• Guests may view all public nodes. However, you must be registered to post.

UA-RU-NATO War & Ukraine Peace Talks | DISCUSSIONS

Status
Not open for further replies.
As I have said in the past, Crimea (especially the port) is a true nuclear red line.
The existence of a theoretical red line that isn't even on the table for any involved party to test to begin with doesn't really have much baring on whether the threats they actually make, especially regarding the actions that are actually in the question, are empty.
 
I think it's plausible that Russia accepts and keeps the ceasefire going for maybe 20-ish days, then either commits a false flag attack or a staged video of ""Ukranian"" soldiers commiting some war crime, ta da, Trump is convinced and stops support and intelligence sharing and Russia can keep going as long as they want.
 
It is winnable or for Ukraine to get a fair shake.

It's not currently because Trump refuses to stand up to Putin and is entirely appeasing Putin to accomplish "peace".

Which is only kicking the can down the road, further emboldening Putin, and only raising the stakes of a greater war down the road which is all appeasement does.
peace is met on both ends by coming to a agreement to end the conflict with mutual terms. read a civics book.
 
Why would Russia agree to a cease-fire? What advantage is it to them?
there is no advantage but it also means one thing the fight for resources and nothing else. russia may be the USA's ally but there is something deeper and darker in the works ( can't put my finger on it ). i honestly don't think a agreement will be met cause russia wants resources and they will get it and then other nations will get flustered and it may get really out of hand.
 
Note not personally attacking anyone. Just pointing out the inconsistency in somes beliefs over Putins threats and how ludicrous I find it on how quick their sentiment changed...

Just find it quite strange a lot of people went from laughing at Putin threats saying we only need worry only when Putin stops threatening to use nukes... to, omg his threats are real we need to do everything to end the war before he uses them.... Just having hard time grasping it I guess...
what are you talking about? he used the oreshnik missile that had a non nuclear payload on a city in ukraine! you have any idea what this means? a missle- hypersonic missile that touched down on ukraine and sent shock waves in many groups. now just think a missile that can't be intercepted and very hard to detect and if putin uses just ONE with a loaded warhead and there are 32 of them from what i counted he can wipe out ukraine with no problem and take poland and half of Europe with it!
 
what are you talking about? he used the oreshnik missile that had a non nuclear payload on a city in ukraine! you have any idea what this means? a missle- hypersonic missile that touched down on ukraine and sent shock waves in many groups. now just think a missile that can't be intercepted and very hard to detect and if putin uses just ONE with a loaded warhead and there are 32 of them from what i counted he can wipe out ukraine with no problem and take poland and half of Europe with it!
A costly pointless move meant to scare and manipulate gullable people in the west into not supporting Ukraine. Still empty threats.

Also real world testing value was probably great for Russia as it's a new missile. Probably main reason it was used. Besides to scare gullable westerners. 🥱 Two birds one stone?
 
Last edited:
When someone's views fluidly morph and shift to align with the party/Great Leader's rhetoric on the issue rather than any changing material reality, they're in a cult. Maybe I'll get banned for this post, maybe not, IDC - the GOP is a cult. It's why they don't have to ever provide evidence or argue in good-faith during discussions, there's no actual belief based on a material reality to reason about or argue, it's just vibes and borderline worship, basically faith in the leader who is only a man, watch him lie so fast you can't even keep track and then watch his followers regurgitate those lies no matter how easy they are to prove wrong because they'd rather have faith in the party than dig into it themselves, for example the thing with Canada mistreating the US is a huge one right now...

On these forums it was all point and laugh at the ridiculousness of Russia using nukes, flips to a Trump presidency where he's using Russia's nukes as a way to justify and propagandize the process of abandoning Ukraine, and it's all we need to take it seriously now. Russia has exactly as much incentive to use or not to use nukes as they did 3 months ago, they're still winning and it would still be insane to shoot themselves in both feet and turn this into a global conflict. Realistically, either position is fine to take, but some consistency in what the position is based on would be good.

Likewise I don't totally discount it and I had my concerns about it then and still do, under the condition that Russia eventually becomes a cornered animal but who also knows that NATO is weakened which is a combination of factors that contradict each other, so it's a low chance, and while NATO gets weakened with every passing day, Russia is rapidly improving their position diplomatically with the US in order to never become that cornered animal.

And to be clear in case someone turns this into a shit flinging contest about politics rather than an open statement of an observation about the GOP, I strongly dislike the dems too, this is not partisan talk this is real talk - I go for data-based, evidence-based politics strip out the populism, no party lines for policy or basing the quality of policy on the name of the party or person who said it (but obviously acknowledging the parties for what they are, within the lines they choose to draw), they're just not in power and not the topic right now. Dems are also often structured like a cult, but not as pervasively, because there is a reason for people outside the cult to vote for them too.
You said a lot, made a lot of claims but still provided no sources or reasoning.
Just proclamations based upon personal perspective.

