
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Nearest town to us is five miles away and there's enough corn, soybean, and winter wheat fields around us to feed our entire county population. We don't have any animals, but our woods are full of deer and turkey, not to mention tons of small game. Hunting isn't an issue for me and I could learn to trap if necessary. We also have neighbors with chickens with whom we could trade for eggs. Others within a mile or so of us have animals, and there's an Amish family about three miles north of us. We do have a small garden area set up which we will probably be expanding this year. We're also on well and septic, so it would pretty easy for us to go 100% self-sufficient if we really had to.
 
@RiffRaff this will help explain why the economy, the oil market, and subsequently fertilizer too have not been 'blown up' like many suspected might happen.


Highly recommend watching video. Even though it is highly eurocentric point of view. Still a valid analysis at the end of day. Even CNN and FOX can have their moments, you know. 😂💁
 
NuclearID said:
@RiffRaff this will help explain why the economy, the oil market, and subsequently fertilizer too have not been 'blown up' like many suspected might happen.
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Interesting analysis, although I saw it more as an explanation as why catastrophic effects have been delayed, as opposed to occurring immediately.

NuclearID said:

Highly recommend watching video. Even though it is highly eurocentric point of view. Still a valid analysis at the end of day. Even CNN and FOX can have their moments, you know. 😂💁
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Even the Myan calendar is right every 3,000 years or so.
 
RiffRaff said:
Interesting analysis, although I saw it more as an explanation as why catastrophic effects have been delayed, as opposed to occurring immediately.


Even the Myan calendar is right every 3,000 years or so.
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Yes... Essentially the world's economy was a lot more stronger than we thought. But you can't stop the inevitable, just delay it. Not looking forward to next year planting season or price of fuel...
 
NuclearID said:
It has to be wheat.... one thing if it was corn or soy, much rather the shortage be corn or soy.

But the smallest US wheat harvest since 1972? Wheat is made to make a lot of our food staples... Paired with next year inevitable shocks that are being postponed currently... Hmm 🤔
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Yeah, lowest planted acres since 1919, no surprise. Reason excess global supply of wheat. So farmers shifted crops.
Farmers will shift the amount of acres planted to wheat year to year. Very much based on markets and supply world wide.
Corn and soybeans are both ahead of historic average for percent planted this year.
The impact will not so much be on quantity but price.

In 2021 the CPI for food was 3.9%
2022 it was 9.9%
2023 it was 5.8%
2024 - 2.3%
2025 - 2.9%
YTD 2026 is running around 3%
 
I've stocked up on a lot of rice and beans, along with lard and cooking oil. I also have a lot of flour, cornmeal, powdered milk, powdered eggs, sugar, powdered butter, and honey. Our vegetable garden is fully planted, and I've started building a chicken coop. The garage is full of canned fruits and vegetables. I also came across a bread machine at a yard sale for $5 that appears to be working well.
 
Publius said:
Yeah, lowest planted acres since 1919, no surprise. Reason excess global supply of wheat. So farmers shifted crops.
Farmers will shift the amount of acres planted to wheat year to year. Very much based on markets and supply world wide.
Corn and soybeans are both ahead of historic average for percent planted this year.
The impact will not so much be on quantity but price.

In 2021 the CPI for food was 3.9%
2022 it was 9.9%
2023 it was 5.8%
2024 - 2.3%
2025 - 2.9%
YTD 2026 is running around 3%
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Good context. Thanks!
 
willrod1989 said:
I've stocked up on a lot of rice and beans, along with lard and cooking oil. I also have a lot of flour, cornmeal, powdered milk, powdered eggs, sugar, powdered butter, and honey. Our vegetable garden is fully planted, and I've started building a chicken coop. The garage is full of canned fruits and vegetables. I also came across a bread machine at a yard sale for $5 that appears to be working well.
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Lard! A man after my own heart. ❤️
 
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