Edited by DEFCON Warning System - Non-productive
 
Last edited by a moderator:
what are you talking about? he used the oreshnik missile that had a non nuclear payload on a city in ukraine! you have any idea what this means? a missle- hypersonic missile that touched down on ukraine and sent shock waves in many groups. now just think a missile that can't be intercepted and very hard to detect and if putin uses just ONE with a loaded warhead and there are 32 of them from what i counted he can wipe out ukraine with no problem and take poland and half of Europe with it!
Of course people were concerned, but wipe out Ukraine? Hypersonics feel like they should be saved for actual military targets, moreso with tactical warheads. Just showing them off like that doesn't change anything, it's kind of the equivalent of shooting ducks with a bazooka. Will it do the trick and scare off birds? Yep. Expensive and not really worth it? Yep.
 
You said a lot, made a lot of claims but still provided no sources or reasoning.
Just proclamations based upon personal perspective.

Edited by DEFCON Warning System - Non-productive
You like to use this line a lot, but without much substance at all.
There is reasoning, and there is also not really much of a specific claim to source, as it is obviously a reasoned observation.
If you'd like, point out what specific claim you need a source for, and I will provide it.
Hell, perhaps point out which claims are made without any reasoning, and I'll provide it, but as far as I can see, the entire post is reasoning for one claim that is made as an observation: that the GOP functions like a cult based on faith, and that the users here flipping like a dime fluidly based on whatever the rhetoric is as reflective of this as anyone else being able to fluidly shift their worldview based on what their leader says.
Otherwise, this is nonsense. It's simply being used as a thought terminating cliche, repeated like a broken record but with no actual productive direction to take the conversation, only to end it.

Lots of people like to do this "SOURCE? SOURCE? SOURCE?" stuff without ever specifying what they are looking to source when they disagree with someone, but then conveniently never do when they agree: because it's not about the source, or making sure the information on the table is backed up and accurate, but about shutting up the "enemy" and "winning".
Intellectual honesty is what I care about and tbh this seems to not be a place where it is common. There is a reason nobody conducts debates like this, because it is completely unproductive not conducive in the slightest to effective flow of conversation & 99% of the time the person will only look at the headline anyway, and now take into account that it's more casual than that.
Again - be specific and commit to good-faith discussion of the sources and I will happily take the time to provide them, though in this case, please be specific about what you need me to source.
 
Last edited:
You like to use this line a lot, but without much substance at all.
There is reasoning, and there is also not really much of a specific claim to source, as it is obviously a reasoned observation.
If you'd like, point out what specific claim you need a source for, and I will provide it.
Hell, perhaps point out which claims are made without any reasoning, and I'll provide it, but as far as I can see, the entire post is reasoning for one claim that is made as an observation: that the GOP functions like a cult based on faith, and that the users here flipping like a dime fluidly based on whatever the rhetoric is as reflective of this as anyone else being able to fluidly shift their worldview based on what their leader says.
Otherwise, this is nonsense. It's simply being used as a thought terminating cliche, repeated like a broken record but with no actual productive direction to take the conversation, only to end it.

Lots of people like to do this "SOURCE? SOURCE? SOURCE?" stuff without ever specifying what they are looking to source when they disagree with someone, but then conveniently never do when they agree: because it's not about the source, or making sure the information on the table is backed up and accurate, but about shutting up the "enemy" and "winning".
Intellectual honesty is what I care about and tbh this seems to not be a place where it is common. There is a reason nobody conducts debates like this, because it is completely unproductive not conducive in the slightest to effective flow of conversation & 99% of the time the person will only look at the headline anyway, and now take into account that it's more casual than that.
Again - be specific and commit to good-faith discussion of the sources and I will happily take the time to provide them, though in this case, please be specific about what you need me to source.
So then there’s really no need in talking is their
 
So then there’s really no need in talking is their
So you still won't specify what you need sources for, what the claims are, etc., or even accept at all when they are offered to you like in the other thread where I put no onus to specify on you at all, just more of this which makes it pretty clear this isn't about rigorously verifying the truth but shutting up the opponent.

I'm saying talk in good faith. If having to talk in good faith and actually engage with the ideas for an intellectually honest discussion about the issues means to you there is no need in talking at all, then that's... okay I guess, I know I can just ignore your posts.

"They delight in acting in bad faith, since they seek not to persuade by sound argument but to intimidate and disconcert. If you press them too closely, they will abruptly fall silent, loftily indicating by some phrase that the time for argument is past.”
-Sartre, though he specifies antisemites in the full quote, this generally applies to all fascist or proto-fascist political movements (just the prevalent one at the time was particularly focused on antisemitism).

(full quote for any who haven't seen:

“Never believe that anti-Semites are completely unaware of the absurdity of their replies. They know that their remarks are frivolous, open to challenge. But they are amusing themselves, for it is their adversary who is obliged to use words responsibly, since he believes in words. The anti-Semites have the right to play. They even like to play with discourse for, by giving ridiculous reasons, they discredit the seriousness of their interlocutors. They delight in acting in bad faith, since they seek not to persuade by sound argument but to intimidate and disconcert. If you press them too closely, they will abruptly fall silent, loftily indicating by some phrase that the time for argument is past.”​

If any of you see yourself in this, beyond the disgust reflex at being compared to an antisemite, perhaps look in a mirror; as the relevant ideology here is the fascism, not the antisemitism manifested from it - and keep in mind you are not being called an anti-semite here, that would be absurd - just that the behavior echoes through history's fascist movements, including the particularly antisemitic ones, but that detail is like not a relevant or key point).
 
Last edited:
peace is met on both ends by coming to a agreement to end the conflict with mutual terms. read a civics book.
Well, it can also be written in blood from the tip of your Bayonet thrust in your enemies chest and pinning them to the floor in their government building.

Thats in the history books covering WW2 Germany and definitely WW2 Japan. Not much since though.
 
You said a lot, made a lot of claims but still provided no sources or reasoning.
Please stop asking everyone for sources. I'm thinking of mailing you my brain, but you'll have to pay $1 billion. My brain is precious, especially to me.
Can you tell the difference between a discussion and a report?
 
Please stop asking everyone for sources. I'm thinking of mailing you my brain, but you'll have to pay $1 billion. My brain is precious, especially to me.
Can you tell the difference between a discussion and a report?
Here's the thing - I've also offered up those sources a number of times, on this thread if he can point out what claim he actually wants sourced since the post in question was an observation, and on the other just if he can commit to reading and discussing them in good faith, and he won't bite for either. It's not about verifying the truth, it's just a "gotcha". A rhetorical weapon in the context of discussion. I don't think it's about not understanding the difference between a discussion and a report.
 
Last edited:
Note not personally attacking anyone. Just pointing out the inconsistency in somes beliefs over Putins threats and how ludicrous I find it on how quick their sentiment changed...

Just find it quite strange a lot of people went from laughing at Putin threats saying we only need worry only when Putin stops threatening to use nukes... to, omg his threats are real we need to do everything to end the war before he uses them.... Just having hard time grasping it I guess...
It's not what you say; it's how you say it. You don't have to be so aggressive with your points. To quote Mr. Spock: "Doctor, you must learn to control your passions. They will be your undoing."
 
Here's the thing - I've also offered up those sources a number of times, on this thread if he can point out what claim he actually wants sourced since the post in question was an observation, and on the other just if he can commit to reading and discussing them in good faith, and he won't bite for either. It's not about verifying the truth, it's just a "gotcha". A rhetorical weapon in the context of discussion. I don't think it's about not understanding the difference between a discussion and a report.
It's important to make the distinction between an "opinion" and a "report." For instance; I think we're a lot closer to the use of nuclear weapons in combat than most do. I don't have anything to base that on besides the deteriorating global geopolitical situation and my gut. That's an "opinion," which is fine to offer up in discussion, just be clear that it's a personal opinion and not being construed as fact.
 
UKRAINE-RUSSIA: Senior military leaders from across Europe convened in Paris to deliberate on the establishment of a "reassurance force" aimed at safeguarding Ukraine in the event of a ceasefire and deterring renewed Russian hostilities according to Western officials who communicated the details to AP. - Key discussions centered on the deployment of Western forces to critical infrastructure sites, reinforced by Western air and naval assets. U.S. airpower would remain on standby to respond to any breaches and facilitate the reopening of Ukrainian airspace. - Further proposals included the large-scale pre-positioning of heavy weaponry, ensuring rapid deployment within hours or days should hostilities resume. - Additionally, military planners considered the possibility of immediate and direct strikes on Russian targets in response to any ceasefire violation.

"Sign this ceasefire that doesn't benefit you at all, and we'll make sure there's a loaded gun to your head for the next few years to keep you in line."

Something tells me this isn't going to pan out given that Russia is not exactly fighting a losing battle right now. Unless I guess the consequences for not signing are much worse, but I expect Russia would simply take that kind of coercion as an act of aggression, that's their playbook lol.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top Bottom